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"Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Florida, and Michigan could tip into Biden territory if home buyers from blue counties looking at homes in red counties went through with their purchases. With these razor-thin margins, that could be just enough to swing the election—or not, if home searchers decide to put off their buying decisions."

"'This movement could be enough to mean states that went for Trump in 2016 may go for Biden in 2020," says realtor.com Chief Economist Danielle Hale. "If people take their political beliefs with them, that could lead to a changing electoral map.'”

"Only one of 30 confirmed red states, Georgia, is not expected to be more blue in this election.That's due to folks from liberal strongholds such as New York and California, as well as more local, progressive cities, relocating to these more conservative parts of the country that boast lower costs of living."

"Eight blue states plus Washington, DC, are expected to trend more red this year. However, none is expected to tip for Trump."

1 posted on 10/06/2020 5:13:07 PM PDT by Diana in Wisconsin
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

Cally goes red? How about that...


2 posted on 10/06/2020 5:15:09 PM PDT by Libloather (Why do climate change hoax deniers live in mansions on the beach?)
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

Sadly.

While I hoped,hope we can pull out this election, it’s going to happen that when the popular vote majority is democrat, eventually population will spread to other states, so the electoral college will reflect the popular majority.


3 posted on 10/06/2020 5:18:16 PM PDT by Williams (Stop Tolerating The Intolerant)
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

I think that this is wild speculation. Certainly change is coming, but I don’t think that anyone can predict in the way suggested by this article. Migration is only one of the variables that will be in play this year.


4 posted on 10/06/2020 5:19:54 PM PDT by centurion316
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To: Diana in Wisconsin
"To come up with these findings, realtor.com looked where home shoppers were based and the counties where they were searching for real estate online from August 2017 through August 2020. Our analysts looked at the percentage of the population in each county that voted Republican and Democratic in the 2016 presidential election. They then assumed that same percentage of home shoppers would bring those political affiliations to the counties where they were seeking to buy homes."

This is an invalid assumption.

It's at least equally as likely that the people leaving are in the minority politically in their state of origin. They're fed up and moving to friendlier territory.

A "study" based on flawed reasoning.

7 posted on 10/06/2020 5:28:55 PM PDT by MV=PY (The Magic Question: Who's paying for it?)
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To: Diana in Wisconsin
An unpopular stance, I understand...
But my wife and I have raised our family in South Philadelphia for 35 years. I truly love many of our neighbors. The little things, my Church, the folks at the post office, my barber, dentist, bartender, tailor, watchmaker, shoemaker, so many others, mean the world to me.
3 years ago, if you told me we'd be considering moving, I'd tell you, you were insane.
If Biden steals this election, or if Philadelphia D.A. Larry Krasner (Evil Super-villan) gets re-elected, we may very well pull up stakes.In fact, if anyone has a suggestion for a cold weather state with a shore line, that's definitely RED, I'd appreciate the input.
8 posted on 10/06/2020 5:32:03 PM PDT by End Times Sentinel (In the conflict between the stone and the stream, the stream will always prevail.)
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

Meanwhile, many of the states, including Florida, Pennsylvania and North Carolina, have a lot more registered GOP voters in 2020 than in 2016.


11 posted on 10/06/2020 5:38:15 PM PDT by july4thfreedomfoundation (Wipe ANTIFA off the face of the Earth. Indict Soros, too...their sugar daddy.)
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

Recall all of this moving around is during a census year that will determine elected representation for the next 10 years. How many answered the census and then relocated?


17 posted on 10/06/2020 5:50:27 PM PDT by Black Bart
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To: Diana in Wisconsin
"Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Florida, and Michigan could tip into Biden territory if home buyers from blue counties looking at homes in red counties went through with their purchases. With these razor-thin margins, that could be just enough to swing the election—or not, if home searchers decide to put off their buying decisions."

It shouldn't make any difference in Presidential politics if people are moving within the same state--except for maybe the cheating factor--Vote counters in big cities are more prone to be corrupt.

Anyway, none of this "counts" in terms of the electoral college until 2024, right?

18 posted on 10/06/2020 5:55:58 PM PDT by Jess Kitting
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

How much impact will the new 2020 census have on this, if any?


19 posted on 10/06/2020 6:13:00 PM PDT by Grampa Dave (The line that separated Satire, Democrats and Stupidity has vanished. (thanks to jonascord)!)
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To: Diana in Wisconsin
“The big question is where are the New York City and San Francisco refugees going,” wonders Stanford University political science professor Jonathan Rodden, author of “Why Cities Lose: The Deep Roots of the Urban-Rural Political Divide.” “If they are moving to suburbs or other parts of New York state or California ... this will have no impact on the Electoral College.”

But if, say, the New Yorkers are heading to Pennsylvania or the San Franciscans are moving to the swing state of Arizona, that could be a much bigger deal.

So say you live in UWS (Upper West Side in Manhattan). A really great place to live before DeBlasio got to work on it. So DeBlasio and Cuomo seemingly overnight, turn it into hell on earth, shootings and homicides up 150%, your small business regularly looted, police defunded by a billion dollars and essentially told to stand down as your property is looted by BLM hoodlums, homeless bozos bused into your very nice neighborhood and housed in the poshest hotels, other homeless people openly shooting up drugs in the streets and even defecating or giving blowjobs in the streets... and the list goes on.
So somebody help me out here, why on earth would you escape from this garbage in New York to a nice town in another state and then turn round and vote for another BeDlasio?
It don't make sense. Not gonna happen. They will vote red.

21 posted on 10/06/2020 6:23:00 PM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

I despise liberals who leave the shitholes they helped create and mover to red states and vote for the same type of politicians who screwed u their old state.


22 posted on 10/06/2020 6:30:32 PM PDT by Blood of Tyrants (Where do you find the word "except" in the 2nd Amendment?)
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

Liberal locusts.


28 posted on 10/06/2020 7:07:16 PM PDT by ArcadeQuarters (Socialism requires slavery.)
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

The assumption is that these people will vote democrat. I moved from NY State to SC and I vote straight Republican. And I have already voted!


31 posted on 10/06/2020 7:36:47 PM PDT by Ge0ffrey
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To: Diana in Wisconsin

If they voted for the politicians running these blue states they should stay where they are and try to fix what they helped break.


34 posted on 10/06/2020 8:06:07 PM PDT by John Locke Forever (blue states)
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