Posted on 06/02/2011 4:11:41 PM PDT by techno
Comparison of results of a national PPP poll of GOP presidential contenders released on May 10 when Huckabee, Trump and Daniels were still in the race vs. today's poll post-Huckabee, post-Trump and post-Daniels showing the net difference for each candidate.
Brackets May 10.
(Herman Cain and Jon Huntsman were not polled on May 10)
OVERALL MODER SOMEWH CONS VERY CONS
ROMNEY 16 (18) 26(23) 19 (20) 11 (15)
PALIN 16 (12) 8 (13) 15 (9) 20 (13)
PAWLENTY 13 (5) 15 (4) 15 (6) 12 (6)
BACHMANN 9 (7) 5 (0) 6 (5) 13 (12)
GINGRICH 9 (13) 7 (7) 10 (14) 9 (13)
PAUL 9 (8) 6 (5) 7 (7) 10 (9)
F M 18-29 30-45 46-65 65+
ROMNEY 17(19)15(16) 14(20)14(18) 17(15) 18(21)
PALIN 20(10)13(14) 29(10)17(14) 15(12) 13(11)
T-PAW 12 (6)14(5) 5(-) 13(5) 13(6) 15(5)
BACHM 8 (5)10(8) 5(10) 6(3) 9(8) 14(7)
NEWT 10(13) 8(13) --(5) 11(11) 9(15) 11(12)
PAUL 4 (4) 13(11) 14(10) 10(11) 9(8) 7 (4)
Herman Cain Jon Huntsman
OVERALL 12 4
MODERATE 7 6
SOMEWH CONS 11 4
VERY CONS 15 3
FEMALE 10 3
MALE 15 4
18-29 19 5
30-45 14 4
46-65 11 4
65+ 9 4
DEMS GOP INDIES
ROMNEY --- 17 16
PALIN 29 17 9
PAWLENTY 5 13 15
CAIN 20 11 19
BACHMANN 11 9 10
GINGRICH 10 10 4
PAUL 6 8 16
HUNTSMAN 6 3 4
OVERALL NATIONAL SUPPORT:
ROMNEY 16%
PALIN 16%
PAWLENTY 13%
CAIN 12%
BACHMANN 9%
GINGRICH 9%
PAUL 9%
HUNTSMAN 4%
Key points:
1)Despite Huckabee, Trump and Daniels dropping out of the presidential race Romney drops 2 points overall while Palin gains 4 points.
2)In addition Palin gains 13 points among all conservatives while Romney lose 5 points. I will venture to say she would have not made these kinds of strides in a three week period without Huckabee withdrawing.
3)Palin also gained 10 points among women and did a lot better with younger voters. But what is significant is that she is now tied with Romney among GOP members whereas when Huckabee was in the race Palin was always lagging behind both Huckabee and Romney in support from Republicans.
4)But the two candidates who made the most significant gains are Tim Pawlenty and Herman Cain who wasn't polled on May 10th. I would like to see more confirmation that Pawlenty's numbers are real. I already know Cain is surging. I just wonder if Cain will fizzle out due to his lack of political credentials, never having served in political office before.
5)Michele Bachmann is treading water. Cain may become more a threat to bleeding away Palin's conservative supporters than Bachmann might be.
6)Newt Gingrich is in free fall, falling 4 points overall and losing support across the board. If Newt isn't toast, he soon will be. I can't see anyway he recovers from referring to Paul Ryan and social engineering in the same breath.
7)Ron Paul is Ron Paul. And Jon Huntsman is still a non-entity.
In summary, Mitt Romney could not have picked a worse day to throw his hat into the presidential ring. Palin is now tied with him and has made a great improvement in her conservative numbers while Pawlenty and Cain apparently have momentum as well and are also on Romney's tail. Mitt Romney is currently going in the wrong direction.
Could today be Mitt Romney's high-water mark? Has Romney already peaked on the day he announces he is running for President?
It was the most boring, deflated, and weak announcement I’ve ever seen. He looks defeated already.
I sure hope so...be gone Mittens.
Bub bye now!
Mittens is done once Palin announces.
Daddy told me that if I couldn't run with the big dogs, I need to stay on the porch.
Sounds like Mitt's dad didn't give him any philosophical training of a practical sort.
/johnny
Ha! Wind blowing at low gale force and barely a hair out of place. Mitt, Mitt, Mitt...give it up dude.
Sarah is brilliant.
I listened to it on the radio. He came across weak, no fire in the belly. When I saw a snippet on the news he had that loser aura about him. The establishment is gonna have a hard sell with this phony!
Will this election cycle, with a new chairman or the RNC, finally end the “who’s the next guy in line” philosophy?
But ... but it was all just a coinkydink, right?
‘Cuda sucks all the oxygen out of the room.
Palin also gained 6 points to be tied now with Romney among moderates.
Romney looked as though he was bored with his own speech...really flat and uninteresting. Compare that announcement address with Herman Cain’s fabulous stem-winder in Atlanta, and it’s obvious that Romney can’t compete.
:)
Let’s not fabricate the truth.
Among Moderates today:
Romney: 25%
Palin: 8%
Give Mitt his props.
Ah jeez, that’s embarrassing—I read down the wrong column!
Mitt Romney is currently going in the wrong direction.
______________________________________________
whats new ???
Hes been going in the wrong direction for years
no non no.
This is all wrong!
Why Dickie Morris said just the other day that mittens would be the recipient of Huck dropping out, this is his turn, and that Sarah doesn’t have a chance! (S)
yup.
just brilliant
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