Posted on 09/19/2018 5:52:04 AM PDT by jmaroneps37
By now you have read that Quinnipiac released a survey report showing that Senator Ted Cruz is up 54/45 over fake Mexican Beto O’Rourke.
While this is great news, given the source we can only wonder what the real spread is.
Of Course this is great news, but great news always seems to be followed by bleating from headline readers and those who think Republicans cannot win in November because their previous special election victories have been by narrow margins over the past 18 months.
Those who believe this are left to explain yesterday's Republican victory in a Texas Senate special election.
Nevertheless, now comes the news that a Hispanic Republican has beaten a Hispanic Democrat in a Texas Senate special election held in SD 19 yesterday.
Foolish hand wringing aside, the significance of this Republican victory is huge.
Republican Pete Flores won 53/47.
Hillary Clinton won this district by 12 points meaning Flores has achieved an 18 point turnaround.
The population of SD 19, which is directly on the southern border and in the shadow of San Antonio, is 68% Hispanic; and 75% have a high school diploma or more.
The district has been in Democrat hands continually for 139 years!
This is yet another clear sign that the high approval of President Donald Trump among minorities – in this case Hispanics – is transferring to Republican candidates in Texas as it has in Florida and California.
CNN has a poll showing the Dem ahead by 150 pts.
Minorities love Trump. The fake news would have you believe otherwise though.
LOL
I would think the increase in approval of African Americans will put Republicans even further ahead. Watching the AA people wake up and smell the coffee is truly heart warming.
Texas biggest risk is complacency. With only 40% voter turnout in the last presidential election, complacency is the real risk in TX
“Texas biggest risk is complacency. With only 40% voter turnout in the last presidential election, complacency is the real risk in TX”
Trump voters will crawl through broken glass to for to slap the Democrats silly.
Sure doesn’t look like by the numbers of 2016.. .TX was one of the lowest in terms of eligible voters who actually turn out.
“I would think the increase in approval of African Americans will put Republicans even further ahead.”
That could be what it is. The pollsters have not adjusted their methodology to account for the shift in the Black vote. They are keeping the percentage rate the same.
The only poll to trust is the one on Nov 7.
Go vote.
I have been commenting lately on the subject of conservatives who refuse to support the “lesser of two evils” in a general election. There are those on our wonderful forum who believe that not voting for some Republican is a heinous sin, the sin of “giving the seat to the Democrats,” to “teach those Republicans a lesson.” (No it isn’t.)
To you I wish to suggest respectfully that “complacency” may not provide a complete explanation for a lack of turnout. Rather there are many on our side who believe that the country passed the point of no return long ago. If we sincerely believe this, then you must give us a real reason to come out and vote for your candidate. Campaign promises and passionate declarations of conservative bona fides won’t do it. Neither will all the outraged accusations of treasonous disloyalty to the cause.
“They are rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic!”
“Who is John Galt?”
“I voted FOR Sara Palin.”
“...only if God intervenes.”
I would be very interested in a discussion of when that point of no return was passed, and what might have been done at that time. I might also put on my tuxedo and listen to the band play “Nearer My God to Thee.”
It was a special election , the republican won for the first time in 139 years .
That’s what caught my eye. Here in PA special elections seemingly go un-noticed most of the time. For this seat to flip after 139 years is something else..
We’re in district 15 so we watched this race closely . Very exciting !
In *real* news, in a special election in Texas Senate district 19, which has been in Democrat hands for 139 years, just flipped to Republican, giving the Republicans a clear supermajority in the state senate.
Here is the big, honking T-19:
https://www.texastribune.org/directory/districts/tx-senate/19/
Flores defeats Gallego in Senate District 19
According the Secretary of State’s website, Flores won with 53 percent of the vote to Gallego’s 47 percent with 44,487 ballots cast.
So it wasn’t even close.
A fair argument, but when Texas is one of the LOWEST turnout percentage of eligible voters in the country, and by a large margin, I don’t chalk that up to simply folks who are just disengaged or disgusted....
That is complacency... Our side always wins, why bother showing up.... And that sort of complacency is how you wind up with a shock loss.
Was the Dem incumbent complacent and figured he couldn’t lose?
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