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Here are your chances of dying from COVID-19 in the next six months
NY Post ^ | December 10, 2020 | 2:17pm | Lia Eustachewich

Posted on 12/10/2020 12:02:01 PM PST by conservative98

Americans have a 1-in-1,000 chance of dying of COVID-19 in the next six months, a Stanford University health expert said Thursday at a Food and Drug Administration hearing.

Dr. Steven Goodman, an associate dean at Stanford’s School of Medicine, based that probability off recent statistics showing roughly 285,000 deaths in the country over the last seven months and about 1,000 deaths a day.

“A randomly chosen US citizen has an average risk of dying from COVID in the next 6 months, that is by the end of May, of roughly 1 in 1,000 and the risk of hospitalization of roughly about 1 in 200,” Goodman told an FDA advisory committee at a virtual hearing.

“These numbers obviously vary widely by individual,” he said.

Goodman said the findings also don’t factor in Wednesday’s record mortality rate, when 3,000 daily deaths were reported for the first time.

The all-day hearing is being held by the FDA’s Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee, which is weighing whether the benefits of Pfizer and BioNTech’s COVID-19 vaccine outweigh the risks — and it should be approved for emergency use.

The panel of 23 health experts will vote at the end of the meeting.

(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: covid1984; fakenews; science; stanford; stevengoodman; youlie
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To: GrandJediMasterYoda

Chances of dying from an attack by a hostile angry private property trespassing homicidal illegal alien next door neighbor 1 in 2. All calls to local law enforcement go ignored. I’ll take COVID odds anytime.


41 posted on 12/10/2020 12:41:51 PM PST by 4Runner
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To: conservative98

” panel of 23 health experts”

Yep, ok, sure......


42 posted on 12/10/2020 12:43:24 PM PST by VastRWCon (Fake News")
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To: GrandJediMasterYoda

Bad math. Yours and/or the NYTs. It’s closer to 1:10,000 (about 40,000 automobile fatalities annually in the US).

However, we had over 3,200 CCP-19 deaths yesterday (we have about 100 per day for auto accidents, for comparison), which is equivalent to over 1 million annually if that pace were sustained, making CCP-19 the LEADING CAUSE OF DEATH in the United States. The trend is not our friend.


43 posted on 12/10/2020 12:45:26 PM PST by calenel (Tree of Liberty is thirsty.)
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To: conservative98

This kind of math is fun...

Say life expectancy is 75 years (keeps math easy). That’s 150 six-month periods.

So your chance of dying (of anything) in the next six months is 1 in 150. Easy.


44 posted on 12/10/2020 12:45:30 PM PST by Rio
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To: conservative98

0% for me.


45 posted on 12/10/2020 12:47:51 PM PST by CodeToad (Arm Up! They Have!)
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To: conservative98

USA = 39 per Million
(right up there with hopscotch when you are over 60)


46 posted on 12/10/2020 12:50:30 PM PST by TexasTransplant ( I am going back to work... permission or not)
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To: Retrofitted

“And crematories you can see from space (according to WAY too many people here).”

Actually, you could see the pollution from the crematoriums in Wuhan from space when their plague was roaring. All their other pollution-generating industry had stopped at the time - China was, briefly, not the world’s leading emitter of “greenhouse gasses” and had clear skies. They must have been thinking what Washingtonians think when it stops raining.


47 posted on 12/10/2020 12:50:48 PM PST by calenel (Tree of Liberty is thirsty.)
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To: desertfreedom765

A randomly chosen US citizen has an average risk of dying from COVID in the next 6 months, that is by the end of May, of roughly 1 in 1,000 and the risk of hospitalization of roughly about 1 in 200,” Goodman told an FDA advisory committee at a virtual hearing.

It has been over 50 years since my last stat class.

However, any/a family member of 4 does not qualify as randomly a chosen citizen.


48 posted on 12/10/2020 12:55:41 PM PST by Grampa Dave (A society's first line of defense is not the law but customs, traditions & moral values. W. Williams)
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To: desertfreedom765

Wrong...families of 4 are young.


49 posted on 12/10/2020 12:58:36 PM PST by impimp ( )
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To: conservative98

Americans have a 1-in-1 chance of dying


50 posted on 12/10/2020 1:02:03 PM PST by Berlin_Freeper
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To: impimp

40 percent of Americans are obese which is a high risk factor for covid.

Younger people may be less likely to die of covid but they are not immune. Far from it.


51 posted on 12/10/2020 1:05:52 PM PST by desertfreedom765
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To: GrandJediMasterYoda

“Chances of dying in a car crash in the USA according to the NY Times: 1 in 103.”

That is lifetime.


52 posted on 12/10/2020 1:07:19 PM PST by TexasGator (Z1z)
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To: conservative98

How can anyone die from the Covid 19 virus when HCQ/Zinc Sulfate and Ivermectin is readily available?????? The only critical issue is taking the meds within 24 to 72 hours after the symptoms become apparent.


53 posted on 12/10/2020 1:07:56 PM PST by chopperk (Warnock doesn't have a chance if Stacy sits on him.)
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To: chopperk

Both of those treatments are highly effective initially but if you go beyond the virus load stage then they are not the weapon of choice.


54 posted on 12/10/2020 1:14:26 PM PST by KC Burke (If all the world is a stage, I would like to request my lighting be adjusted.)
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To: Steve_Seattle

Steve_Seattle wrote: “I just turned 70 two months ago. According to one source, the average life expectancy for a white American male is 76.1 years. I guess that means I have roughly a 50% chance of dying in in the next six years...”

That life expectancy is for persons starting at birth. You’ve already gotten past all the risks that could have killed you before 70. According to the Life Expectancy Calculator at the Social Security site, a person who turned 70 in October has a life expectancy of 85.3 years. https://www.ssa.gov/oact/population/longevity.html

(No thanks are necessary, but I just added nine years to your life. :-)


55 posted on 12/10/2020 1:16:21 PM PST by GJones2 (Life expectancy at 70)
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Masks will prevent 100% of cases


56 posted on 12/10/2020 1:19:10 PM PST by dsrtsage (Complexity is merely simplicity lacking imagination)
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To: Veggie Todd

Given the false positives occurring with the testing, we don’t even know if that many dead people truly had it.


57 posted on 12/10/2020 1:23:24 PM PST by curious7
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To: curious7

Given the number of dead persons who voted, we don’t even know if they’re dead.


58 posted on 12/10/2020 1:26:58 PM PST by GJones2 (Dead from COVID-19?)
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To: GJones2
"That life expectancy is for persons starting at birth. You’ve already gotten past all the risks that could have killed you before 70. According to the Life Expectancy Calculator at the Social Security site, a person who turned 70 in October has a life expectancy of 85.3 years."

Thanks. I knew I was being a bit loose with the numbers, but I'm not familiar with actuarial stats, and don't know all the ins-and-outs of how they are calculated or interpreted.
59 posted on 12/10/2020 1:32:32 PM PST by Steve_Seattle
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To: desertfreedom765

They’re also ####ing ridiculous but the fat squad will turn out in full force on this thread.

WHO has a 1/1000 chance?

not me.

I’m 52 with no co morbid conditions.

A 90 year old with maybe a month to live? Yeah...very likely to die if he/she gets it.

And people here talk about FIGHTING FOR Secession or a CWII???

So many cowards bought 4000 rolls of toilet tissue and hid for half a year.

What a farce this whole virus and election and honestly, country have become.


60 posted on 12/10/2020 1:37:38 PM PST by dp0622 (Tried a coup, a fake tax story, tramp slander, Russia nonsense, impeachment and a virus. They lost.)
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