Posted on 04/23/2020 8:34:15 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
That’s an average number. Do we have the range? That would be more relevant?
I believe a very large number of deaths each year are caused by medical malpractice. Currently, most people are staying away from their doctors. Resulting in fewer deaths.
Well, you require people to stay in their houses, of course death rates are going to drop....
Until they go crazy from ‘cabin fever’ and start killing each other... Or start starving to death because they can’t get food.
Death rates are low right now and the CV deaths are overstated...but there is a disclaimer I found that numbers less than 8 weeks old might get revised up slightly. So the impact on overall death rates of CV can’t officially be nailed down for a month or two.
RE: I believe a very large number of deaths each year are caused by medical malpractice. Currently, most people are staying away from their doctors.
Are you saying that our doctors are mostly useless and kill more people than save lives?
People are avoiding hospitals so they are not having fatal complications of surgeries, drug reactions, blood clots, too.
Doesn't have to be malpractice. There are risks involved in all procedures, and if you decrease the number of those procedures you will have a decrease in short-term death. Plus, there are fewer people on the roads (less traffic deaths). People are also being more vigilant about symptoms, and the social isolation is probably also decreasing the incidence of other infectious diseases. There are likely several other contributors. Of course, malpractice does happen.
Medical errors is the third largest cause of death in a typical year. Estimates range from 250,000 to almost 500,000.
I dropped out of nursing school because I could never live with the thought that I hurt someone in the course of doing my job. Yet we have doctors killing thousands of people every year with foolish mistakes and nothing ever happens.
Something is fishy here. The article cites the ability to compare the mortality rates of the first 14 weeks of 2019 with the first 14 weeks of 2020. The linked spreadsheet doesn’t provide that information. What gives?
Shame he only explored a few options, and not really cumulatively.
That said, I pointed out as the lockdown began that this was a plausible result - for there to end up being a net lower number of deaths, as has happened to US soldiers in war since the end of WWII. This is mostly due to young men not living in towns where teenagers and young men drive and drink and do openly dumb stuff.
Another of the list should be medical care, which when surgeries and other high risk treatments take place result in a lot of deaths. Slowing their pace for a while would be expected to cause a slowing of deaths in the very short term - which is what we are talking about.
Death rates are low right now and the CV deaths are overstated...
NYC puts the lie in the light when you saw an average daily death rate of 150 rise to over 400 for this whole month, with a week of 700 or so. No way to overstate that in numbers that adjust the analysis.
I believe a very large number of deaths each year are caused by medical malpractice. Currently, most people are staying away from their doctors. Resulting in fewer deaths.
Deaths from all causes, (latest data was from 4/17 is 582,565), and that is 92% expected.
There are some notable shifts as deaths from pneumonia is actually decreasing while Covid pneumonia deaths are increasing.
Some of that may be to hospitals merging the codes for deaths toward Covid as they get more funding for that. Doc told me that where they had a different code for death by pneumonia they were told to “blur” that into the Covid code-that is how NY “found” over 2,000 new deaths in one day.
Covid gets you $s, flu and pneumonia does not.
Yes. Everyone back to work, to restaurants, bars and malls.
Or they just die at home and get counted as COVID deaths.
Might have to wait a while to calculate that. We’ll have to see how many people who would have seen doctors about cancers, heart problems, diabetes and other serious conditions but didn’t because hospitals and clinics are turning away anyone who isn’t on death’s doorstep right now die later due to lack of timely care and diagnosis.
When (if) hospitals and clinics get back to normal they will have quite a backlog of patients to see.
The hospital ER I work in NJ has been seeing less and less of this in the last two weeks.
Historians will look at this like the witch trials of Europe
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