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Cruz Has Now Beaten Trump in a Majority of States Outside the South
The Weekly Standard ^ | APR 06, 2016 | JEFFREY H. ANDERSON

Posted on 04/06/2016 11:01:54 AM PDT by TexasCajun

With his win in Tuesday’s open primary in the blue state of Wisconsin, Ted Cruz has now beaten Donald Trump in 11 of 21 states that have been contested to date outside of the South. Cruz has now beaten Trump in three Midwestern states (Wisconsin, Iowa, and Minnesota—with Cruz having finished second and Trump third in the latter), one Northeastern state (Maine), three Plains states (Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas), three Western Frontier states (Idaho, Utah, and Wyoming), and one state outside of the Lower 48 (Alaska).

The South is Trump country, and he is undefeated there, having posted 11 wins and 0 losses in states ranging from Arkansas and Louisiana to the west and Kentucky and Virginia to the north. Yet Trump has now posted a winning percentage of just .429 (with 9 wins and 12 losses) outside of the South. None of the remaining contests are in the South (unless one considers West Virginia to be part of the South, in which case Trump will likely soon be 12-0 in Southern states).

It is striking that Cruz won in Wisconsin despite John Kasich's continued presence in the race. While the Ohio governor is anything but a juggernaut, his presence helps divide the anti-Trump vote. Indeed, it is not clear what other purpose his candidacy is serving at this point.

Kasich's won-lost record is now 1-31. To put that into perspective, his winning percentage (.031) is exactly half of the historical winning percentage of #15 seeds versus #2 seeds in the NCAA Tournament. Outside of his home state of Ohio, Kasich is 0-31, matching the historical winning percentage for #16 seeds. No last-second shot is going to save Kasich.

(Excerpt) Read more at weeklystandard.com ...


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: 2016gopprimary; brokenrecord; cruzerluzer; cruzerluzers; dixie; dumptrump; luzer; luzers; putdownthecrackpipe
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To: VanDeKoik

The important fact, little noted in the article, is that Cruz has done better than Trump in all states beginning with the letter W. Let’s see. How many are left? /sarc


41 posted on 04/06/2016 11:34:00 AM PDT by DanMiller (Dan Miller)
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To: JBW1949

Cruz will be mathematically eliminated in two weeks.


42 posted on 04/06/2016 11:35:54 AM PDT by dartuser
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To: Night Hides Not

The Democrats want Trump to be the Republican nominee, so Obama may tell Loretta Lynch to launch a highly-publicized “investigation” of Cruz’s supposed violation of election campaign laws...which the media will give more attention to than they did to Fast and Furious, Benghazi, and the Clinton email scandal combined.


43 posted on 04/06/2016 11:36:29 AM PDT by Verginius Rufus
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To: dartuser

He will, yes, but he doesn’t have the guts to admit it and step down...Just like Kasich...


44 posted on 04/06/2016 11:37:11 AM PDT by JBW1949
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To: TexasCajun

Propaganda.

Cruz is a distant second yet we are flooded with articles about Cruz winning.


45 posted on 04/06/2016 11:37:21 AM PDT by Ray76 (Judge Roy Moore for Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States)
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To: TexasCajun

Hey Weekly Standard...so freaking what! You all get the gold star since you can do elementary math and geography. Why don’t you write something useful...like.say calculating the remaining delegates? Idiots.


46 posted on 04/06/2016 11:39:38 AM PDT by Babsig
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To: dartuser
Cruz will be mathematically eliminated in two weeks.

No, Cruz will be eliminated when Trump gets to 1237, and not a day sooner.

47 posted on 04/06/2016 11:42:23 AM PDT by Night Hides Not (Remember the Alamo! Remember Goliad! Remember Mississippi! My vote is going to Cruz.)
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To: manc

When it comes to the least, Cruz is the most.

The end of this month will finally end Cruz. Oh I’m sure he’ll continue his verbose diarrhea and his ship of fools will continue to eagerly lap it up.


48 posted on 04/06/2016 11:50:52 AM PDT by moehoward
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To: TexasCajun

This eerily sounds like the headlines for the Presidential aspirations of George Corley Wallace in ‘68.


49 posted on 04/06/2016 11:56:21 AM PDT by doldrumsforgop
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To: ConservativeDude
So in your opinion (that was a good write up by the way), can Cruz with the GE?

In my opinion, any one of the 17 candidates EXCEPT the one bearing the Bush name could win over HRC, because she is a very weak candidate.

I believe Cruz or Trump could win the general, with Trump having more upside (can win in northeast) but also more risk (he comes close to going all Carl Paladino and Richard Murdock at the same time, which might not work well in the general election).

