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Excuse Me While I Call BS
Red State.com ^ | November 5, 2020 | Scott Hounsell

Posted on 11/07/2020 7:38:20 AM PST by Kaslin

I have been monitoring elections since 1996. Sure, I was only 13 when I started, but elections and politics have been a passion of mine since 8th grade, when my Social Sciences teacher, Mr. Kohlmeier, planted the seeds of individual thought and analysis in my fertile head. Never did he voice an ideology or push us to a conclusion. He demanded logic and reason, but beyond that, it was open season in his classroom. I have carried those lessons throughout my life in my attempts to debate, always attempting to stick to facts and logic, much to the chagrin of people on both the left and the right.

Among the reasons I began writing at RedState was to be able to monitor data and analyze the meaning of polling data, registration data, and voter returns once those numbers began trickling in. I said Trump would outperform his 2016 numbers in Florida, not because I felt that way or because my ideology stated I had to say so, but rather because voter registration and polling data said it was going to happen. You can’t add 150k more voters in a state than the Democrats, pick up huge swings of minority voters and lose. Mathematically, it doesn’t add up.

Which is going to lead me to doing something I have been doing way too often lately: Calling BS. In every bit of math coming out of these states. In all of the polling data (*when adjusted), it told us Trump was going to win by larger margins among minority voters. The numbers literally don’t lie. In North Carolina, Democrats lost 161,000 voters since 2016 while Republicans gained 72,000 voters. You want us to believe that Republicans, who have registered as such since the Trump era, walked into the voting booth on Election day and pulled the trigger for Biden? In that state, Trump currently leads by 77,000 votes, in a state Trump won by 173,000 votes in 2016, and that Republicans picked up a 230k voter margin since? I call BS.

In Pennsylvania, Trump has won every county he won in 2016 except for one, while he picked up another county that Clinton won in 2016. Enthusiasm levels for Biden were lower than they were for Clinton in PA. Since 2016, in the state where Trump won by 45,000 votes, Democrats have lost 48,000 voters while Republicans have added 150,000 voters, outperformed amongst minorities and had record party support and Democrat cross-over vote and yet, Trump only leads by 110,000 voters? BS.

In Wisconsin, they have lost voters since 2016, to the tune of 145,000 voters. In just three counties, Milwaukee, Eau Claire, and Dane, they lost 63,000 of those. All of those counties went to Clinton by large margins since 2016. That is just considering counties as Wisconsin does not register by party. Overall, Counties won by Clinton lost 97,000 voters since 2016, while Trump counties lost just 47,000 voters, or less than half. Additionally, turnout in 2016, as a percentage of registered voters, was just 79.80%. This year, the state jumped to a statistically impossible 92.26%, a 12.46% increase over their 2016 numbers. In a state when Democrats statistically lost more voters than Republicans, we are supposed to believe that a 12% increase (largest ever) swung majority to Dems, by a factor that not only overcame the margin by which Trump won the state in 2016 but also erased any gains Republicans had in registration (by losing less) and gave Biden a 20,000 vote lead? Again, BS.

In Michigan, the trend continues. Counties that Trump won in 2016, added more voters than did counties that Clinton won. Trump won the state by 11,000 votes, Biden allegedly has now carried the state by more than 148,000 voters, a 159,000 vote swing, in a state, that Democrats statistically registered less voters since 2016. Additionally, there was a record turnout this year, jumping from 64% to 71%. To compare, the next highest was 2008, at 67%. Again, total BS.

Two states that should have been closer are Iowa and Arizona. Both had higher Dem registrations. Trump won Iowa by a higher % and vote than he had in 2016. Arizona, a state that Trump won by 3.5 and Republicans still lead in registration suddenly goes to Biden by 2 points? (Yes I know there’s only 86% and Yes I know what the Trump campaign has said about it). A 5+ point swing? Nope. Serial BS.

The point is this: One or two statistically impossible outcomes is theoretical. In this election, Democrats with a sub 40% enthusiasm level for their candidate, were able to erase gains in states Trump won, erase registration advantages, turnout record voters, and beat their 2016 turnouts by 20 and 30%? It doesn’t add up. I get people being mad at Trump. Give Dems a 3 or 4 point uptick in their 2016 numbers. 10 and 12 points? Nope. I call BS.


TOPICS: Conspiracy; Politics
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1 posted on 11/07/2020 7:38:20 AM PST by Kaslin
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To: Kaslin

Invalidate the Nationwide 2020 presidential election results. Throw everything away and start over. Naturally this will take weeks and months of reformatting the election process into a fair and legal one; but the integrity of our country is at stake.

