Posted on 06/18/2011 12:58:07 PM PDT by techno
Several months ago I coined the term PROXY VOTER to single out a potential GOP primary voter who clearly has exhibited one or more of the following inclinations but might decide on state voting day in 2012 due to undue influence or intimidation to vote for someone else other than Sarah Palin, although personally on balance you do see it in your personal vested interest to vote for Sarah Palin:
1)Give Sarah Palin the thumbs up (favorable) and if polled by a pollster would have at one time committed to voting for Palin
2)Donated to her campaign or are a Palin Facebook member
3)Feels Palin best represents your (conservative/TP)values, personal philosophy and political convictions
4)Was at one time a Palin supporter and had figuratively entered her tent and committed to her
So for the umpteenth time, if a GOP primary voter supports another candidate other than Palin and would have told a pollster that, had not donated to Palin's campaign or had no interest in becoming a Palin Facebook member, did not feel for whatever reasons Palin was the best choice to represent him or her and never supported Palin during the primaries, that person is NOT a PROXY VOTER.
In other words if someone has consistently been a Rick Santorum supporter and then goes ahead to vote for Rick in the primaries, he or she is NOT a PROXY VOTER.
Or if a voter has been truly undecided and then opts for someone else other than Palin, that person again is NOT a PROXY VOTER.
So the folks I am referring to as PROXY VOTERS can be distilled into these categories:
1)I like Sarah Palin but she's damaged goods" because of what the media has done to her. I know she's not dumb or a celebrity airhead but I'm afraid too many moderates and independents see her that way.
2)I believe the polls; she's too polarizing and unelectable; otherwise I would vote for her
3)You believe the media when it tells you Palin will lose as badly as Goldwater did in 1964 and the GOP will lose whatever gains it made in Congress in 2010, so you vote to save the party from a gross embarrassment at the polls
4)You believe the media when it tells you only a MODERATE can be beat Obama and thus vote against your own values or political convictions; this is SOP for the media and what gave us McCain in 2008
5)Sarah Palin would embarrass the party to the nation and America to the world because she is perceived as too extreme and out of step with the new world order (fiscal conservatives who like her record in Alaska but couldn't explain their vote for her to their friends on the cocktail circuit)
6)Sarah Palin will inflame minority tensions because she is insensitive and because of her policies with the threat of social upheaval or race riots looming according to minority groups and the media
7)Sarah Palin is not qualified to be President but she'd make a great cheerleader or kingmaker
8)I like Sarah Palin but no woman can be elected President
So the #1 priority of the anti-Palin forces (those who do not want Palin to get the nomination) is to facilitate the creation of PROXY VOTERS by hammering away at the above themes for the next 9 months, unless of course Palin does not run, which is highly unlikely which I have addressed before in the 75 reasons I believe she will run.
And make no mistake about it, this will be an orchestrated effort by the Left, media, entertainment industry and what I call the vast right-wing conspiracy (GOP establishment, Fox News, RINO talk radio, right-wing bloggers, the political class, RINO's, many Republicans currently serving in Congress Team Romney and his stalking-horse, fat cat donors, the Bush family and its surrogates, vested conservative interests who do not like Sarah Palin, evangelicals who are misogynistic and the party elites) to torpedo Palin's chances at winning the nomination and to make damned sure that Mitt Romney emerges next year as the leader of the GOP.
Now why is there a need to create PROXY VOTERS for Mitt Romney to prevail?
1)For every liberal/moderate voter in the primaries it is estimated that a least 2 will be conservative voters. In addition 1/3 of the electorate self-identify as VERY CONSERVATIVE voters which rises to 45%-50% in many states in the South and some in the Midwest.
In addition via the 2008 exit polls, it was estimated 44% of the GOP primary voters then were evangelical voters.
And Rasmussen at the end of January found that 40% of the 2012 electorate will be comprised of GOP Tea Party members.
2)Mitt Romney as it has been shown in several polls going back to 2007 does not do well with evangelicals, VERY CONSERVATIVE voters and the Tea Party. If Sarah Palin were able to coalesce these three groups under her tent she would win. It's simple math.
So with that in mind, this effort to create PROXY VOTERS will take on two themes:
1)Vote for Mitt Romney because he's electable (door #1)
2)If you as a conservative/evangelical/TP supporter can't bring yourself to vote for Romney, then vote for another conservative other than Sarah Palin who is more electable according to the anti-Palin forces, commonly called vote splitting (door #2)
Either door #1 or door #2 will result in Romney being the nominee.
There is only one way to stop Mitt Romney from getting the GOP nomination: choose door #3 and vote for Sarah Palin and nobody else.
Now many critics of door #3 have presented various arguments to why my premise is flawed. So now I would like to take this opportunity to address those critics:
1)It's too early-the field isn't set yet; look at what happened in 2008 when Giuliani was leading and he eventually flamed out. The polls now are meaningless.
Let me be abundantly clear. For several months I have posted on the state of the race and consistently come to the conclusion that in the end it would be either Mitt Romney or Sarah Palin that would lead the party into the next general election. Here is how I put it: I don't believe any candidate has the wherewithal or support to beat both Mitt Romney and Sarah Palin in the same election cycle. They are both too strong. And for someone else to get the nomination that is exactly what would have to happen.
And once Mike Huckabee bowed out of the race, that idea really began to crystallize and fundamentally changed the dynamic of the race as polls began to show both Romney and Palin pulling away from the pack in most polls and Romney having an average 15 point lead over everyone else but Palin. And Mark Levin said it best yesterday: With Romney's money, his establishment ties and now being backed by the media (Rush Limbaugh- "he's now their guy"), and now with this huge lead, Romney almost appears unstoppable. In other words Romney is the man to beat in 2012.
In other words, I would argue that the field is set, that if you gave political pundits truth serum, they would tell you the same thing, that Mitt Romney will be the GOP nominee unless Sarah Palin beats him. There is no one else within striking range. And thus you have the formation of a vast right-wing conspiracy to stop her from getting into the race and short of that efforts mounted to torpedo her campaign so she cannot overtake Romney once she hits the ground running. And part of that campaign is to create as many PROXY VOTERS as possible.
Now finally to Giuliani. Giuliani himself admitted he adopted a poor strategy but what really did him in was that conservatives did not have one standardbearer to rally around in 2008 and that McCain and Romney were both viable candidates to moderates. So they split their votes in several different directions, both moderates and conservatives, and this was borne out by how the votes were divvied up in most states. This allowed McCain to come up the middle, who was also boosted by conservatives who considered national security and foreign policy as their #1 priority.
In 2012 you have a completely different lay of the land. You have Mitt Romney who is in an extremely strong position as the establishment-centrist candidate with Pawlenty, Gingrich and Huntsman essentially being non-factors and you have Sarah Palin who has the ability as Judge Napolitano said in his interview with Palin a few days ago that Palin would be a "game changer" if she entered the race, given her potential to coalesce conservatives and Tea Party supporters under her tent.
In other words the race is shaping up to be like 1976 (Ford vs Reagan) or 1980 (Reagan vs Bush 41)and not like 2008.
2)Aren't you being a bit presumptuous to suggesting that folks who are opposed to Mitt Romney getting the nomination have no other choice but to vote for Sarah Palin, especially with Sarah Palin not even in the race yet and isn't it their right to vote for anyone they want to?
First I have gone of record. Mitt Romney will win the GOP nomination if Sarah Palin does not get into the race. Of course everything I have written so far will have no meaning if she does NOT run.
But I am assuming Sarah Palin will run so I am looking at the lay of the land with that assumption.
And in addition I am looking at the issue of the nomination from the point of view of GOP primary voters being opposed to Romney getting the nomination. If someone really doesn't care who gets the nomination, my piece is not directed at them. Again it is only addressed to voters who oppose Romney getting the nomination.
So with that in mind if that is how your truly feel, that you do not want Romney to get the nomination, I am trying to use logic and provide evidence as to why if GOP primary voters choose door #1 or door #2, they will end up with Romney as the nominee and that if they really want to prevent that from happening they have no other choice but to choose door #3 and as result facilitate the coalescing of millions of conservatives, evangelicals and Tea Party supporters around one candidate Sarah Palin and not vote for another conservative who cannot win.
Finally it is a free country. GOP primary voters can vote for anyone they want to. If they choose to become PROXY VOTERS that is their choice. I just wanted to make it crystal-clear what forces were at work to cause them to become PROXY VOTERS and the ramification of them casting a PROXY VOTE, namely a Romney nomination.
3)Another conservative (Cain, Bachmann or Santorum) can come from the back of the pack to beat Romney
The last time a dark horse won the GOP primary was 1940 (Wendel Wilkie). Secondly Romney has the money, the organization, the backing of the GOP establishment and the MSM and a 15 point lead over these folks.
Even with Rasmussen's misleading poll a couple of days ago without Palin in the mix, Bachmann was still 14 points behind Romney. Most people missed that.
