You mean she's bidin' her time?
Posted on 09/26/2019 4:56:26 AM PDT by EyesOfTX
Today’s Campaign Update (Because The Campaign Never Ends)
The Biden lead is crashing like the 1929 stock market. – Today’s Campaign Update has been predicting since April – when he formally entered the race – that Joe Biden’s polling lead would be gone by October and that he would leave the race for the presidency shortly after March 4, 2020, which is Super Tuesday.
As things turn out, the nation’s Unfrozen Caveman Senator is right on pace to achieve the first piece of that two-pronged prediction. The three most current new polls out this week all now show him in a statistical tie with Fauxcahontas, the life-long fraud who is now the candidate with all the momentum in the race. The polls all come from legitimate polling groups – Economist/YouGov, Emerson and Quinnipiac – which are independent from major U.S. fake media outlets. That’s an important distinction, since those major fake news outlets produce their “polls” as a means to create fake news instead of any real effort to measure the state of the race.
Biden’s once-strong leads in Iowa and New Hampshire, the first two contests in the race, have already disappeared into the ether, although he does still cling to leads in the most current polls in South Carolina and Nevada, the two contests that come after New Hampshire. Faced with this reality, the Biden campaign has now taken to saying that it is not important for their confused candidate to win Iowa or New Hampshire, which smart observers will note is exactly what the campaign of Rudy Giuliani kept saying back in 2008. How did that work out for the Mayor?
The big outlier in the national polls is The Hill/HarrisX poll. HarrisX is a legitimate polling group, and its poll, taken on September 20/21, came out before the controversy about Biden’s interference in the Ukraine on behalf of his ne’er-do-well son Hunter, broke into the news cycle. That one still had Biden’s support up over 30%, and Fauxcahontas way down at 14%, trailing even The Commie.
That is a real outlier compared to these three more-recent polls, and it will be interesting to see where it comes out in its next iteration. That may not happen until after October 1, since it has been on a two-week cycle.
Lots of other interesting stuff in these three most-recent polls, including:
– Bernie Sanders is basically dead in the water at this point. He is stuck in the mid-teens, mainly because he has no new ideas that aren’t recycled from his 2016 effort. He just keeps on repeating the same tired Marxist talking points over and over again, and that just bores the short-attention-span Democrat voter base back to playing games on their IPads. Fauxcahontas has become the more interesting and energetic Marxist of the day.
– Irish Bob O’Rourke has now fallen behind Andrew Yang. His strategy of attracting support by being the loudest, shrillest and most profane finger-pointer in the crowd has failed just as everything else he has ever tried in his life. He gone, he just don’t know it yet.
– The same can and should be said of Cory Booker. He polls at dead zero in two of those three polls. His campaign recently let it be known that it is almost out of money and that he would probably have to leave the race soon if fundraising doesn’t pick up. There is no reason whatsoever why fundraising for the goofy Senator should pick up.
– Like The Commie, Kamala Harris is also dead in the water. Her support numbers, which had been stuck in the 6-8% range throughout July and August, are now stuck in the 3-4% range. Like Booker, it is hard to see any reason why they might suddenly pick up. As bad as she has been as a senator, she is even worse – absolutely horrible – as a candidate. For you college football fans, Harris is the Jim Harbaugh of the political world – blessed with more hype than Barack Obama, but unable to meet expectations on the field of play.
– Then there’s Mayor Pete, or Preacher Pete as The Campaign Update prefers to call him. The little Deacon has one of the most loyal bases of support of any candidate in this race. The trouble is, that base of support has settled in right at 6%, and no one should expect him to move substantially above or below that level. He is the 6% candidate, waiting to become VEEP arm candy for Fauxcahontas in next year’s general election.
– The only other thing worth noting here is that Tulsi Gabbard has now qualified under the DNC’s very mysterious rules for the October debate. Thus, there will be one actually interesting person on stage with 11 circus clowns for that one. Given Democrat voter preference for circus clowns, that will likely be Tulsi’s last stand.
