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Black Swan Event? Top US Fertilizer Producer Hit With Rail Delays To Midwest
Zubu Brothers ^ | 4-15-2022

Posted on 04/15/2022 5:47:00 PM PDT by blam

A fertilizer supply shock is imminent for US farmers as CF Industries Holdings, Inc. warned Thursday that rail shipments of crop nutrients would be reduced to top agricultural states, which couldn’t come at the worst time as the Northern Hemisphere spring planting season is underway.

The world’s largest fertilizer company said Union Pacific had hit it with railroad-mandated shipping reductions that would impact nitrogen fertilizers such as urea and urea ammonium nitrate shipments to Iowa, Illinois, Kansas, Nebraska, Texas, and California. Union Pacific told CF Industries without advance notice to reduce the volume of private cars on its railroad immediately. This means CF Industries had to decrease shipments by a whopping 20% to stay compliant.

“The timing of this action by Union Pacific could not come at a worse time for farmers,” said Tony Will, president and chief executive officer of CF Industries.

“Not only will fertilizer be delayed by these shipping restrictions, but additional fertilizer needed to complete spring applications may be unable to reach farmers at all. By placing this arbitrary restriction on just a handful of shippers, Union Pacific is jeopardizing farmers’ harvests and increasing the cost of food for consumers,” Will said.

The move is particularly problematic for the Midwest, where 90% of corn and 80% of soybeans are produced in the US. The region is a critical node in the global food system, and tightening the fertilizer supply will only drive up food prices by shrinking harvests.

Farmers have been pressured by record-high fertilizer and diesel costs.

CF Industries released an ominous warning about the lack of fertilizer across the Midwest this year and how it may cause food supply woes:

“If farmers are unable to secure all the nitrogen fertilizer that they require in the current season because of supply chain disruptions such as rail shipping restrictions, the Company expects yield will be lower.

“This will likely extend the timeline to replenish global grains stocks. Low global grains stocks continue to support high front month and forward prices for nitrogen-consuming crops, which has contributed to higher food prices,” CF Industries said.

Josh Linville, direct of fertilizer at StoneX, called this a “black swan” moment for the Midwest.,/B>

UP rail situation:

Sounds like the UP is backed up on shipments. As a result, they are restricting “private car” shipments (i.e. not UP equipment) by almost 20%.

We were already struggling with fert logistics coming into spring. This doesn’t help at all…#blackswan pic.twitter.com/YOo36UWj2J

— Josh Linville (@JLinvilleFert) April 14, 2022

In response to record-high fertilizer costs and tight supply, some farmers have already transitioned millions of acres from corn to soybeans this year (soybeans require very little fertilizer versus corn).

Last month, a tweet from Douglas Karr, the founder of the businesses blog Martech Zone, made the point that “media isn’t even warning you” a food crisis in America is emerging.


TOPICS: Society
KEYWORDS: blackswan; delays; fertilizer; foodcrisis; foodshortages; iylm; materialshortages; notdelays; railroad; shortages
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To: Alcibiades

It’s almost like this all of this is planned.
———-
….and with a major drought hitting our growing areas, I can say yes. The Lord works in mysterious ways- can you say Revival? Revival is always preceded by nations being brought to their knees.


21 posted on 04/15/2022 6:27:22 PM PDT by delta7
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To: Adder
"The why is not very clear..."

I agree. That's why I 'high-lighted' "arbitrary restriction" in the article.

22 posted on 04/15/2022 6:32:03 PM PDT by blam
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To: EEGator
"Black Swan events aren’t known until after they happen."

Yes, yes. You know I know.

23 posted on 04/15/2022 6:33:08 PM PDT by blam
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To: blam

We can’t say that we weren’t warned- I thought that Mike Adams had gone around the bend when I read this, but here we are. From April 6-

https://naturalnews.com/2022-04-06-he-planned-starvation-grain-deliveries-by-rail-to-be-partially-halted.html


24 posted on 04/15/2022 6:35:19 PM PDT by matthew fuller (He hits from both sides of the plate. He's amphibious. Yogi Berra )
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To: Chad C. Mulligan

Nope Tufu is make out of soybeans. Most of them go to china


25 posted on 04/15/2022 6:44:20 PM PDT by oldasrocks
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To: matthew fuller
"I thought that Mike Adams had gone around the bend when I read this, but here we are. From April 6-"

Yup. I remember reading something like that. Sounded like 'nutty' stuff then....a week or so ago.

