Buckle up...but...for those keeping score at home, here is the political leaning of the state legislatures - looking good for Red:
I didn't think the dog stole the show, but I get it.
Posted on 11/04/2020 7:34:18 AM PST by LS
Spent considerable time on the phone with Richard Baris who has been up all night watching these votes.
(I signed off last night thinking both WI and MI were secure!)
1) Baris thinks WI is legit, that the blue areas overperformed the way Cankles should have in 2016.
2) He thinks MI is suspect. Overcoming a 600,000 lead with utter top-end performance out of absentees? Baris recommends WH demand a re-canvass. Passed this rec along to WH.
3) PA: Baris thinks the Trump lead, especially in areas left to count, is insurmountable even for Philly Phraud. WH needs to be on top, but should hold PA.
4) He's concerned about Cobb and Fulton. But our own Lazamataz has run the numbers and Baris agrees Trump holds GA by 40,000.
5) AZ: both Gov. Douchey and Kelli Ward think we have the votes. Douchey has so informed the WH. WH thinks we hold AZ by 30,000.
GA, AZ, PA=win.
6) NV: although only 7,000 lead for Bitme right now with almost 1/3 outstanding, Baris is concerned that most of these are Clark absentees. It would be poetic justice to lose AZ, but win with NV.
Way too early for postmortems but Trump came in exactly where I said he would with blacks (12%, plus -4% off turnout). Baris called FL perfectly, saying Trump could win Hispanics outfight (48%, so pretty darn close).
After seeing the WI and MI leads, I thought we were safe in both. This is going to the courts if Trump holds AZ and GA. The good news in both states you have an R gov and legislature.
Haven't gotten around to senate. Last I heard it was 52-48, but that could change too.
Thanks, Larry.
Really enjoyed your broadcast last night. Well done!
The good news in both states you have an R gov and legislature.
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If you’re including MI, we have both the senate and the house, but the gov is a D, Whitmer.
According to Baris, these were all absentee/early ballots from Wayne and one other blue county.
Highly suspect, and MI needs to be immediately recanvassed.
I went to bed last night at 1:30 and Baris was looking at PA county-by-county and in great detail and Trump was up nearly 700K. I really respected his in-depth analysis.
Is it possible that he did not have “total vote count?” Were these “absentee ballots” suddenly found and not reported last night?
PInging LS to your GA post #15.
Thanks, Larry. Trump/Real America will prevail!
Baris thinks the 138K 98% Biden vote dump at 4 am from Milwaukee was legit? Is that what you are saying?
Listening to him now on with Bannon, just after Rudy sounded defeated for not being able to get Trump to listen to him last night.
But Baris sounds over his head, trying almost more to defend his projections than Trump’s legit vote.
Are Bannon & Co planning to do just their regular time show, or will this continue on, throughout the day? Have they said? TIA.
To ALL involved in this clear and concise overview of the status of the critical states, THANK YOU SO MUCH!!!!
I pray to GOD Trump can pull this off. I will NEVER believe Pedophile Joe got as many votes as he did.. EVER.
If Joe wins, KAMALA HARRIS BECOMES PRESIDENT and that is WORSE than the attack on Pearl Harbor. And NO I'm not being facetious.
I’m assuming you have NC in Trump’s column (where by all measures it should be)?
But if I understood Rudy correctly this morning, had they got an injunction last night they could have stopped the overnight counting until they had a monitor named to both oversee the count and hold the ballots out for possible examination.
By not doing that, Rudy appeared to be saying it has become impossible to call back those votes. Is that not so?
“Haven’t gotten around to senate. Last I heard it was 52-48, but that could change too.”
Looks like John James has a shot at taking a Senate seat in Michigan, but it’s close.
But Baris sounds over his head, trying almost more to defend his projections than Trump’s legit vote.
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Agree with this -
Enjoyed the podcast last night.
I was under the impression that Hammer had been stopped.
Hammer should be part of the litigation that’s coming.
I watched the webcast and was very glad you guys were doing it.
Buckle up...but...for those keeping score at home, here is the political leaning of the state legislatures - looking good for Red:
I didn't think the dog stole the show, but I get it.
Yes.
Struggling to buy that. Not because you said it though.
I have dealt with data all my life as an engineer and scientist. I don’t believe in coincidence and I don’t believe that right angle trends in data happen naturally. I do believe that people try to explain away things because of confirmation bias and they are almost always wrong.
Thanks for your effort. I wish we could go to war though. Elections will not settle our differences or save our nation. I hate it but I am ready as I’ll ever be.
How do we access your podcast?
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