Posted on 12/10/2020 12:02:01 PM PST by conservative98
Americans have a 1-in-1,000 chance of dying of COVID-19 in the next six months, a Stanford University health expert said Thursday at a Food and Drug Administration hearing.
Dr. Steven Goodman, an associate dean at Stanford’s School of Medicine, based that probability off recent statistics showing roughly 285,000 deaths in the country over the last seven months and about 1,000 deaths a day.
“A randomly chosen US citizen has an average risk of dying from COVID in the next 6 months, that is by the end of May, of roughly 1 in 1,000 and the risk of hospitalization of roughly about 1 in 200,” Goodman told an FDA advisory committee at a virtual hearing.
“These numbers obviously vary widely by individual,” he said.
Goodman said the findings also don’t factor in Wednesday’s record mortality rate, when 3,000 daily deaths were reported for the first time.
The all-day hearing is being held by the FDA’s Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee, which is weighing whether the benefits of Pfizer and BioNTech’s COVID-19 vaccine outweigh the risks — and it should be approved for emergency use.
The panel of 23 health experts will vote at the end of the meeting.
(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...
“Chances of dying in a car crash in the USA according to the NY Times: 1 in 103.”
You must be planning some very unsafe driving over the next six months.
That's only in Jersey :)
170 dead in San Francisco
Population: 800,000
Good grief can they not even try to sound believable?
With so many gaslighters, liars, thieves and just generally mentally-disturbed people out there these days, I think this will become the motto of the 21st century:
Never listen to ANYONE. About ANYTHING.
From 1973-2018 61.8 million.
I don’t get the controversy.
You can go get the excess deaths numbers yourself. Don’t go reading largely English articles about a math issue. Get the numbers yourself.
There are about 1000 deaths per day for most of this year. 80% of those are over 65. 20% under.
So 800 deaths per day over 65. Over 365 days (come March) this will be 292,000 elderly deaths.
The number of elderly deaths per year in the US is 1.76 Million. 292,000 is 17%.
Society has to decide if 17% is an acceptable number for their parents and grandparents dying more readily than in a normal year. And not 17% is what you get with the measures taken.
You want fewer measures, you want stricter measures. Whichever direction you want society to go it will move the 17% number (as well as reduce society’s life expectancy a bit).
Patently false.
I’ll take my chances.
Complete nonsense. Don’t they even teach mathematics anymore? The John Hopkins study documented that the death rate pre vs post WuFlu is not statistically different. WuFlu deaths were documented and many other categories showed decreases in death rates netting to zero change.
Another study found only 6k deaths in the US with no additional co-morbidities.
Therefore, the only logical way to state this is if you are at risk of dying from another disease, you still are at risk but they might call if WuFlu after you die. If you have no other co-morbidity factors, your chance of death due to WuFlu starts to approach the odds of being hit by lightning in the next 6 months.
We don’t want the Goodmans mixed up. Get the right guy’s pic into Google for lying.
There was no Johns Hopkins study. There was a student newsletter that put out a document from an economics PhD with no training in public health, diseases or anything else medical. The students withdrew it. Hopkins Medical School had nothing to do with any of it.
And why are you quoting studies? Get the numbers yourself.
As of December 8, 2020, an average of around 905 people per day have died from [from, or with?] COVID-19 in the U.S. since the first case was confirmed in the country on January 20th.
On an average day, nearly 8,000 people die from all causes in the United States, based on data from 2019.
Based on the latest information, one in nine deaths each day can be attributed to COVID-19 since January 20th.
The daily death toll from seasonal flu stood at an average of almost 332 people (using preliminary maximum estimates from the 2019-2020 influenza season).
“These numbers obviously vary widely by individual,” he said.
—
A too cute way of skirting the issue that the majority of people dying ofc covid are 80+ and already have other health issues. That’s why the net morbidity for 2020 is essentially identical to 2019, or 2018, or 2017.
This article is just an opening salvo on a sick idea I saw pitched by our “superiors” that now that the vaccine is becoming available, they want to scare the public into taking the vaccine, because they know what is best for us, capisce?
Right, the vast majority of fatalities were elderly patients with preexisting conditions.
Where do they find these nut cakes?
He’s pulling the numbers out of the air, because he doesn’t really know.
I’ll bet he believes in global warming too.
What is so hard to figure out the dose?
285,000 deaths. B.S. That’s not how many people died FROM Covid19. That’s how many people died WITH it. Big difference.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.