Posted on 08/21/2020 6:28:05 PM PDT by Brown Deer
While the mainstream media have sought to downplay the impact of 2020 party conventions, polls showing President Donald Trump surging ahead as the Democrats held their virtual rally have them both stumped and spinning.
“Don’t be surprised if Biden doesn’t get a convention bounce in the polls. That’s not the point,” declared an early Friday headline in the Washington Post. Post-convention surges are hard when the country is polarized and the parties “stage theirs back to back, as they will this year,” argued opinion writer Karen Tumulty.
Except both things were just as true in 2016, which didn’t stop the media from treating the “convention bounce” as a thing of conventional wisdom. Either way, the problem was not that the virtual Democratic National Convention in Milwaukee, Wisconsin didn’t move the needle for the Democrats and their ticket of Joe Biden and Kamala Harris – it’s that it somehow managed to jolt the public opinion in favor of Trump!
The president’s approval rating among likely US voters stood at 47 percent on Wednesday, with 51 percent disapproving. By Friday morning, those numbers had flipped completely, to 51 approval and 47 percent disapproval.
These are the numbers from the daily tracking poll by Rasmussen Reports, which is weighted at 37 percent Democrat, 33 percent Republican and 30 percent Independent.
This is in stark contrast to mainstream media reactions to Biden’s acceptance speech on Thursday evening – a brief but occasionally intense denunciation of Trump’s “darkness” in favor of the “light” supposedly offered by the Democrats.
Election gurus have been laying the groundwork for managing expectations about the convention ‘bounce’ since July. American politics are polarized, they said, and the Covid-19 pandemic guaranteed the conventions would be virtual, rather than the normally raucous in-person parties that let host cities cash in.
“Maybe more people will watch the conventions than normal because they’re stuck inside because of the coronavirus pandemic,” argued CNN’s Harry Enten last weekend. “Still, the cumulative evidence suggests that a big convention bounce will be hard to come by this year.”
The popular statistical analysis website FiveThirtyEight – which gave Trump the same odds of winning this year that he beat in 2016 – cautioned in July that convention ‘bounce’ has been diminishing, “likely” due to polarized politics. Their analysis focused on how Trump will have a hard time boosting his ratings without the ability to hold large in-person rallies, due to the virus.
Lol!
Biden is our secret weapon.
OOOPs~!
Election night is gonna be soooo sweet
I think the “point” they are making is that THEY are the Democrat Convention, 24/7, all channels, all papers, everywhere.
How come you can post an RT story? I’ve tried and been blocked
Occasionally have some good, verifiable news Stories that US media downplays or buries. But I haven’t been able to post them
So what was “the point”, KAREN?
Biden is our secret weapon.
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Yep. Joe, it’s time for you to get back to the basement. And please stay there.
Post in the “Bloggers & Personal” forum.
What do YOU think it was, KAREN?
Ha ha ha ha!!
“Don’t look over here! Look over THERE!”
Trump gets a 47 percent disapproval and 51 approval and going up.
Yeah it never is the point, right.....
What liars
At one time, either party’s convention would create a bounce for that parties’ candidate. Not a thud.
Bye-Done
They’re gonna need a bigger basement.
The DNC and democrat party leaders were heard saying: “Oops! We goofed! Is it too late to nominate somebody else? Anybody? Mueller. Mueller.”.
I think the average viewer last night saw an uninspiring old swamp rat politician (who stands for nothing) struggling to read words off of a message board..
Biden is our secret weapon.
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It’s only fair, McCain was Obama’s.
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