Seems like the timing is good, but I don’t know how well the Taiwanese can hold them off?
If they do invade you can be sure that the U.S. will send a strongly worded letter.
Not invade per say but a very tight sea/air blockade.
Easy answer: Biden
Because. Josef Stolen.........................
McMasterbater.
With a weak befuddled POTUS, I expect ALL our enemies to take strong action in the next 2 or 3 years.
They know they have to hurry b/c when Trump is elected in 2024 recess and fun & games time will be over.
No time like the present. America has become nothing but the land of wealth distribution and is far more afraid on the ghost of “white supremacy” that it is of actual communist/socialist/terrorist threats to its existence. China can do whatever they like, America will stand by and watch.
McMaster? He’s a dolt that never should have risen above command of a tank battalion. Listening to him is about as valid as listening to your neighbor. Just another neocon.
Taiwan will not be an easy nut to crack.
It is very doubtful the US under Biden would go to war with China if China moves to take over Taiwan. Our European “allies” have no desire to go to war with China. Would China or South Korea join us? Doubtful. We would stand alone, if Biden wanted to commit the US military to aid Taiwan in countering the invasion.
The inclination of the diplomats at the State Department, the political generals at the Department of Defense, and the academics advising the administration would be to take the matter to the UN, like was done with the invasion of South Korea by North Korea. Of course these are different times. China and Russia would block any action by the UN which would once again prove itself impotent.
What would the US do short of war? Move a couple of carrier task forces into the area and issue a stern warning? If China invades Taiwan it will not back off. China could easily take out a couple of US carriers near its coast with submarines and land based missiles. It then warns Biden through diplomatic channels it will go nuclear and attack the homeland if the US retaliates. The idea will be to completely humiliate the US, forcing it to stand down after the loss of an ally, major trading partner, and the loss of 20% of its nuclear carrier fleet (the US has 11 carriers, one of which is out of commission.
For those who don’t believe the Chinese could take out US carriers in the Pacific, remember an incident in 2016 when an undetected Chinese submarine surfaced next to the US carrier Kitty Hawk, an embarrassing incident for the US Navy. https://www.warhistoryonline.com/history/chinese-submarine-appeared-in-the-middle-of-a-carrier-battle-group.html Here is link to a 2020 article about the vulnerability of US carriers to China today - https://nationalinterest.org/blog/reboot/us-aircraft-carriers-have-never-been-so-vulnerable-chinese-submarines-175148
A takeover of Taiwan by China would also make the US technology industry extremely vulnerable to China, including the electronics the US military relies on. Thanks to misguided offshoring of US industry in the 1990’s and 2000’s the US is highly reliant on semiconductor from Taiwan and China. Sadly, the highly profitable US technology companies that own many politicians seem to have no interest in moving chip production to the United States.
China knows the multinational corporations funding politicians, the politicians themselves, and the American people have no appetite for a nuclear war with China to retaliate for an invasion of Taiwan by China.
Remember the anemic response of George W. Bush to the attack on a US spy plane over international waters and its forcing down onto Chinese soil early in his administration. What were the repercussions from that act of naked aggression by China? Nothing. The US continued to tear down its manufacturing base and ship the production and jobs to China.
What happens after a successful takeover of Taiwan and the humiliation of the US militarily? Loss of reserve currency status for the dollar, trade embargoes by China against the US for strategic products and rare earth elements. Likely a dramatic downsizing of the US military to fund runaway social spending.
The fundamental transformation of American Obama promised is upon us and the establishment of the GOP has no desire to oppose it. Most of American corporations, financial institutions, the media, the education establishment , and the permanent bureaucracy that runs the government is committed to the destruction of the US as it was and its transition to a third tier social welfare state.
A catastrophic failure of that dam would kill tens of millions and collapse the Chinese economy.
Should they be stupid enough to try South Korea and Japan would come to Taiwan's aid. Vietnam might too.
China is in no position to invade Taiwan.
Chi-coms move on Taiwan, ya think slow Joe will do any damned thing.
Pacific commander warns China could move to take Taiwan in the next five years if US doesn’t increase deterrence.
“China has modernized its military more than any other nation on the planet through the course of this century,” said Adm. Philip Davidson, in remarks at a virtual forum sponsored by the American Enterprise Institute. “The military balance in the Indo-Pacific is becoming more unfavorable for the United States and our allies. And with this imbalance, we are accumulating risk that may embolden China to act unilaterally ... before our forces might be able to deliver an effective response.”
While China is expected to field 400 ships by 2025, the goal of the current US Navy shipbuilding plan, a goal with no fixed date, is for a fleet of 355 — a substantial numerical disadvantage.
https://edition.cnn.com/2021/03/05/china/china-world-biggest-navy-intl-hnk-ml-dst/index.html