I wouldn't argue with any of you points.
Posted on 03/08/2012 10:55:25 AM PST by techno
I just read today's Rasmussen national poll of the GOP presidential contenders that includes the claim that 56% of GOP primary voters feel it is important to choose a candidate who has the best chance of beating President Obama in the general election. Translated, it means these folks in the main support Governor Mitt Romney in his quest to secure the GOP presidential nomination in 2012 because they feel he has the best chance of the four candidates of beating Obama.
I believe this premise is utter hogwash and the outrageous creation of media disinformation and propaganda and to put my money where my mouth or computer is, I am going to list 25 reasons why I believe Romney has little or no shot of beating Obama:
1)Obama will be 51 and Romney will be 65 during the general election campaign. One will tire more easily than the other and will appear more energetic and dynamic and the most positive overall throughout the campaign. Can you guess which one?
The candidate who is the most upbeat or has the more positive message has won every election for the past 100 years except for FDR in 1936 at the height of the Depression.
2)The Father of Romneycare will be accused of gross hypocrisy by the media and the Left if he still continues to strongly advocate the repeal of Obamacare. As a result Obamacare will NOT become a central focus in the GE and take away a huge ace up our sleeve that could tip the election to our favor.
3)Paul Begala on CNN on Super Tuesday said it best:
"Mitt Romney is not really that good of a politician."
Simply Romney is at best a mediocre politician with limited talent and skills and average communication skills. Meanwhile President Obama is a superstar politician and charismatic. Big edge to the Messiah.
4)Romney's glaring weakness with white working class voters will allow Obama to convert himself into an advocate of the working man with immense help from the MSM (He will deserve an Academy Award for pulling it off.)and only lose this demographic by 23 points or less which Ruy Teixiera, a Democratic political analyst, has told Obama he can still win a narrow election victory if he achieves this. In 2010, the Democrats lost this demographic by 30 points to the GOP (63% to 33%).
5)Rumors that there is a faction of the GOP establishment that is willing "throw the fight to Obama" to ensure the coronation of Jeb Bush in 2016. Fifth columnists set to sabotage Romney.
6)Using a boxing analogy, Mitt Romney is not capable or willing to attempt to knock out the champion ("will not light my hair on fire to satisfy the base") and instead intends to take the fight to a decision. There is an old saying in boxing, "You have to knock out the champ, to take away his belt."
That's not quite true, but if Obama can fight an effective fight where he does not put himself in jeopardy by letting his guard down and counterpunches effectively, he will win the fight on talent alone, especially against an opponent that does not intend to be super-aggressive during the fight.
7)Obama has bought the loyalty of the referee (the media) and the 3 judges who will decide the fight if it goes to a decision (voter fraud). Romney really has to knock the Messiah out (win by a wide enough margin).
8)Low intensity and enthusiasm among white conservatives and white evangelicals toward a Romney candidacy because of Mitt's past record of flip-flopping and lingering doubts Romney is a "true" conservative will result in low voter turnout similar to what happened in 2008 with McCain. In contrast Obama will be able to whip up his base and turnout among non-whites will be high because his strength is organization from his days as a community organizer.
9)A potential viable third party arising as a result of a Romney nomination bleeding away white voters that would have otherwise gone to the GOP nominee.
10)Romney's Mormon religion will become a central issue during the campaign and powerful forces will create the impression that Mitt is from a different planet, that he is evil and really scary and should be considered an anathema to Christian voters. Enough Christians or evangelicals will refuse to vote for Romney (especially in the South).
11)Obama will have a bigger war chest than Romney. Romney 's record in the 2012 primary season shows he can only prevail over his main opponent if he carpet-bombs them to death by outspending them by at least 5 to 1 in a state. He will NOT be able to do that to Obama.
12)Obama will demagogue Romney on a daily basis and Romney has proven he has no answer for such tactics. It will act like a left jab, constantly scoring points and serve to keep Romney at bay. Romney will not be able to penetrate Obama's defenses. Of course the MSM will aid Obama here as well.
13)The Left will use Alinsky tactics against Romney which Mitt or his team is NOT capable of dealing with or are hamstrung by the GOP establishment in dealing with them.
14)Obama owns or controls the MSM. Romney does not have the ebullient personality or public speaking ability to transcend the daily bombardment he will receive in the way of Leftist disinformation and propaganda.
15)Romney will lose one or two red states in the midwest or Deep South which any other Republican nominee would have won. Missouri and Georgia are likely candidates.
16)Polls that have shown since the beginning of 2012 that Romney is losing independent supporters big time.
17)Romney's primary strength is in winning "blue states". That will not help him against Obama who will win in all blue states.
18)Romney is not an inspirational politician and like McCain will have problems mobilizing the GOTV.
19)Charges of racism will dog Romney because the Church of Latter Day Saints did not allow Blacks full priesthood privileges until 1978.
20)And because of charges of racism or insensitivity, Romney will become a clone of McCain and not attack Obama as vigorously as he needs to beat him. It's like fighting with one hand tied behind your back.
21)Romney will NOT attack Obama on ideological grounds and thus NOT create a clear separation between him and Obama. Better the devil you know, than the devil you don't know.
22)Romney's past as a high-powered businessman will be used against him to portray him as an enemy of the working class--class warfare. And this line of argument will be used by Obama to blunt the economic argument Romney will make and de-legitimize his contention that Obama is a poor steward of the economy and on fiscal matters.
23)Romney will reject Sarah Palin's help and that will contribute to a depressed voter turnout among Palinstas.
24)Any endorsement by conservative groups of Romney will be lukewarm at best. They will not help rally conservatives en masse to Romney's tent.
25)Republican candidates who are moderates historically do not defeat incumbent Democratic Presidents (Dole, McCain)
Having said this, the general election will be close because Obama has consistently polled in the 44%-48% overall approval range. Romney will NOT be blown out by Obama, but a narrow loss is a loss regardless if it is the Super Bowl or a presidential election.
Well, then you are a true conservative.....
I wouldn't argue with any of you points.
One would hope.
SnakeDoc
No WILLARD, NO WAY!!
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