Posted on 08/31/2018 7:29:55 AM PDT by jmaroneps37
It will be a tough choice for lefties; Economy or party. Everybody knows everything is better and getting mo better because of DJT.
Look, if last night’s rally is anything to go by, the Democrats going hard Left is asking for trouble outside of the coastal regions.
Sobering numbers for the dems, whose constituents like money, jobs, less competition for those jobs, and less crime, none of which dems embrace.
If the GDP sustains itself, and there is little doubt about that, and the jobs-market continues on at this pace...I think he can get 40-percent of black voters in 2020. In states like California or NY....it won’t matter. But I think in states like NJ or Ill...it might be a shocker. Even Detroit might go for Trump.
I now think that Trump will wait until after the mid-terms to really begin the war against Democrat corruption. But I think he will unveil just enough of the data showing treason and corruption to have an influence on the elections.
The Democrats offer nothing but hatred.
Trump is trying to clean up their mess and make the country better.
Voters will vote accordingly.
Republicans, Libertarians, and like-minded pro-American Democrats need to get out on Election Day 2018 and vote as if their lives and livelihoods are depending upon who wins the election, as both lives and livelihoods DO depend upon who wins.
Hmm, anyone remember the old phrase, “It’s the economy, stupid.”
Thank you, Mr. Carville.
Good work. Thanks for posting.
Just this morning it was reported that HALF OF AMERICANS WANT TRUMP IMPEACHED!!!!
Yeah. Right. Says I.
This is the absolute nub of the whole "poll validity" issue as far as I am concerned. This would be 110% consistent with how liberals view themselves. They know better. You do not. That's the beginning and the end of the story. Polls are taken and disseminated by college educated people who studied sociology in the 70s and who have developed businesses for themselves. Briefly think on that one thought.
“But this survey shows that most blue- collar workers feel good about themselves and their jobs...... Does anyone really believe these workers will vote to stop this progress and repeal the benefits of Trump policies by voting for Democrat/socialists?
"A big Red Wave is coming."
I am not quite as sure of that as I am that there is NO DAMN blue wave in the cards. Of course I am hoping that the complacency lesson of horrific Ohio 12 will be emblazoned upon Republican foreheads. OHIO 12 WAS AN INCREDIBLY VALUABLE LESSON.
The other thing I would say is that the BEST WAY to sabotage the Dems (which is what we want in case anyone has any doubts) is to drive them into the Socialists' arms whether de facto or via impression and perception as much as possible. Frankly, this is not that hard to do, this is where they want to go. They should be encouraged.
IF the gop-e would nationalize the midterms the numbers would mean more IMHO. But politics are local. Don’t overlook the “firsts” in several states like GA. Abrams could be the first black female guv of GA. That will drive a lot of AAs to vote.
demographics is why gallium is in fl race. He is a sacrificial candidate to get out the democrat base.
And, may he wear a trash basket on his head, again, after the ‘18 November U.S. Midterm Election is done!
Ironically, clinton's victories were both due primarily to Republicans. In 1992, it was George H. W. Bush's famous "read my lips" backtrack and his overall indifference to being reelected (most famously captured by checking his watch during the debate). In 1996, billy jeff rode in on the coattails of Newt Gingrich's Contract with America. Clinton was enough of a politician to realize that Newt was onto something and he shamelessly adopted and modified Newt's ideas and claimed them as his own. He was enough of a political chameleon to pull it off.
Approval ratings do not transform into voter percentages folks..
It is BEYOND naive to think that because Trump got 30% job approval ratings in a poll by blacks last month that 30% of blacks who vote this fall will vote Republican.
Polling someones feelings about the economy, again, doesn’t mean they are going to turn out in an election.
This fall’s election is all about TURNOUT, period.
The Dems are going to turn out and turn out big, and if the republicans don’t motivate and turn out far more than their loyal midterm base, they are likely going to lose the house... a lot of purple and even pink districts will flip if the GOP does not get those outside its typical base motivated and excited and turning out this fall.
Sadly the GOP hasn’t done JACK so far to do this, they continue to operate as if its just another midterm and as long as they get their core base out they win... and that won’t be the case at all, particularly across the upper midwest.
Those non traditional MAGA voters don’t turn out for their congressional elections, the Dems will swamp by turnout many purple and pink districts...
The only prayer I see fo the GOP holding the house is that the DEMS and their insane base so overplay their hands by going ape poop on Kavanaugh, or openly running on impeachment.. that those non traditional voters show up just to spite those nutjobs.... Not because of anything the GOP is doing.
Time will tell how this all plays out.. but if the GOP doesn’t start talking outside its traditional base... they very well may lose the house.
THe Senate the GOP should gain 6+ no matter what.. but without those non traditional MAGA voters engaged and motivated... they will lose the house.
Blacks and latinos are certainly a factor, but the biggest increase in support comes from the obliteration of the never-Trumpers. These are Bush, Cruz, and Rubio supporters who did not know what to make of DJT, but now know that he’s a man of his word.
No one is saying that the Blacks will vote GOP, but it makes very likely that many will stay home and not vote Dem.
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