26 posted on 04/15/2022 6:47:00 PM PDT by blam
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To: blam

It’s not like this is the first year fertilizer has been shipped by rail.

It’s been done for decades.

Also, fertilizer can be shipped using trucks.

That has also been done for decades.

This is baloney.


27 posted on 04/15/2022 6:57:58 PM PDT by blueunicorn6 ("A crack shot and a good dancer”)
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To: All

Even Taggart Transcontinental eventually fell to Government games and the the Looters and the Moochers.


28 posted on 04/15/2022 7:01:00 PM PDT by LegendHasIt
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To: blueunicorn6
Also, fertilizer can be shipped using trucks.

Yep. Good thing there is no shortage of trucks, or truck drivers, fuel is cheap, and we have months and months before spring planting in the Midwest, so that fertilizer will make it to farms on time, with no significant price increase.

29 posted on 04/15/2022 7:13:27 PM PDT by Pilsner
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To: blam

It’s like we’re living thru the final chapters of “Atlas Shrugged”.


30 posted on 04/15/2022 7:15:23 PM PDT by Flick Lives (The CDC. Brought to you by Pfizer)
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To: ProtectOurFreedom

It’s all part of the plan.


31 posted on 04/15/2022 7:20:19 PM PDT by ladyjane
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To: blam

So WHY is UP backed up on shipments. Could it be that a Biden birdie whispered in the ear of union leaders to slow down the railroads to create or exacerbate shortages?*

*NOTE: This type of tactic is not beyond commies. Look up “Holodomor.”


32 posted on 04/15/2022 7:20:42 PM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (Florida: America's new free zone.)
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To: ProtectOurFreedom

One of the busiest rail lines goes thru Missouri Valley, Iowa. Couple years ago, they had 50-75 engines sitting idle. With higher gas prices, rail becomes more profitable but now you’re competing against shipping oil, corn/soy beans etc. Whoever pays the most is gong to get the traffic.


33 posted on 04/15/2022 7:21:19 PM PDT by Mean Daddy (Every time Hillary lies, a demon gets its wings. - Windflier)
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To: Mean Daddy

Here in North Idaho, there is a HUGE volume of BNSF traffic on the rail lines south out of Sandpoint. Many of the lines converge on the Columbia River Gorge and head down to Portland. LOTS of low-sulfur Powder River Basin coal being shipped overseas.


34 posted on 04/15/2022 7:22:51 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom (“Liberty is an antecedent of government, not a benefit from government” ~ Clarence Thomas)
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To: luckystarmom

That’s precisely what Biden’s team wants us to do. They create and/or exacerbate problems, if that’s what they’re really doing, until not just you, but ALL OF US cry out to the government for help, at which point they’ll be ready to swoop in with their neo-Marxist NWO BBB GND etc.


35 posted on 04/15/2022 7:23:15 PM PDT by Tolerance Sucks Rocks (Florida: America's new free zone.)
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To: Flick Lives

Elon Musk as a Hank Readon/Francisco d’Anconia character.


36 posted on 04/15/2022 7:30:00 PM PDT by hardspunned (former GOP globalist stooge)
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks
"*NOTE: This type of tactic is not beyond commies. Look up “Holodomor.”

I did already, See post #4, here.

37 posted on 04/15/2022 7:50:01 PM PDT by blam
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To: Tolerance Sucks Rocks

But Trump got things working. He got things done. This admin does nothing but create problems.


38 posted on 04/15/2022 7:52:15 PM PDT by luckystarmom
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To: blam

There went Biden’s 15% ethanol fuel proposal.


39 posted on 04/15/2022 7:55:54 PM PDT by nagant
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To: No.6

Who have no voice to influence the Vanguard Fund Managers or the execs who vote the shares.


40 posted on 04/15/2022 7:58:27 PM PDT by G Larry (Anybody notice that Satan is hard at work?)
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