Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

How A Supreme Court Ruling Could Supercharge Republicans’ Advantages In The States
538.com ^ | June 20, 2019

Posted on 06/20/2019 4:09:26 AM PDT by SMGFan

For months, Supreme Court obsessives (guilty as charged) have been waiting for the court to decide whether to permit the Trump administration to add a question about citizenship to the 2020 census. That decision could come down as soon as Thursday, but it might not be long before the topic is back in front of the high court. If the justices rule that the question can go on the form, the legal fallout from the ruling could get messy quickly.

Much of the controversy around the question has focused on how it will affect the accuracy of the population count. There’s a reason for that — as I wrote earlier this week, census data helps guide countless decisions about American life, including how our congressional representatives are distributed. But there’s an additional fight brewing, and it has major implications for FiveThirtyEight’s other favorite topic: gerrymandering.

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: census; gerrymandering; judiciary; scotus; supremecourt
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041 next last
Opinions announced after 10 am today and Monday.

This decision possibly the last opinion released on Monday(?)

1 posted on 06/20/2019 4:09:26 AM PDT by SMGFan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: SMGFan

...sniff...sniff! What’s that I smell?


2 posted on 06/20/2019 4:39:31 AM PDT by gr8eman (Ex-Flyer fan!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SMGFan
“How it will affect the accuracy of the population count”

That the point. Trump wants to find out exactly how many non-citizens are in this country. Its probably up to 70 million by now.

3 posted on 06/20/2019 4:58:28 AM PDT by Flavious_Maximus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SMGFan

IMO, Cali and NY don’t want it because they want to disguise the exodus from their states, with illegals who return the questioner. Probably illegals don’t want it because they are afraid ICE will pick them up and deport if they check NO.


4 posted on 06/20/2019 5:04:05 AM PDT by duckman ( Not tired of winning!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Flavious_Maximus; SMGFan

Dilution is not the solution.

The public school system is not teaching students basic math and are skipping past the importance of weighted averages. Several “normal” distributions are shifting in the wrong direction.


5 posted on 06/20/2019 5:04:51 AM PDT by ptsal
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: SMGFan

Dumb question: won’t people just lie?


6 posted on 06/20/2019 5:06:53 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (If White Privilege is real, why did Elizabeth Warren lie about being an Indian?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SMGFan

“ removing noncitizens from the population count would likely help Republicans when redistricting season rolls around, by making it easier to shift the balance of political power from urban to rural areas.”

It’s one man one vote. Only citizens should be counted for Congressional districts, since noncitizens cannot legally vote.


7 posted on 06/20/2019 5:11:31 AM PDT by djpg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Flavious_Maximus

Because everyone who is a non-citizen is going to answer the question truthfully, and then we’ll know how many non-citizens are here.

Why fight over this?


8 posted on 06/20/2019 5:12:19 AM PDT by bk1000 (I stand with Trump)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: ClearCase_guy

My bet is, if the question is on the census, illegals would not respond or would answer honestly. At least while Trump is in office.

If the question is NOT on the census: Then I suggest conservatives in blue states refuse to comply. If there were enough conscientious objectors, blue states would have a mess on their hands while they try to sort it out.


9 posted on 06/20/2019 5:12:46 AM PDT by mewzilla (Break out the mustard seeds,)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: djpg

The constitution sorta muddled that. Vote needs citizenship. Census needs warm body. I wish they were more clear, but alas....


10 posted on 06/20/2019 5:20:50 AM PDT by napscoordinator (Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: napscoordinator

I don’t Trust Roberts, especially when it comes to illegals. He was among those who smacked AZ down for trying to enforce Federal Law. I expect him to stab us in the back again.


11 posted on 06/20/2019 5:25:35 AM PDT by gibsonguy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Flavious_Maximus
Trump wants to find out exactly how many non-citizens are in this country. Its probably up to 70 million by now.

What would possess people who are here illegally (criminals) to answer honestly on a census form or any form for that matter?

Related question: What tools/databases do authorities have to help them verify a person's citizenship status?

12 posted on 06/20/2019 5:30:24 AM PDT by JesusIsLord
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: SMGFan

I know it’s not a popular position here, but the census is to count those living here.

Citizen or non-citizen statistics are for information only.

non-citizens will still be counted along with the rest, as far as re-districting is concerned


13 posted on 06/20/2019 5:31:16 AM PDT by digger48
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SMGFan

Why can’t POTUS do it by EO, keep it off census.


14 posted on 06/20/2019 5:34:39 AM PDT by Rappini (Compromise has its place. It's called second.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Rappini

Good idea for blue state conservatives to dodge the census. Cut the districts for the blue states.


15 posted on 06/20/2019 6:08:46 AM PDT by Oldexpat (Jobs Not Mobs)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: gibsonguy

I agree. Why is it republican justices who get wobbly? Democrats never do.


16 posted on 06/20/2019 6:17:53 AM PDT by napscoordinator (Trump/Hunter, jr for President/Vice President 2016)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: djpg

not sure it that was even an issue when Constitution was written . Or later census.
And the three fifths compromise was the order of the day.


17 posted on 06/20/2019 6:19:23 AM PDT by SMGFan ("God love ya! What am I talking about")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: SMGFan

Correct me if I am wrong, but not answering truthfully on a census for a crime?


18 posted on 06/20/2019 6:23:41 AM PDT by School of Rational Thought
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: School of Rational Thought

always was.

see census.gov


19 posted on 06/20/2019 6:25:26 AM PDT by SMGFan ("God love ya! What am I talking about")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: SMGFan

Okay so if they put the citizenship question on the census form what requires someone to answer it? And who doesn’t think that the Democrats won’t organize a boycott of that question by all Democrats in protest?


20 posted on 06/20/2019 6:34:35 AM PDT by DoodleDawg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson