Posted on 10/26/2010 6:45:21 AM PDT by GOPinCa
Each poll uses a random sampling of 1000 Likely Voters (unless otherwise stated) and has a +/- 4% margin of error (M.o.E). Poll that don’t add up to 100 are due to rounding. Commentary on the following results will be posted in a follow-up post.
California Senate: (R)Carly Fiorina- 49%, (D)Barbara Boxer- 45%, Undecided- 6%
(Excerpt) Read more at theconservativejournal.wordpress.com ...
Is this a local outfit doing this poll?
Sounds good.
Viva Carly!
Please, please, please be true!
Man, I hope this is right. “Ma’am” has got to go!
friday night boxer will have her usual attack video.
You are sooooo right. We can never forget the way she falsely slimed Bruce. Carly better have the nastiest, most vile ad anyone can imagine in the can to pull out and use to counter Boxer’s roorback. There is rarely anyway to answer a roorback, so the best thing to do is fight fire with fire.
So, is this poll weighted with expected turnout ratios? Or is it the first 1000 who answer the phone and are determined to be a likely voter?
Keep your fingers crossed.
Nice to have good news on a Tuesday morning, but.....
Where’s the analysis writup, i.e., internals, sampling, etc? Without some kind of actual data, these come up to nothing more than manufactured numbers. Or do we have to “deluxe” members to access the info?
writup=writeup
Just someone making up numbers that sound good to conservatives.
It appears to be just made up polls. No internals, no track record, no information about the pollster, no nothing at all apparently.
As best I can tell, these numbers are just pulled from thin air and posted on a someone's blog.
It’s a little known blogger who says that he’s doing a poll.
We don’t care anymore at all, I guess, about accurate polls or anything. We’re getting stupider and more gullible.
This is at least the 3rd one and there’s no documentation at all.
TCJ POLLS ARE ALL MADE UP, PEOPLE.
No, I suspect that there’s no info, I suspect that the deluxe members get nothing.
Rasmussen has the platinum memberships that give more. Rasmussen is a serious, legit polling organization.
TCJ is not.
Check it out for yourself on the The Conservative Journal website. They have polled many Senate races consistently for the last two weeks or even longer and basically duplicated the Frank-Bielat result which showed Bielat 12 point down to Frank in a local poll.
What is amazing they are showing Fiorina now leading Boxer by 4 points while yesterday showing Whitman losing 4 points to Brown. Could this be the Palin factor?
TCJ Research 10/23-25 Poll: Christine O’Donnell Continues to Close Gap On Chris Coons in Delaware Senate
(D)Chris Coons- 50%, (R)Christine O’Donnell- 44%, Undecided- 5%
http://theconservativejournal.wordpress.com/2010/10/26/tcj-research-1023-1025-poll-christine-odonnell-continues-to-close-gap-on-chris-coons-in-delaware-senate-race/
Different from TPM poll???
The TCJ Research Poll is and always has been TOTAL BS.
Campaigns tend to talk about whatever they can find that make them look good, no matter whether it’s legit or not.
But we haven’t seen the Tea Party Express poll at all.
And there’s no reason to think that the TCJ Research “poll” is anything but a bunch of made up numbers.
None. No reason. It’s a complete BS poll. I think the numbers are probably right though.
The Conservative Journal is a bunch of LIARS.
Making sht up.
All of a sudden this unknown group polls 5 races twice a week with large sample sizes.
And then gives no pdf to the detailed results.
I do not believe anything that is said by them at all.
They should just call them “guesses”.
And it’s disturbing to me, and disappointing, that freepers can buy into this. It means that we’re, collectively, stupid.
I’m not stupid.
Anyone who posts a TCJ thread more than once should be banned for giving out bad information. Once is ok.
Posting make up fake polls one time is an honest mistake.
No more.
Blog pimping.
And people buy it. No.
Freerepublic is the ONLY place that takes these “polls” seriously. No more.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.