Posted on 05/15/2020 1:23:57 PM PDT by jmaroneps37
Republican Mike Garcia’s upset victory in the 25th Congressional District special election last Tuesday was a great victory for America. It suggests the possibility that California’s Republican Party may not be dead as is widely thought. The initial data on who voted and who did not vote is very encouraging for those of us who want to see the House back in Republican hands.
Election officials mailed out 480.000 ballots that contained self-addressed stamped envelopes. Only a little less than 144,000 were returned.
The available information shows that 40 percent of registered Republicans voted but just 27 percent of registered Democrats voted. That represents a huge 13-point enthusiasm gap that has to have Democrats worried. The number of independents who returned their ballot has yet to be determined.
The registration breakdown in California as follows: independent 25.5%, Democrat 44.4%, and just 25.1 percent are Republican.
These numbers clearly show that the Republican victory had a lot of help from independents which is a good sign. The rest of the data from this election shows that there are 30,000 more Democrats in the district than Republicans; 51% of voters 65 or older voted, which is good for Republicans, and just 15% of voters 35 or under voted which is very bad news for Democrats.
Now for the “Yeah but.”
There is a lingering perception that Democrats cheated to steal several California House seats in 2018 by use of vote harvesting mail in voting, now the only way to vote in the Golden State. In some races, Democrats were able to “find” enough votes to steal elections even three days after the polls closed.
They were able to do this precisely because there were multiple elections involved. That stretched out the scare resources of Republicans who were caught unprepared for the Democrats’ latest voter fraud scheme.
Garcia won by 12 points which would have been a very tough, but not at all impossible, threshold for cheating Democrats to overcome. Nevertheless,what would have happened if they tried “finding” 18,000 votes in someone’s trunk is not hard to imagine.
The chances are if they “got away” with it, Democrats would have produced a ready- made defense against their efforts to push mail-in voting on the entire country. It is not hard to imagine President Trump pointing to the result as a prime example of Democrats using mail-in voting to cheat.
This gives rise to sinister possibilities. Are the Democrats so convinced everyone hates Trump, so they can afford to let this seat go to avoid supplying ammunition against mail-in voting? Are they that confident they can just steal the seat back in November?
On the upside, the myth of Democrat invincibility in California has been broken. Republicans now know the limits of Democrat cheating power. They know that breaking the vote harvesting scheme is where they should concentrate because supportive voters are out there.
The district is 40 % Hispanic which, of course made the road a bit less bumpy for Garcia, but the fact that Hispanics have voted against Republicans with Hispanic names before cannot be overlooked.
There are many California districts with forty or more percent Hispanic populations. There is now a small light in the dark Democrat cheating tunnel, California Republicans have to keep walking toward it.
Mail in ballots work to the GOPs benefit.”
Like hell they do. The rats are pushing it hard for a reason. In fact wouldn’t wouldn’t be surprised if this wasn’t a set up so they can say “See there was mail voting and the GOP won
by a lot this idea that Mail voting helps the Democrats is not true”.
For the recent CA special election, ballot harvesting was out of the question because people could not go visiting other people’s houses.
Because of Covid19 Shelter in Place.
That explanation fits the facts better than most theories I have read.
Good take.
Could be they let us have this win to reduce resistance to mail in voting hoping for the whole ball of wax in November.
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That is EXACTLY what I think. But are they smart enough to do that?
That district comfortably elected Republicans for decades until 2018. Let’s see an actual Democratic district swing R before we see a trend.
The only people more devious than Democrats are muslims.
Nov. 4 is too late unless you are a Democrat. Election is Nov. 3.
One of ACD’s most prescient remarks.
Only a little less than 144,000 were returned.
Is it just my grammar-Nazi-mom upbringing, or does no one know the difference between 'less' and 'fewer'?
I hear this regularly out of the NPR keystone Nazi's now. Has the world moved beyond 'fewer'? Alas, am I the only human on earth left who cringes at this?
It voted for Hillary Clinton too, don’t forget.
“The fact that the media has said almost nothing about this victory tells us how worried they are about it.”
Not necessarily. They could have whipped up some issue or used it to push some issue if they felt it necessary.
Keep in mind that we are not the only ones who can learn from this. We have to anticipate what the evil thugs on the left will learn, or they may use the lessons to steal far more seats in November than they lost this month. I’m optimistic, but only if decent Americans remain vigilant. Freedom’s enemies never sleep.
Did CV minimize the door knocking?
The other side of that: In our state each district has two R and two D poll workers. We are paid a small bonus for transporting the results from the polling place back to the municipal offices, and we rotate the duty for fairness. But in the case of uncounted ballots from a reliably Republican district, a committed Democrat might lose the bag or delay the delivery to invalidate the votes.
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