Posted on 08/02/2020 9:33:25 AM PDT by EyesOfTX
The Trump 2020 landslide is starting to build. – Although most of the conventional polls still show Hidin’ Joe Biden with a lead, there is no question that we have see a noticeable movement in the polling over the past two weeks in President Trump’s favor. The absurd Biden leads of 12 – 15 points being trumpeted in the corrupt news media a month ago have now given way to single digit margins ranging from 4 – 9 points as pollsters try to make their output somewhat more believable to a knowing public.
I’m not a person who obsesses over polls, mainly because the vast majority of polls are now as corrupt as the news media, and designed to create news stories rather than genuinely attempt to reflect public opinion. But one polls released Sunday morning does deserve mentioning, not because it shows President Trump now holding a narrow margin in the national popular vote and a larger edge in several battleground states, but because of its findings on a series of other questions that really do give us an idea of how voter opinions are trending.
The Democracy Institute/Sunday Express poll shows the President with a 48-46% lead in the national popular vote, as well as a 48-43% edge in the swing states of Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Wisconsin. Among those states, Biden only leads in Wisconsin, which Trump won in 2016. The deduction of that state’s electoral votes and the addition of Minnesota and New Hampshire to the Trump column would result in a Trump Electoral College victory of 309 to 229, larger by 3 than his winning margin in 2016.
But let’s be honest: This is just another poll, and while it does look at likely voters to give it more validity, it is still more than 90 days before the election. So these numbers, while encouraging, are still just a guess.
The more interesting aspects of this particular poll come in the other questions that are designed to measure the trends in voter attitudes, i.e., that factors that will help determine the way they end up voting in November. Several of them are extremely troubling for the Biden camp, and indicate he will find it almost impossible to actually prevail when voting time comes.
Here are some of those:
– The measure of “shy” voters who are reluctant to be honest with pollsters about how they plan to vote. An astounding 71% of Trump voters said they are actually “shy” voters. This is a clear indication that many Trump voters actually lie to pollsters when asked who the plan to vote for, which is certainly understandable given the corrupt media’s campaign to shame all Trump voters as racists or even worse.
– The growing Enthusiasm Gap. 79 percent of Trump voters are enthusiastic about their candidate compared to just 41 percent of Biden voters, two points lower than a month ago. This is by far the largest such gap I have ever seen between two presidential candidates, and I have been following this stuff religiously since 1980. This will presage an enormous turnout advantage for Trump if it holds up.
– That Enthusiasm Gap gets even worse for Biden in this followup question:
Q. “Is your vote for Trump/Biden a positive vote for your candidate or a negative vote against his opponent?
Trump voters: positive vote = 84%; negative vote = 16% Biden voters: positive vote = 32%; negative vote = 68% – The growing recognition by voters that Biden is suffering from advancing dementia. I’ve been writing about this reality since before Biden even announced his candidacy last April, and a growing number of likely voters are becoming aware of it. According to this poll, a phenomenal 58 percent believe Mr Biden is suffering from cognitive decline compared to 55 percent last month. Even worse for Biden, 48 percent are less likely to vote for him as a result compared to 40 percent a month ago.
– The Expectations Game. Fully 62% of voters expect that Trump will win the first debate against Biden. That expectation, combined with Biden’s increasingly obvious mental decline, is why you will never see a debate between these two men this Fall.
Also, by a margin of 54-46%, voters expect the President to defeat Biden.
There is much, much more in this poll, and pretty much all of it is discouraging for Biden.
That’s good news for America.
That is all.
Is the DNC going to pull a switcheroo?
Dem slogan.
“Shock” poll? C’mon man.
They were hoping to either lose or do the switcheroo 5 minutes after Biden gets sworn in.
Plan B was a Clinton Obama ticket. The Maxwell arrest casts doubt on that now. They may be stuck with Biden now. For what ever reason they won’t run Sanders, never did understand why.
Not according to Chris Wallace on Fox news this Sunday morning. He says Biden leads Trunp by 10 nationwide!
Hope the GOP can do something about the NV ballot harvesting.
Are the power hungry marxist Democrats so deluded that they actually belive they can nominate a demented man and win? IMHO Biden “for personal and health” reasons will announce a “tortured and painful” withdrawal of his candidacy within two weeks. Then the melee among the marxists will be such an amusing spectacle that people will not notice the lack of professional and college sports or the absence of new movie releases.
I wouldn’t put it past them.
I also wouldn’t put it past them to say “You WILL vote for Biden, or we’ll destroy the country! And you can’t stop us!”
Bet me.
Chris the Weasel Wallace?
That guy has his HUHA.
Trump wins the popular vote? Get rid of the electoral college. Heh heh.
We have a well known and documented history of Joe Biden. No matter what lipstick they put on the jerk he is what he is, a self made political hack with limited intelligence and a big ego, coupled with diminished capacity as his crime spree of 40 years must come to a close.
If the President wins and the House stays in Demonrat hands, there will be another impeachment. Secondly, Ruth Bader Ginsburg can only cheat the Grim Reaper for so long, thus making the Senate hugely important also.
I would need to see more proof that Trump could win Minnesota and New Hampshire . Yeah, I know about 2016 but I know both states. We need to win WI.
I'm serious, the Marxists believe Trump is badly damaged and think Hillary could kick his ass. But he will kick her ass ..again.
Videos are all over Tik Tok of him saying the most bizarre stuff.
[[[”Vote Blue No Matter Who”...]]]]
“Yellow Dogs” love their fleas.
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