All that having been said, the odds are now getting a little better for one of these candidates, most likely Fauxcahontas, to accumulate the necessary majority of delegates during the primary races to win on a first ballot at next year’s nominating convention. Biden’s rapid fall, combined with the inability of candidates like Harris, Booker, Preacher Pete or Irish Bob to gain any real traction, make it more likely that only 2 or 3 of those who survive into 2020 will be able to get to the 15% threshhold in each state to be awarded delegates.
This is now Fauxcahontas’s race to lose, which should come as no surprise to readers of The Campaign Update. We have consistently told you that Democrat voters love a good liar, and will pretty much always nominate the single biggest life-long fraud in the field. That has been the case in every nominating battle since 1992, and there was never any reason to think this one would turn out any differently.
Given that, here are my new odds for the ultimate winner of this race:
Fauxcahontas – Even money
Someone not in the current field – 2 to 1
Biden – 5 to 1
The Commie – 20 to 1
Preacher Pete – 50 to 1
Kamala – 50 to 1
The Field – 100 to 1
That is all.
Have to wonder if the anti-Biden Democrats made the charges against Trump and Ukraine - hoping it would also rebound on Biden?
Can’t argue with that assessment. It’s pretty much spot-on.
As Super Tuesday approaches, watch for damaging stories meant to take out Fraudahontas or whomever the front runner is
Who cares, lol.
You mean she's bidin' her time?
I suspect Warren will implode next.
For all the snide belittling of the candidates, don’t forget: one will win the nomination, and will get nearly half the boots on the election.
boots = votes
I’m beginning to believe that Barry was given a heads up that Trump knew all about the Ukrainian/CrowdStrike situation. In the interim between Trump’s July request to the Ukrainian president and now Trump might have actually taken possession of the server. Barry is probably the one who ordered this Ukrainian impeachment scam to set the narrative of Trump collusion. My money’s on Barry throwing Slo Joe under the bus to protect himself.
Unfrozen Caveman Senator, funny
Emerson and YouGov are quasi legit polling outlets, Quinnipiac not so much, but otherwise analysis is pretty good.
I think Hillary's plan is get everyone to rally around Warren, then at the last second, throw her under the bus and step in without the "nasty business" of those pesky primaries.
Someone not in the current field – 2 to 1
—
That is where I would put my money.
It has been clear to me for awhile that Biden was just a place holder. Never a serous candidate.
The only reason the Democrat elite (the boys in the smoke filled room) has allowed these clowns to go all retard is because none of them have a shot.
The goal is to keep the base energized while the clowns put on a show. When the moment is right, the real candidate will appear.
Who ever it is will be someone without much baggage and will presented as a moderate. Another leftest in sheep clothing, something like Obama was presented.
Because they are Democrats they will either be a woman or “person of color”, or both.
Bottom line is that it really does not matter who they put forward as a candidate, since that individual will be just another figure head, someone else will be the real decision maker.
“I may not be accustomed to your collusion technology...your placement of servers in Ukraine frightens me, but I know one thing...Hunter Biden is guilty.”
My prediction is still Hillary steps in at the last minute to “Save the Party”. Watch as Warren holds the lead until Biden gives up and then Hillary stabs Pocahontas in the back. I’m betting the “whistleblower”/leaker was a Hillary supporter.
It’s Hillary or Michael Obama.
They don’t want them to have to go through the primary process. Just have a huge candidate field and bomb the leader constantly so no one has the states - then toss your candidate in during the brokered convention.
But they still have to go against Trump, and Trump can out-campaign anyone.
I’m with Cincinnati65. The Rats love corruption. No one has the corrupt network of reliable pals Hillary has. No one. It cost her billions to create.
It’s Sue Gordon. Everyone was expecting her to get the DNI position, but Trump nixed her and told her to take a walk. Ratliffe is in charge of this now and she’s desperate to remain anonymous.
I wonder when they are going to draft Big Mike.
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