In the meantime President Trump stays president until our corrupt election process can be fixed.


2 posted on 11/07/2020 7:39:50 AM PST by Responsibility2nd
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To: Kaslin
Excuse Me While I Call BS

Hello, you've reached the mansion of Barbara Streisand, I'm sorry I can't answer the phone right now, I'm too busy pulling twigs out of my ass after falling through the ugly tree again. Leave your name, number and Amazon me some deodorant, thanks, bye.

3 posted on 11/07/2020 7:47:04 AM PST by RckyRaCoCo (Please Pray For My Brother Ken)
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To: Responsibility2nd

No, not months.

That will take us past the key date in January, and then Pelosi will try to perform whatever low IQ witchcraft she thinks will get her into power.


4 posted on 11/07/2020 7:50:25 AM PST by reasonisfaith (What are the implications if the Resurrection of Christ is a true event in history?)
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To: Responsibility2nd

“Invalidate the Nationwide 2020 presidential election results. Throw everything away and start over. Naturally this will take weeks and months of reformatting the election process into a fair and legal one; but the integrity of our country is at stake.

In the meantime President Trump stays president until our corrupt election process can be fixed.”

Agree 100%. And I would add...place the perpetrators of this fraud in front of a firing squad.


5 posted on 11/07/2020 7:52:54 AM PST by Signalman
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To: Kaslin

Great analysis.


6 posted on 11/07/2020 7:53:06 AM PST by Robert DeLong
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To: Kaslin

They need to get on TV and loudly proclaim that people who committed voter fraud are going to jail. Only the first one to come forward gets amnesty.


7 posted on 11/07/2020 8:01:02 AM PST by Mr. K (No consequence of repealing obamacare is worse than obamacare itself)
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To: Responsibility2nd
There's no Constitutional way for that to happen. In the meantime, Alito's orders may mean that the Supreme Court will order the vote totals reset to what they were on election night; or the state legislatures controlled by Republicans may pick the electors; or, the Senate may refuse to certify the electors from these states and throw the election to the House, where they will vote by state not by members, and a majority of state delegations are controlled by Republicans.

Whether Trump or Biden is inaugurated on January 20th, the damage done to the United States by this fraud is immense, so for the Dems, who desire to destroy the US, it's a win-win situation.

If Trump loses this struggle, we'll be like the inhabitants of the former East Bloc, where every day we will be forced to affirm the lie that Joe Biden was elected President of the United States.

8 posted on 11/07/2020 8:02:36 AM PST by pierrem15 ("Massacrez-les, car le seigneur connait les siens")
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To: Kaslin

You’re right on. Every logical (non-emotional) and mathematical analysis thus far of this election shows that should have won in an electoral landslide.

But . . .

None of that matters. All the Democrats had to do was find ways to get ballots, legal or illegal, into the system where they won’t (or “can’t”) be pulled back out. They know that there will be no investigations into anything suspicious. Anything alleged will be called a conspiracy and mocked by the main stream media (remember when Trump announced that he had been “wiretapped?”)

Sadly, they’ve pulled off the greatest theft of an election (domestic or foreign) in history. What makes it the greatest in history is that it happened in what is supposed to be the most secure of voting places in the world - The United States of America.

What remains to be seen is whether they can get the “trifecta” by stealing three of the remaining four Senate seats.

I’m guessing they can (and probably will), which will make the coup complete and irreversible.

With the help of the media, they tested and proved the way to “win” (/steal) every election. And, now they don’t even have to hide that they are doing it.


9 posted on 11/07/2020 8:03:19 AM PST by MCSETots
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To: Kaslin

You’re right on. Every logical (non-emotional) and mathematical analysis thus far of this election shows that Trump should have won in an electoral landslide.

But . . .

None of that matters. All the Democrats had to do was find ways to get ballots, legal or illegal, into the system where they won’t (or “can’t”) be pulled back out. They know that there will be no investigations into anything suspicious. Anything alleged will be called a conspiracy and mocked by the main stream media (remember when Trump announced that he had been “wiretapped?”)

Sadly, they’ve pulled off the greatest theft of an election (domestic or foreign) in history. What makes it the greatest in history is that it happened in what is supposed to be the most secure of voting places in the world - The United States of America.

What remains to be seen is whether they can get the “trifecta” by stealing three of the remaining four Senate seats.

