Posted on 10/30/2012 2:36:05 PM PDT by reaganaut1
It's tough to be objective in forecasting the presidential election, but based on the polls I have read about, I think Romney has a close to 50% change of winning. Intrade currently estimates Obama has a 63% chance of winning the election and a 62% chance of winning the popular vote by 0.5% or more. The popular vote market surprises me. Romney is slightly ahead in most national polls. I don't want to be paranoid, but are people trying to manipulate the Intrade market to demoralize Republicans?
Intrade investors are primarily foreigners, if I’m not mistaken. Thus, these statistics represent naive European opinions. Many Intrade investors are apparently heading for a rude awakening come next Tuesday. They must be listening to the LSM propaganda polls...
In many elections there are situations where all of the available candidates take morally unacceptable positions on one or more of the non-negotiable issues.
In such situations, a citizen is called upon to make tough choices. In those cases, citizens must vote in the way that will most limit the harm that would be done by the available candidates.
Imagine a situation wherein one candidate has a record of fighting for unrestricted access to abortion, and the other candidate would only consider allowing abortion in the cases of rape or incest.
This is simply an example of a situation where all of the available candidates take a morally unacceptable position, but one will most limit the harm that would be done.
So!...You have a RESPONSIBILITY TO VOTE FOR THE ONE WHO WOULD DO THE LEAST HARM, lest the other clown DOES MORE HARM!
Most American voters don’t even know Intrade exists.
1. I don't want anymore Supreme Court appointments that are filled with communists who will destroy our constitution. It is estimated that 2 vacancies will occur. Kiss your guns and the rest of your rights good-by if Obama appoints the next 2.
2. I want a loyal American, not someone who hates America and is loyal to God only knows who or what, to be able to defend our country militarily, and assure our very survival.
Not really a hard choice. IMHO, if someone who could vote, doesn't vote for Romney, it is same as a vote for Obama. In other words, you are voting communist.
Most American voters don’t even know Intrade exists.
You need to apply game theory here, and take into account the actions of all other players, not just you.
If you actually live in TX, then you are correct. If you live in a swing state, then not voting for Romney would be a vote by default for Obama.
They post the current odds at:
http://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/Pres12_Quotes.html
Gee, are they having a sale on Kool Aid where you live? Or are you someone who secretly hopes to see our Great Republic DESTROYED, which (unless you have not noticed???) is what Dear Leader has been trying to do for the past 4 years and would continue in his efforts if reelected?
And I thought most Texans (at least those who PRETEND to be Conservatives) were Patriots who loved their country and would do anything to protect and defend it?
Apparently, there are exceptions as shown by your delusional rant!
Is there a voting system ANYWHERE on the planet that allows a vote against someone that doesn't, at the same time, require you to vote for someone else?
Intrade’s predictive accuracy approaches 1.0 the closer an election gets. It generally reaches 1.0 when the election is actually called (or the victor becomes apparent)
It also functions as ... a market. Go figure. That means the possibility of short selling.
No way you are a native Texan.
Disgusting that anyone would do anything but vote to get rid of that cancer Obama. Embarrasing post.
why would you use intrade to tell you anything?
S/he already voted last week, so Praise God, there’s a majority of good Texans to fully assure the great state of Texas will go to Romney/Ryan, despite such willful contempt for voting against the evil Marxist by voting for Romney/Ryan.
and will you do proper grovelling on Nov 7 when you are proven wrong?
Intrade will dramatically change right before the election, so yes, it’s manipulated.
Pay it NO attention.
if O wins you won’t
A lot of people holding Obama. It works like the stock market, gotta have a buyer to sell.
You are SO morally superior to the rest of us saddled with more cloudy consciences.
I am properly humbled.
Leni
No you don’t. If you did, you wouldn’t be here posting looking for validation.
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