Posted on 02/26/2022 3:39:46 PM PST by Hojczyk
Here’s an interesting Twitter thread from someone named Riho Terras, a member of the European Parliament, posted a few hours ago. Obviously we’re not in any position to vouch for the accuracy of this thread (and some of it seems dubious), but pass it along in the interest of broad coverage:
THREAD 1/7 Intel from a Ukrainian officer about a meeting in Putin’s lair in Urals. Oligarchs convened there so no one would flee. Putin is furious, he thought that the whole war would be easy and everything would be done in 1-4 days.
Russians didn’t have a tactical plan. The war costs about $20 bln/day. There are rockets for 3-4 days at most, they use them sparingly. They lack weapons, the Tula and 2 Rotenberg plants can’t physically fulfil the orders for weapons. Rifles and ammo are the most they can do.
The next Russian weapons can be produced in 3-4 months – if even that. They have no raw materials. What was previously supplied mainly from Slovenia, Finland and Germany is now cut off.
If Ukraine manages to hold the Russians off for 10 days, then the Russians will have to enter negotiations. Because they have no money, weapons, or resources. Nevertheless, they are indifferent about the sanctions.
Alpha Spec Ops have been near Kyiv since the 18th February. The goal was to take Kyiv and instal a puppet regime. They are preparing provocations against innocent civilians – women and children – to sow panic. This is their trump card.
Russia’s whole plan relies on panic – that the civilians and armed forces surrender and Zelensky flees. They expect Kharkiv to surrender first so the other cities would follow suit to avoid bloodshed. The Russians are in shock of the fierce resistance they have encountered.
(Excerpt) Read more at powerlineblog.com ...
Never underestimate the home court advantage.
Brits made that mistake in 1775.
Ukraine Crisis: Volunteers queue to join Ukrainian army
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SfkzOwoDB2A
Finland, 1939 - but this time Russia is a shell of its former self.
Putin has become the Biden of Russia.
Russians thought they were just going to waltz in like the Taliban did in Afghanistan.
This is from someone who declared “Mission Accomplished” in Iraq one month after we went in.
You’ve got that right - all the soldiers, ammunition, and food has to be trucked hundreds of miles. If the supply convoys are hit, there is no backup. The Ukrainian fighters can knock on any door and get a meal.
When was the last time Russia won a war by itself?
1800’s or before?
“If Ukraine manages to hold the Russians off for 10 days, then the Russians will have to enter negotiations”
Another thing is next week it goes above freezing in Ukraine.
With that comes the “mud season.” The month long period where Ukrainian soils turn to mud that has caused just as many problems for invading armies as the Russian winter.
Will all that Russian armor soon not be able to operate?
Ukraine crisis: Civilians seen preparing Molotov cocktails
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ngSy15kB8kA
$20 billion a day? Who did the calculations?
I feel the brunt of the trauma is going to be dealt to all the families of Russian war dead :( -— HORRIBLE.
Unfortunately the only way to fight and win this kind of war is to emulate the Nazis in ‘39 & ‘40. In their tactics and in their brutality.
And the brutality part will always come back to haunt the aggressors.
So, in the long term, there is no way to win this kind of war.
WHEN A TITLE IS ALL CAPITAL LETTERS THE WRITER IS NOT CONFIDENT.
“This is from someone who declared “Mission Accomplished” in Iraq one month after we went in.”
The lessons America has learned at great cost is that while invasions can be easy occupations are hard.
Putin is learning that invasions can also be be pretty hard.
I understand Russian troops are already experiencing military shortages
Call me skeptical.
Should have knocked out Kiev’s lights and water the very first day.
DON’T UNDERESTIMATE PUTIN! (as long as we’re yelling)
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