I’m guessing they can (and probably will), which will make the coup complete and irreversible.

With the help of the media, they tested and proved the way to “win” (/steal) every election. And, now they don’t even have to hide that they are doing it.


10 posted on 11/07/2020 8:04:13 AM PST by MCSETots
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To: pierrem15

“There’s no Constitutional way for that to happen.”

There also is no constitutional way for hundreds of thousands of illegal ballots to be cast. But that happened. If the constitution is to be upheld, then Due Process actions must be taken.


11 posted on 11/07/2020 8:10:47 AM PST by Responsibility2nd
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To: Kaslin

Because of all this crap, I started calling for the RE-Registration of EVERY Registered voter in US last year. Would have been work...but worth it.


12 posted on 11/07/2020 8:14:02 AM PST by goodnesswins (The issue is never the issue. The issue is always the revolution." -- Saul Alinksy)
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To: Kaslin

True Dat. BS!


13 posted on 11/07/2020 8:14:53 AM PST by sauropod (Let them eat kale. I will not comply. Sic semper evello mortem tyrannis.)
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To: MCSETots

I get it that you are depressed, but to think that Trump and the good people in government will just kick back and take it is a mistake. The Hunter Bidens laptop gave us a clear window into to the massive Corruption in Foreign policy that implicate Most of the Democrat top leaders and some Republicans.

This is a desperation play by these leaders and our foreign enemies that they sold out to to save their necks.

The Christian giant that has been slumbering for decades is awakening and has in repentance begun calling on God to rectify injustice as the evil ones spin their chains of hatred around the foolish in out society.

This battle has just gone to a whole new level and will get pretty hairy before the sun comes out. But fear not, God laughs at the Democrats as they give him the finger.


14 posted on 11/07/2020 8:19:19 AM PST by American in Israel (A wise man's heart directs him to the right, but the foolish mans heart directs him toward the left.)
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To: Responsibility2nd
You're right that there is no legal or Constitutional authorization for the fraud that's taken place.

I'm merely arguing that there appear to be Constitutional paths available for un-doing that fraud, even if the states involved do not correct the votes.

It's important that Trump try that route first. Otherwise, we're really in Civil War II, and if that's the case, Trump will not just have to hang on, but suspend habeus like Lincoln and jail as many Democrats and their media enablers and donors as needed to get to the bottom of this. A Constitutional interregnum. That may be a plan 'B', but I don't think at the moment it should be plan 'A'.

15 posted on 11/07/2020 8:22:52 AM PST by pierrem15 ("Massacrez-les, car le seigneur connait les siens")
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To: MCSETots

All that you stated is the once and future truth.


16 posted on 11/07/2020 8:25:49 AM PST by Old Sarge (I don't trust you. I will never trust you.)
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To: Responsibility2nd

“Invalidate the Nationwide 2020 presidential election results. Throw everything away and start over.”

Actually, that is thee only way I see this being resolved. That or, throwing it to the legislature to cast the vote-one vote per state and that vote determined by each STATES legislature.


17 posted on 11/07/2020 8:26:27 AM PST by crz
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To: Responsibility2nd
Throw everything away and start over. Naturally this will take weeks and months of reformatting the election process into a fair and legal one; but the integrity of our country is at stake.

There's not time for that for this year. Instead, the state Legislatures should exercise their Constitutional Right under Article II to directly decide who their electors will be to the upcoming Electoral College vote.

Article II states, in part, "Each State shall appoint, in such manner the Legislature thereof may direct, a number of Electors, equal to the whole number of Senators and Representatives to which the State may be entitled in the Congress; ..."

18 posted on 11/07/2020 8:29:45 AM PST by libertylover (Election 2020: Make America Great Again or Burn it to the Ground. Choose one.)
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To: libertylover
There's not time for that for this year. Instead, the state Legislatures should exercise their Constitutional Right under Article II to directly decide who their electors will be to the upcoming Electoral College vote.

Article II states, in part, "Each State shall appoint, in such manner the Legislature thereof may direct, a number of Electors, equal to the whole number of Senators and Representatives to which the State may be entitled in the Congress; ..."

That is correct, and most likely to happen.

19 posted on 11/07/2020 8:35:35 AM PST by meadsjn (,)
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To: Responsibility2nd
Purple thumbs for everyone!🇺🇸
20 posted on 11/07/2020 8:41:04 AM PST by Keyhopper (Indians had bad immigration laws)
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