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Election predictions
original to Free Republic | Nov 1 2020 | Peter O'Donnell

Posted on 10/31/2020 10:46:07 PM PDT by Peter ODonnell

So, time to share your insights, what will be the results of the historic election on Tuesday?

Here's my take -- first of all, disclaimer, I think there is a considerable chance of vote-counting irregularities contaminating one or more of the states, with legal challenges to come.

So with that partly clouding the outcome, I think Trump takes this by a slightly larger margin than last time, like around 340-198, and that he takes most of the states often mentioned as battlegrounds, plus one or two that seemed out of reach, maybe even a NY or a CA.

That is all dependent on a reasonably fair count. And we all know that is by no means guaranteed.

What do you think will happen?


TOPICS: Government; History; Politics; Society
KEYWORDS: california; newyork; peterodonnell
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1 posted on 10/31/2020 10:46:07 PM PDT by Peter ODonnell
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To: Peter ODonnell

I think you meant maybe MN or NV.


2 posted on 10/31/2020 10:48:46 PM PDT by UnbelievingScumOnTheOtherSide (Reverse Wickard v Filburn (1942) - and - ISLAM DELENDA EST)
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To: Peter ODonnell

Honestly, I have no idea. I absolutely understand why people think it will be a complete rehash of 2016, but the polls consistently show him behind and furthur behind than in 2020. And I’m having trouble reconciling “Look at the huge rallies in California!” with “Well they don’t want to admit on an anonymous phone call that they support Trump”

Florida seems in the bag, and Pennsylvia seems too close to call. I think it will come down to those two.


3 posted on 10/31/2020 10:50:37 PM PDT by TennesseeProfessor
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To: Peter ODonnell

Trump wins by a safe margin of over 310 EC votes.

I also predict that there will be a lot of violence and the insurrection act will be utilized and the revolt put down as it should be.


4 posted on 10/31/2020 10:50:37 PM PDT by oldenuff35
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To: Peter ODonnell

Trump wins with 352.

That’s assuming he doesn’t take California.


5 posted on 10/31/2020 10:51:37 PM PDT by reasonisfaith (What are the implications if the Resurrection of Christ is a true event in history?)
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To: reasonisfaith

Long shot, he sweeps every state.


6 posted on 10/31/2020 10:52:13 PM PDT by reasonisfaith (What are the implications if the Resurrection of Christ is a true event in history?)
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To: Peter ODonnell

326


7 posted on 10/31/2020 10:53:26 PM PDT by KC Burke (If all the world is a stage, I would like to request my lighting be adjusted.)
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To: TennesseeProfessor

he has a very realistic path without WI and PA.

AZ, NC, MI, IA, FL and OH and he’s in.

dems are doing TERRIBLY in FL.

I think MI is the big one. If he wins that, it’s in the bag.


8 posted on 10/31/2020 10:55:06 PM PDT by dp0622 (Tried a coup, a fake tax story, tramp slander, Russia nonsense, impeachment and a virus. They lost.)
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To: oldenuff35

AGREED


9 posted on 10/31/2020 10:56:08 PM PDT by theyreallthesame
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To: Peter ODonnell

Prediction: DP0622 has a heart attack from the stress right before they announce Trump as the winner.

FR stock goes up 80 percent the next morning.

Crime rate drops slightly in NYC :)


10 posted on 10/31/2020 10:56:50 PM PDT by dp0622 (Tried a coup, a fake tax story, tramp slander, Russia nonsense, impeachment and a virus. They lost.)
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To: Peter ODonnell
PA doesn’t look good. Not the polls, although those are bad, but the early voting - Dems are drubbing us. One could play it down and say R’s are more likely to vote on Election Day, Dems are more scared of Covid...But R’s are leading early voting in WI, and the Dem lead in FLA is less than it was this day in 2016. PA SOS Shapiro said that he “won’t allow” Trump to “steal the election” in Pennsylvania. He said in an accurate count of the votes Trump loses. So apparently he would consider Trump winning to be a steal by default and won’t allow Trump to win, to whatever extent he can influence the outcome.

Taking PA simplifies things tremendously, giving us those ECs and denying them to Biden. Without PA, it becomes a much stickier wicket for us. On that note, I’m not terribly confident.

