Posted on 08/08/2016 9:09:03 AM PDT by Oldpuppymax
Although a new poll from North Carolina shows only a small if expected lead for Donald Trump, it is the new survey from Civitas that contains the explosive and troubling news for Hillary Clinton. It showed 32% of Black respondents supported Trump. This is not surprising because as far back as September a SurveyUSA poll showed 25% of the nations Black voters supported Trump.
Also, according to a report on Black participation in the Democrat primaries, African American voting dropped sharply. In Ohio the fall was estimated to be 40%, in Florida 38% and in North Carolina, the state in which 32% of Blacks say they will be voting for Trump, the fall in Black participation was 34%.
The candidacy of Barack Obama was a stroke of genius for the Democrats; but it was a once in a lifetime splash. Hillary Clinton can never get close to the 93/6 advantage Obama had with Black voters. Moreover it will be nearly impossible for Clinton to enjoy the same record breaking Black voter participation rate. So with anything near 25%, let alone 32% Black support for Trump combined with a far lower turnout, Clintons way to the White House is virtually closed off already.
The last four Republican presidential candidates got the support of 89.75% of rank and file Republicans. This means that the 72% Trump is currently getting can be expanded by 17.75 points. The gap will close rapidly because there is no way the NeverTrumps will ultimately be able to convince that many people to put the selfish interests of Paul Ryan, Karl Rove and the Republican Party over their own future and the future of their family.
Right now we are still seeing the fall out from a nasty...
(Excerpt) Read more at thecoachsteam.com ...
A black candidate got them to vote. Hillary will not. The key is that they must make Trump look like the “let’s re-establish the KKK” candidate or most “liberal” blacks won’t bother.
Obama inspired them. Hillary does not.
The only time I ever voted FOR a candidate was Reagan in 1980. I think the only time a lot of these blacks voted “for” a candidate was for the first black president.
I’m a native N. Carolinian and if he had 32% of the black vote he should be up 10-15 points. His daughter and Omarosa were at a black church in Charlotte over the weekend.
It’s the womyn’s vote that now replaces the black vote as critical for Satan’s daughter.
I simply don’t take polls seriously any more. I haven’t for a few years.
The sample sizes for the black vote is typically small, so you get these wild swings, 25% last year, 0% in Ohio last month, WSJ/NBC reported 2% nationally, recently, now 32% in North Carolina.
I think, however, there’s no doubt that participation will be down from the last two cycles, and Trump will get a bigger share of it than Romney did. One of the numbers that didn’t get much attention even in 2012 was that according to exist polls, Romney got 20% of young black men. Trump has far more appeal to that demo than Romeny could ever dream of.
I would like to see Trump do something affirmatively to try to reach these people. Maybe today’s speech in Detroit will be a starting point.
If it means anything I just noticed Trump has 10 million followers on Twitter while Hitlery has 8 million and they both regularly sent out tweets
Obamma, Hillary and the Dems have done nothing to help the plight of American blacks.
About time some of them come to that understanding.
My husband believes that 54,000,000 single women are a force that Trump cannot beat. It’s Hillary’s, because she has an extra “x” chromosome.
I do not believe the Democrats are willing to accept this. It has been proven that there is manipulation of voting, polling, all of it is corrupt with only one party winning the election. What happens if Killary, actually is unable to run, or worse? Biden steps in? What if she steals, and something happens to her prior to Jan 20th, Kaine? Does anyone know. It won’t matter if Trump gets 330 million votes, somehow he’ll still lose. My hope and prayer is that the American people vote for Donal J Trump, I know I will. However, I remain skeptical, and believe that our Democratic (and Republican, for that matter)party is capable of ANYTHING! How many have died in the last 4 weeks, that were somehow connected or involved in the Democratic party, DNC, etc?
Trump has to focus on economic issues.
In case of irrelevant press questions:
a. I’m running to solve America’s economic problems....
b. I want America to have the greatest economy in the world in the coming decades....
c. We as a country need to focus on the millions of underemployed persons....
He needs to put every Midwest state in his column.
Let’s make it in Michigan.
SurveyUSA which does these polls for Civitas also uses flash or robo techniques, Marist which has found very low support is live.
I gave up reading the Arizona Daily Rag about 10 years ago. They’re nothing but a leftist front organization for the Democrat Party.
You are not going to see accurate polling until about 3 weeks from the election. This happens every cycle. At some point the pollsters stop manipulating the polls with built in bias and begin to poll simply on data.
Right now all the polling with only a few exceptions is concentrated on making it appear Hillary Clinton has a yuge lead over Donald Trump. In actual fact Trump is likely headed for a landslide victory.
I think you are right. There is no way to confirm their accuracy right now. They are taken on “faith”, but come election time, cooked numbers look pretty stupid when they don’t come close to matching actual voting results.
It happened in my state last fall. Bevin was down in the polls by 5 but won by 10. Pollsters looked ridiculous.
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