Skip to comments.If Biden Backs out of the 2024 Race, Who Can Take His Place?
Posted on 08/30/2023 9:39:59 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
Whether they admit it or not, one big question has to be on the mind of pretty much every Democrat in the country: What happens if Joe Biden drops out of the 2024 race?
This is certainly a fair question. Earlier today, my colleague Nick Arama gave us another example of the President's ongoing deterioration. More examples of such are legion. But what really has to be troubling for Democrats is this: If Biden drops out, they have no good candidate to replace him. Just this morning, RealClearPolitics' Charles Lipson presented a great analysis of the problem Democrats face if this should happen.
The first part of the problem is the seeming lack of any activity in what should be an ongoing re-election campaign. The stage, in effect, is not being set.
Biden’s dismal poll numbers form a somber backdrop for his reelection campaign. That backdrop is even darker now that his health problems are so visible. These mounting problems may not prevent him from running, but they do lessen the chances. True, he keeps saying he is running. But, like all politicians, he may be deceiving the public or himself. The biggest “tell” is that Biden is avoiding the very things active candidates do. He’s not campaigning. He’s not attending a lot of small events with big donors. He’s not running ads. He’s not using the White House’s bully pulpit to address the nation on our challenges and his response to them.
But the second part of the problem should be much more concerning to Democrats, and that is the slate of candidates who might be able to, at this rather late date, enter the contest. Their prospects are, to indulge in a bit of understatement, pretty weak, and the one who may be weakest of all is President Biden's vice president.
The second consequence of a Biden withdrawal would be a fight over the future of Kamala Harris. She is the least popular vice president in polling history, and for good reason. Voters think she’s incompetent, inauthentic, and inarticulate, an empty-calorie word salad without any policy achievements. She’s the living embodiment of the “Peter Principle,” where people keep getting promoted until they reach their level of incompetence. She has reached that lofty level, just as Dan Quayle did during George H.W. Bush’s presidency.
It's important to point out that the reason voters think Kamala Harris is incompetent, inauthentic, and inarticulate is that Kamala Harris is incompetent, inauthentic, and inarticulate. She would be an utter disaster in a campaign, having only been chosen as Biden's running mate to check the "historical first" check-box; to put it bluntly, she was chosen due to her skin color and plumbing, with no other positive traits to recommend her.
So, who besides Kamala Harris can step into the race at this point?
California's Gavin Newsom has good national name recognition and apparently a pretty good war chest. But his track record as Governor of California is abysmal; it would be easy enough for any GOP candidate to hammer Newsom with California's budget shortfall and the flight of productive people out of California for greener pastures in places like Texas and Florida. While he would superficially appear to be the best candidate, he has a lot of weaknesses. While he doesn't seem to be taking any steps towards setting up a candidacy, his proposal to debate one-on-one with GOP hopeful Ron DeSantis has annoyed Democrats who see that as a way for Newsom to grab some of the national spotlight away from President Biden and his organization.
Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker is making noises about running, but his name recognition isn't all it might be, and Illinois' track record on economics and business success is little better than California's. Also, he is... somewhat lacking in the charisma and personal appeal departments.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is running, but a big part of his campaign seems to be throwing brickbats at his fellow Democrats, which won't endear him to the national organization.
There are a number of Democrat Governors who could run; Colorado's Jared Polis has been trying to cast himself as a moderate, which may appeal to some who object to the national party's steady leftward drift. Michigan's Gretchen Whitmer has some broad national name recognition, but mostly due to her botching of Michigan's COVID-19 program.
Who else do the Democrats have? Elizabeth Warren? Bernie Sanders? One of the shriekers from the Squad? None of them are viable candidates for the Presidency.
The Republican POTUS race has its own issues, given a pretty broad field contending with Donald Trump's seemingly insurmountable lead. But at this (early) juncture, the GOP candidates should draw a little comfort from the fact that the Democrats' best hope of holding the White House is to leave addled, dementia-ridden, inarticulate old Joe Biden right where he is.
My personal guess is -— MICHELLE OBAMA !
Might as well come out since her hubby is REALLY pulling the strings in DC.
Th democrats need someone to bring in the black vote
Alex Jones said he admits Michelle Obama is an incredible man! LOL
And just a that moment, Sheila Jackson Lee clears her throat, adjusts her Beehive and asks while gazing out of the window:
“So, I guess I musta just now turned ‘invisible’ all a sudden.
Is that it? ‘Cause NObody’s volunteering MY name, and after all I’ve done for my state!”
The trick for the Democrats is to drop Biden as LATE as possible, put in a Newsom or Whitmer, who is largely unknown to the population at large and can present well in small doses if properly framed.
Count on the Republicans to be unimaginative in attacks (generic “spends too much”, “is a liberal”), basically like the 2008 and 2012 failed campaigns, with the media creating Holy Cards and hagiographies to frame and define the candidates. The shorter the time frame, the better, especially with so much early voting.
We need a Trump, preferably with a Lee Atwater type to make the ads. Either of these clowns deserve the Geraldine Ferraro treatment.
Whomsoever will kneel before Emperor Obama.
This article is so biased against the Dems it lacks a grip on objective reality.
Gavin Newsom is highly powerful and attractive physically to women voters, survived a recall attempt with 62%, and is quite successful at being a good leftist-——that is what Americans want.
Michelle Obama or Newsom may win the election if RFK Jr is not nominated. But how do they get a black female Harris to leave? She will become the newly sworn in President the minute Joe is no longer the President. Why would she leave to please DNC strategists? Forcing her out would be sexist and racist at the same time.
RE: We need a Trump, preferably with a Lee Atwater type to make the ads.
Yes, may Lee Atwater rest in peace. Tough, hard hitting TV ads are essential. I’ve been saying that forever now.
Anyone can make these ads. They make themselves. The problem is courage. guts. balls. The republic-nt party has none of those qualities.
Look toward Maryland governor Wes Moore. He is obama 2.0 with a military background.
Susan Rice is already working on Michelle’s staff. Joe will announce he is not running just before the Dem National Convention. That way Michelle won’t have to go through a messy primary process. Nomination by acclamation.
A ROCK can take Jao Beidan’s place.
Or, even more appropriate, a sun-dried turd has all the sentient force necessary to take Jao’s place.
Here’s an ad idea.
“Remember when you made the choices, not Washington?”
With things taken away such as how children are brought up, light bulbs, types of cars, gas stoves.
Another: Examples of violent criminals let go by soft on crime policies or judges, mass thefts at stores and people afraid to go somewhere while a criminal lurks watching them.
Another: How much things including gas cost when Trump left and a worried mother with children in the supermarket worried she can’t afford some items she has to take out of the cart before checkout due to inflation.
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