But God willing, I’m wrong.

11 posted on 10/31/2020 10:56:58 PM PDT by TheDandyMan
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To: Peter ODonnell

>> I think there will be [voter fraud]

Not sure that’s a “disclaimer” — unless you’re a potential beneficiary of the fraud. Perhaps a “premise”?

There’s been no discussion of delegate rebellion... Remember the “principled” jackass from ?TX? 2016?


12 posted on 10/31/2020 10:58:15 PM PDT by Gene Eric (Don't be a statist!)
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To: Peter ODonnell

Trump in a landslide. I’m not saying he’ll be sworn in because the damned rats are going to be cheating from the get go and may, somehow, cheat him out of a second term.

My best friend, who’s at least as far right as I am, thinks Trump is going to lose whether the dims cheat or not. This worries me and I would dismiss the prediction out of hand, except this friend is the person who told me in the 80’s to “get used to saying President Clinton,” before I’d ever heard of Clinton. So when he talks, I listen. Yeah, I’m worried.


13 posted on 10/31/2020 10:59:13 PM PDT by LibWhacker
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To: Peter ODonnell

I feel comfortable enough to say “mark my words”. It’s going to be a staggering win for Trump. Biblical. It will be so stunning that there should be no question. But there will be. Many Dems won’t vote on Election Day because they know or will know that it’s going to be a whipping. There goes the down-ballot.

The Left sucks at math.


14 posted on 10/31/2020 11:03:42 PM PDT by ALASKA (It's not going to be pretty.)
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To: Peter ODonnell

I think Trump could max out at 440 EV but will get at least 375 EV.


15 posted on 10/31/2020 11:03:57 PM PDT by ConservativeMind (Trump: Befuddling Democrats, Republicans, and the Media for the benefit of the US and all mankind.)
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To: Peter ODonnell

Ok... here’s my prediction...

1. Unprecedented landslide victory for Trump... most likely a new record. I say this because while I can see a lot of democrats who were willing to cheat for Obama or Hillary, I just don’t see many democrats willing to risk their freedom for Joe Biden... and as much as they love to hate trump, I suspect that more of them than usual will not be so enthused about ballot harvesting or voter fraud.

2. Massive unrest and rioting to follow, along with charges of cheating leveled against Trump because of the numbers being so much higher than previously experienced.
Much of that anger may end up being directed at the press for setting them up yet again for a surprise defeat with biased polling.

3. An unknown tragedy... Some type of major crisis or catastrophic event that makes the thrill of victory short lived. May involve some type of attack by China, once they realize their billions of dollars invested just went up in smoke. (this is just one of those gut fears you hope isn’t truly prophetic)


16 posted on 10/31/2020 11:06:02 PM PDT by Safrguns
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To: dp0622

Ha ha... stats based on your mortality... a fighter’s mentality — we need you, and more like you, so no morbid bets to be made on this round ;)


17 posted on 10/31/2020 11:06:14 PM PDT by Gene Eric (Don't be a statist!)
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To: oldenuff35

I agree—Black and Latino Voters will put him over the top. But I fear an attempted coup may happen near Thanksgiving. Nancy Pelosi will not give up power without a fight! Next two months will see acts of terror and insurrection—Maybe Bombings. Believe there will be an attack on the White House.


18 posted on 10/31/2020 11:10:35 PM PDT by Forward the Light Brigade ( ALWAYS GO FORWARD AND NEVER GO BACK.)
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To: oldenuff35

I agree—Black and Latino Voters will put him over the top. But I fear an attempted coup may happen near Thanksgiving. Nancy Pelosi will not give up power without a fight! Next two months will see acts of terror and insurrection—Maybe Bombings. Believe there will be an attack on the White House.


19 posted on 10/31/2020 11:10:35 PM PDT by Forward the Light Brigade ( ALWAYS GO FORWARD AND NEVER GO BACK.)
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To: Peter ODonnell

I’m a pessimist by nature so I hope for the best and expect the worst.

Prediction:

1. Trump wins reelection.

2. Democrats take the senate.

3. Democrats keep the House but with fewer seats.


20 posted on 10/31/2020 11:12:41 PM PDT by Mr. N. Wolfe
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