Post-Huckabee, when the poll question has been asked without Palin in the mix, what the polls have shown is that Romney has actually widened his lead over the rest of the field. pollinsider.com has written to that phenomenon.
And finally even if you do not believe Michele Bachmann is a stalking-horse for Romney, do you believe she can really beat Mitt one on one, especially now with the baggage that is being dug up on her by the media?
And do you really think Herman Cain who has never been elected to public office before is going to get the blessing of traditional older GOP members over Mitt Romney?
And finally do you really believe Rick Santorum who is polling at around 3-5% in the polls currently is going to catch Romney who is averaging in the mid 20's?
So in other words, Sarah Palin is the only alternative that the anti-Romney forces have to prevent Romney from getting the nomination.
The Real Clear Politics average of polls of the GOP contenders clearly shows Sarah Palin entrenched in second spot and polls like the recent ABC/WAPO poll and Reuters/Ipsos which combined the first and second choices of respondents clearly showed both Romney and Palin pulling away from the pack further when this was factored into the equation. If you don't believe me, check out the polls for yourself.
Yes, I may be presumptuous in suggesting why you need to vote for Sarah Palin and only Sarah Palin next year but I would rather be presumptuous now rather than hear all the whining and complaining next year from conservatives after Romney gets the nomination when they wake up and realize that because of vote splitting among several conservative candidates that it made Romney's path to victory really inevitable. By then it will be too late.
The truth shall set you free!
Sarah Palin is the only alternative that the anti-Romney forces have to prevent Romney from getting the nomination.
Check out this letter-to-the-editor I found:
Since the media is going into her emails and all of her accounts and dissecting her piece by piece by piece like they do anybody who has policies or thoughts different than what they do, Ive decided Im going to throw my support to Sarah Palin. If shes willing to withstand all of that scrutiny, she must love our country very, very deeply to put herself through all those extra hardships that no one else has ever had to do when theyve run for any kind of an election.
http://www.columbiatribune.com/news/2011/jun/18/talk061811/
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(((((PING)))))
Romney is on a do or die mission this time, he is already the front runner, has already been assigned the “next in line” mantle, and has unlimited money support, party leadership support, and media support, the only thing that can stop him is a super star that can break the machine.
Romney aides bogus badges: Sources detail illegal security tactic
" Boston Herald - Friday, July 20, 2007
In an apparent violation of the law, a controverisal aide to ex-Gov. Mitt Romney
created phony law enforcement badges that he and other staffers used on the campaign trail
to strong-arm reporters, avoid paying tolls and trick security guards
into giving them immediate access to campaign venues, sources told the Herald.
They (the aides) knew the badges were fake and probably illegal,
said a presidential campaign source who asked for anonymity
because the story could damage the individuals career.
Two additional sources confirmed that the badges - described as bright silver plates with a state seal attached -
were first created and used by Garrity while Romney was still governor."
FAKE TROOPER (and Chief of Operations)
I can’t stand that lying SOB...
And Palin is one of the few, maybe the only GOPer that has shown the willingness and ability to do so. They trashed her unmercifully during 2008. She retreated, reloaded, and has made mincemeat of them at will ever since. The rest of the GOP are a bunch of nancy boys.
Bull. She's not in the running. If folks like you, obsessed with Palin as messianic figure, don't begin to look seriously at alternatives actually in the race, Romney will coast to victory in the primaries and Obama will be president until 2017.
She needs to stop playing games and make her intentions known to clear the way for a Romney alternative to the raise money that otherwise would've languished on the sidelines waiting for Sarah. The longer she dithers in uncertainty, the steeper the hill gets to climb and more easily Romney sweeps into the nomination.
Even Sarah Palin needs time to build a campaign organization and fundraise. The longer she delays entry the weaker and more indecisive she appears. If she's not running in August, after the deadline for filing frivolous ethics complaints related to her gubernatorial term, forget it.
I'm not against Palin (she's in my top 3) but I'm sick of people insisting she's our only hope and I'm tired of the uncertainty.
I never trust anyone who calls anyone else “folks.”
Never.
Is that why you have a Jim DeMint tagline? Because he's such a lock to stop Romney?
Cheers!
Maybe she plans on NEVER becoming an official candidate as part of a brilliant strategy to win 2012 with a write-in vote. That way they wont target her and expect interviews, and you know we all want what we cant have. That would explain those that seem to think conservatives Bachmann and Cain are the enemy, they are in the know on this plan and don't want Bachmann or Cain screwing it up.
You are so full of sh*t!
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