When do the Democrats win? They win when a new face can be framed in a flattering light by the media, if he isn't a complete doofus, and if the Republicans aren't willing to fight.

The 1996 Clinton was new as a national player, and George the Elder was a complete doofus unwilling to fight.

The 2008 Obama was very new as a national player, and Dole was a complete doofus unwilling to fight.

Kerry was old news. Dukakis was the doofus and George the Elder was willing to fight then, and fed off of Reagan's non-dooficity.

Mondale was old news. Reagan was Reagan.

Jimmy Carter was a new face on the national scene. Ford ran a decent campaign (outside of the East Europe remarks at the debates), but suffered from Nixon's duficity.

Gore is a special case that needs his own thread.

Only the RNC can stop the Republicans against Hillary Rodham Clinton.
50 posted on 04/06/2016 11:57:12 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana ("There is no limit to the amount of good you can do if you don't care who gets the credit."-R.Reagan)
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To: Night Hides Not
No, Cruz will be eliminated when Trump gets to 1237, and not a day sooner.

Arithmetically challenged are we? I'll say it a little slower ...

He ... will ... be ... mathematically ... eliminated ... in ... two ... weeks.

Unless of course Cruz can win more than half the NY delegates.

51 posted on 04/06/2016 11:58:03 AM PDT by dartuser
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To: moehoward

well the ivy league lawyer was saying Kasich, Carson, Rubio should all drop out as they could never get the number by the convention , so will he take his own advice or will; his elitist ego get in the way?


52 posted on 04/06/2016 12:04:09 PM PDT by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: TexasCajun

Actually NY is a hybrid, It is Winner Take all by District and State if someone wins 50% of the vote.

You only get a delegates if you crack 20%.. but only if no one else cracks 50%.

Cruz will likely only get a handful or two at best of the NY Delegation... and they will likely be in a rare district where Trump didn’t quite get to 50%. Perhaps Cruz will win outright a district or two, but I doubt it.

Two weeks we find out. But I would say smart money is Trump walks away with 80-85 of the New York Delegates.


53 posted on 04/06/2016 12:07:38 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: manc

“or will; his elitist ego get in the way?”

I’ll take “what would a narcissistic globalist do” for 500 Alex.


54 posted on 04/06/2016 12:10:12 PM PDT by moehoward
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To: TexasCajun

The parsing has reached Clintonian levels. So many explanation of how the consistent loser is winning. LOL!


55 posted on 04/06/2016 12:13:04 PM PDT by Seruzawa (If you agree with the French raise your hand. If you are French raise both hands)
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To: TexasCajun

What nonsense... Wait until the 26th and lets talk.

WI was a waterloo, but it wasn’t Trump’s.

WI was the most likely place Cruz could pull and upset, and the GOPe helped him get a big win... but where is he going next?

Cruz is most likely not going to win another state before May 10th... Maybe he can pull off an upset in Indiana a week before, but that’s being generous.

He’s basically got Montana, Nebraska and South Dakota left that he can count on for a win, the rest, He’s not likely to win at all.

Cruz basically has shown he is strong in the western caucus states, that’s it. WI did give him a win outside of that, but that was by and large thanks to a very strong and battle hardened GOPe machine in WI helping him. That’s not the place anywhere else left on the map.

Will revisit this thread after 4/26 and see how many states between now and then Cruz manages to win... Odds are zero, with an outside chance of 1.


56 posted on 04/06/2016 12:16:27 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: VanDeKoik

The GOPe and it’s allies spent like a billion bucks in Wisconsin to get a win for Cruz. You think that some of that wasn’t targeted at the FR? I just dismiss the arrant nonsense as the work of paid agents.


57 posted on 04/06/2016 12:17:23 PM PDT by Seruzawa (If you agree with the French raise your hand. If you are French raise both hands)
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To: TexasCajun

Weekly Standard can not be believed. If I want to read fiction I would not have thought the Weekly Standard was a fiction magazine.

I encourage all of you to stay away from publications that peddle fiction.


58 posted on 04/06/2016 12:19:59 PM PDT by Lopeover (2016 Election is about allegiance to the United States)
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To: Rational Thought

Cruz gonna play the moderate now for the NE states. No more Elmer Gantry, Joseph Smith snake oil. But hey he is Mr Consistent!


59 posted on 04/06/2016 12:21:35 PM PDT by over3Owithabrain
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To: TexasCajun

So if Cruz had not arrogantly ignored the South because he took us for granted them he would be leading not in second.

Ted thinks he knows more than everyone else. Maybe he does. Time will tell


60 posted on 04/06/2016 12:23:02 PM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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