Palin 2012 in Alaska (PPP Poll Shows 62% of Alaska Republicans Oppose her running for President)

Public Policy Polling ^ | 09/01/2010 | PPP

[SeekAndFind]

If Sarah Palin runs for President in 2012 she can't count on a whole lot of support back home. 62% of Alaska Republicans are opposed to her making a White House bid and she gets only 17% in a hypothetical 2012 primary in the state tying for her second with Mike Huckabee behind Mitt Romney.

It's not that Alaska Republicans don't like Palin- a majority of them still do. But there's a significant disconnect between GOP voters in the state liking Palin and thinking she should run for President, a divide we've seen with Republicans nationally and one that presents the biggest threat to a possible Palin candidacy. Even among voters with a favorable opinion of Palin in the state just 39% think she should launch a 2012 bid.

Romney gets 20% to 17% for Palin and Huckabee, 16% for Newt Gingrich, and 10% for Ron Paul. Among Republicans with a favorable opinion of Palin she pulls only 30% and not surprisingly she gets just 3% with ones who don't like her.

Among voters who say they support the goals of the Tea Party only 31% want Palin to run and even with ones who consider themselves to be active members of the Tea Party there are still only 42% who think she should make the leap.

The basic findings of this poll are the same we see everywhere- Republicans like Sarah Palin. They just don't want her to be President. And that holds true even in her home state.

[SeekAndFind]

See full results here :

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_AK_901.pdf

[Genoa]

(1) Mathematically, Alaska doesn’t amount to anything. (2) She’ll win her home state in November.

[GoCards]

I just dont get it.

[Mr. K]

Thanks Liberal Media~!

And we sure won’ thro you in dat Briar patch either...

[agere_contra]

Its a PPP poll.

Which means: it depicts the opposite of reality.

[deport]

If Palin should run the home state will support her. Maybe not at anything close to 100% but then neither does any other candidate get that high of support. It seems Palin is more polarizing in that either you like her or won’t support her period. That hinders the securing of votes from other groups which are needed to win the big one. jmo.

[who knows what evil?]

Polls are designed to manipulate people and how they think...

[keta]

That’s because you don’t live here. Most conservatives here in Alaska respect Sarah, but few that I know would vote for her for either governor or President. The current governor, Parnell, who replaced her is just as conservative as her and ten times as competent.

[chrisser]

Isn’t PPP the new polling company for the KOS kiddies?

I could be mistaken...

[Genoa]

When 2012 rolls around, people will be ready to boot Obama like they were Carter in 1980. Reagan wasn’t exactly a foregone conclusion in 1978 either. If it’s Obama v. Palin in 2012, I know who will have the momentum.

[anniegetyourgun]

She’s never said she is running.

[FroggyTheGremlim]

Many Republicans are afraid (or concerned) that the MSM will somehow make Sarah look foolish and that will embarrass them.

Somehow, I think Sarah is on to the the MSM tactics and will instead, make them look foolish.

[McGruff]

Dude. Where's the

Misleading Headline Alert

?

[cvq3842]

Like her or not, I think a main problem is her voice, and speech patterns. The way she pronounces some of her words, and the tone of her voice, are interpreted as meaning she is somehow “ditzy” or “dumb” to some in the general public, especially back East. That “audio” is not associated with our governing class.

It's vaguely analogous to the sensitive issue of Obama being more acceptable to voters (before they got to know him) because he did not have a discernible “black accent.”

I'm not saying this is how things should be. This is just my opinion, of what is.

[Mich Patriot]

"Romney gets 20% to 17% for Palin and Huckabee, 16% for Newt Gingrich, and 10% for Ron Paul."

Mitt Romney BARF alert.

[ritpg]

Be careful how you interpret the responses to poorly worded questions. I really like Sarah Palin but I also would not want to see her run for president. Why? Number one, I’m not convinced the U.S deserves her. I will be closely watching what happens in this country over the next four to six years and then decide where I want to spend my years in retirement. And I also don’t want to see her run because I care about her and wouldn’t want to see her exposed to even greater abuse than what she suffered after the last presidential election that got so bad that she was forced to resign from the Alaska governorship. Politics in this country has reached a point of complete intolerability for the candidates and for the electorate. It’s garbage and I’ve cynically gotten to the point where I suspect anyone involved in it - except for the likes of Sarah Palin, Chris Christie and a small number of others.

[Genoa]

“Governing class”? That’s who we’re trying to evict. Sarah’s speech appeals to me precisely because it sounds like a real person talking, one I can trust.

[cvq3842]

Interesting comparison! I remember 1980 fairly well. “ABC” meant “anyone but Carter,” and was the prevailing sentiment. But when Reagan was nominated there was a huge effort to paint him as a dolt, a war-monger, a racist, etc.

I am not going out on a limb here to predict that 2012 could be similar, no matter who the Republicans put up.

What might be the greatest variable is whether Obama runs again at all.

[GoCards]

Because she left office? Is that it?