Ted Cruz’s Path to Victory

RedState ^ | 3/3/2016 | Leon H. Wolf

[20yearsofinternet]

I remain bearish on Ted Cruz’s chance to win the nomination, even if all the other candidates dropped out today, since almost all of his best states are behind him and all of Trump’s best states (some of which are winner-take-all) are ahead. But let me put my wet blanket aside for a minute and focus on how Ted Cruz might win.

Ted Cruz does have a path to victory, but it involves a number of sequential events that must happen for it to be plausible. Here, in order, are the things Ted Cruz needs to happen in order to have a chance to defeat Donald Trump and earn the nomination.

1. Ben Carson’s voters must completely abandon him.

*snip*

2. Ted Cruz must win Kentucky, Kansas and Louisiana on Saturday

*snip*

3. Marco Rubio and John Kasich must not drop out… yet.

*snip*

4. Cruz must persuade Kasich and Rubio to drop out after March 15th.

[20yearsofinternet]

Seems like a lot of wishful thinking going on here at this point.

[VitacoreVision]

I have a crazy idea. Let the voters decide.

[struggle]

I think Trump’s pretty much a lock, simply because Super Tuesday proved in a lot of later voters minds that he just is.

[CMB_polarization]

He must convince himself and others he’s unelectable, or else he’ll be back in four years.

[Ouderkirk]

What is left unstated is that Cruz’ path to victory is with Trump, not against him.

Trump is what Cruz is not...an experienced businessman

Cruz is what Trump is not...an experienced legislator and lawyer.

The two of them are better, together.

[MNJohnnie]

Ben Carson’s voters must completely abandon him.

Better check the 2nd choice polling Team Cruz. Carson supporters are not going to Cruz in bulk. They split evenly between Cruz/Trump

http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/poll-trump-leads-when-it-comes-second-choice-cruz-top

[Nifster]

Trump leads in Louisiana. Cruz is not even campaigning there

Wolf lost it a while ago.

[MNJohnnie]

So Mr Wolf, if these two things fail to materialize, you will urge Sen Cruz to drop out?

1. Ben Carson’s voters must completely abandon him.

2. Ted Cruz must win Kentucky, Kansas and Louisiana on Saturday

[ObozoMustGo2012]

[Better check the 2nd choice polling Team Cruz. Carson supporters are not going to Cruz in bulk. They split evenly between Cruz/Trump]

This poll was taken BEFORE the IA caucuses where Cruz screwed over Carson. I am certain that 2nd choice number has changed dramatically.

[Helicondelta]

[freedomjusticeruleoflaw]

Hahahahahahbwaaaaah! Red State! The tower of power for anyone but someone who will actually do something about the establishment. Cruz again 2D? Is that the winning ticket? He’s a Canadian, remember? Am I lying?

[Velvet_Jones]

Trump is leading in Kansas and Kentucky as well.

He’s also leading in Florida and Ohio. By the 15th this thing should pretty much be over despite what the cretins at Red State say...

[tatown]

“Cruz is what Trump is not...an experienced legislator and lawyer.”

This alone sums up why Trump is beating Ted.

[Uncle Miltie]

Baring some dream scenario, we have our nominee.

As a verifiable 100% Cruz supporter, I urge my fellows (after having voted for Cruz in the primaries) to line up behind Trump.

The #1 priority of this election cycle is the defeat of the RINO / GOP Establishment / Uniparty within the Republican Party. We achieved that. The Uniparty never had more than about 25% of the vote at any point in time.

Of course we would prefer to defeat the Uniparty with conservatism’s flag-bearer, Ted Cruz. Having failed to do that, we can still defeat the Uniparty by joining up with the less optimal Populists.

Trump may not be our cup of tea (ahem), but keep in mind Priority #1:

DEATH TO THE UNIPARTY!!!!

[DouglasKC]

Cruz could get a bunch of Trump voters to take a second look at him tonight by doing one thing: Disavow Romney and his attempt to insert himself into the race. If he comes out and says "You know, I think it's incredible that a liberal republican like Romney, who lost to the most beatable candidate in the world, can, with the blessing of the GOP, attempt to sway this race. THAT my friends is the Washington cartel. That is the wing of the Republican party that wants to take us farther and farther left. I don't know and don't care what he said about Donald Trump. All I know is that he represents everything wrong with Washington."

If he does that he's back in it. If he supports and defends him, he's gone. It's as simple as that.

[Donglalinger]

[Harpotoo]

Ya think!?!-)

[Sacajaweau]

Mr. Cruz has now been deemed..."Not such a nice Christian person after all."

Couldn't even get 50% in his home state. Bush got 88% in 2000.

[novemberslady]

I wanted to vote for Ted Cruz.

I was going to vote for someone else, but did not feel badly when they dropped out, because I thought Ted Cruz might be a good alternative.

And after donating to and supporting Rubio only to have him hate his job and ignore people like me, he was/is NEVER getting my vote. Not on any ticket.

Then Mr. Cruz teamed up with Glen Beck who I don't want associated with the white house in any way.

Then Mr. Cruz is shaking hands with Rubio on the debate stage.
What the hell was that all about?
There's an awful lot of shenanigans going on behind the scenes, and it looks like cruz has become part of them.

[deport]

Then Mr. Cruz is shaking hands with Rubio on the debate stage.
What the hell was that all about?

****************

You don’t want two Cubans to greet each other?