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Is Wyden vulnerable?
The Oregon Politicio ^ | July 15, 2010 | Sarah Ross

Posted on 07/16/2010 4:30:06 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued

An internal poll released Wednesday brings into question the electoral safety of long time Senator Ron Wyden.

Portland based polling firm, Moore Information, made public their survey results paid for by the Huffman campaign which showed that 37% of Oregonians support a GOP candidate for Sen. Wyden’s seat while 36% favored the incumbent Democratic Party. Twenty-eight percent of respondents remained undecided, as of when the survey was performed on July 10th.

The poll questioned a “representative sample of 500 likely voters in Oregon” and had a 4 percent sampling error with a 95 percent confidence level.

Moore also found that 44 percent of respondents believed Sen. Wyden deserves reelection today while 45 percent would prefer a new candidate and 11 percent are still unsure.

(Excerpt) Read more at theoregonpolitico.com ...


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: election2010; jimhuffman; libertarian; lping; oregon
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1 posted on 07/16/2010 4:30:07 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
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To: Jim Robinson; Salvation; little jeremiah; GOP_Raider; fieldmarshaldj; NormsRevenge; ...

Jim Huffman has great potential and intelligence, but he’s vastly under-funded. If you have any family or friends in Oregon, ask them to put up a Huffman for Senate yard sign. Every bit will help.


2 posted on 07/16/2010 4:35:47 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Obama's more worried about Israelis building houses than he is about Islamists building atomic bombs)
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To: bamahead

If Rand Paul and Jim Huffman both win, they could form a Libertarian caucus.


3 posted on 07/16/2010 4:39:56 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Obama's more worried about Israelis building houses than he is about Islamists building atomic bombs)
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To: Clintonfatigued

How Libertarian is Jim Huffman?


4 posted on 07/16/2010 6:22:36 PM PDT by little jeremiah
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To: little jeremiah

I’m not certain how Libertarian he is. All I know is what I’ve read on the internet. He’s a law professor, so I’m sure he has some scholarly papers which should be revealing.


5 posted on 07/16/2010 6:24:27 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued (Obama's more worried about Israelis building houses than he is about Islamists building atomic bombs)
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To: Clintonfatigued; abcraghead; aimhigh; Archie Bunker on steroids; bicycle thug; blackie; ...
View Image
 
OREGON PING!
 
If you aren't on this ping list and are interested
in articles about Oregon, please FReepmail me.

6 posted on 07/16/2010 9:30:31 PM PDT by Salvation ("With God all things are possible." Matthew 19:26)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Many Oregonians are relishing the prospect of knocking Wyden out of office.


7 posted on 07/16/2010 9:30:56 PM PDT by Salvation ("With God all things are possible." Matthew 19:26)
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To: Clintonfatigued
This came in an email from OR. GOP today.

New Poll Shows Huffman Prospects Good To Unseat Wyden In November

Tigard, Ore. - A recent survey of Oregon voters reveals that Senator Ron Wyden is vulnerable to a challenge from Republican candidate Jim Huffman.  Here are key findings from the survey.

-  A GOP candidate for U.S. Senator is favored by 37%, while a Democrat is favored by 36%, with the remaining 28% undecided.  This is despite an 11-point Democrat edge over Republicans in voter registration.

-  Just 44% believe Ron Wyden deserves reelection today, while 45% prefer a new person and 11% are unsure if they favor Wyden's reelection.

-  After hearing a series of statements about the candidates’ backgrounds and views, Huffman moves into a 47-38% lead over Wyden.

The reelection of a long-term Democrat incumbent in Oregon is not a foregone conclusion – Oregon voters mirror national voter attitudes on a variety of key issues.

-  Oregonians are pessimistic about the direction of the country and looking for change; 59% believe the country is on the wrong track, while only 29% believe things are generally headed in the right direction.

-  President Barack Obama suffers from a negative image in the state; 45% approve and 50% disapprove of his performance.

-  A plurality of Oregon voters support repeal of the Obama health care legislation (45-40%) and six-in-ten voters support Arizona’s immigration law (60-34%).

Wyden is vulnerable today not only because he is an incumbent U.S. Senator in an election year where many voters are demanding a change in congressional leadership, but also because his voting history is at odds with Oregonians on a variety of issues, including federal spending and the deficit, Cap and Trade, health care reform, handling terrorists and illegal immigrants.  Huffman is in a position to retire Senator Wyden because his views on these issues are more in-line with the mainstream of the Oregon electorate.


The survey was conducted for Huffman for Senate on July 9-10, 2010 among a representative sample of 500 likely voters in Oregon.  The potential sampling error is plus or minus 4% at the 95% confidence level.


8 posted on 07/16/2010 9:32:56 PM PDT by Salvation ("With God all things are possible." Matthew 19:26)
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To: Clintonfatigued

Rush Limbaugh TV segment on how dumb Wyden is (can’t find Bosnia on a globe):

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YPMHw-eGJx0


9 posted on 07/16/2010 9:46:01 PM PDT by Sloth (Civil disobedience? I'm afraid only the uncivil kind is going to cut it this time.)
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To: Clintonfatigued

“Is Wyden vulnerable?”

No...


10 posted on 07/16/2010 10:12:36 PM PDT by Tailback
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To: Clintonfatigued

Huffman is the Dean of his Law School and a Constitutional Professor. He seems like a solid Repub. and needs to find some passion.

Pray for America


11 posted on 07/16/2010 10:49:50 PM PDT by bray (Conservative Women Win Elections)
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To: Tailback

Uhhh...yeah...


12 posted on 07/17/2010 12:22:02 AM PDT by dixiechick2000 (Remember November...I can see it from my house!)
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To: Tailback

Uhhh...yeah...


13 posted on 07/17/2010 12:22:06 AM PDT by dixiechick2000 (Remember November...I can see it from my house!)
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To: Salvation

Isn’t Wyden a member of the Progressive caucus in congress?

That right there is enough to want me to toss him to the electoral curb.


14 posted on 07/17/2010 8:35:19 AM PDT by Danae (If Liberals were only moderately insane, they would be tollerable. Alas, such is not the case.)
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To: Clintonfatigued; Abathar; Abcdefg; Abram; Abundy; akatel; albertp; AlexandriaDuke; ...
Jim Huffman is a libertarian leaning law professor, and an excellent candidate. A lot of undecideds still in play.



Libertarian ping! Click here to get added or here to be removed or post a message here!
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15 posted on 07/17/2010 9:22:12 AM PDT by bamahead (Few men desire liberty; most men wish only for a just master. -- Sallust)
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To: Clintonfatigued

I hope you’re right, but the all-important dead vote doesn’t get polled. They only show up on election day, along with the felons and illegal immigrants.

Yes, I am the eternal pessimist.


16 posted on 07/17/2010 10:11:37 AM PDT by Pining_4_TX
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To: Salvation
Up til 06-08 there was a red tide rising in Oregon and the Republicans ruined it by passing the largest tax and spending increases in Oregon's history up to the time. The US House districts are gerrymandered to ensure the 4-1 split we have had for nearly a generation. But as you know in most of Oregon's recent history we have had two Republican US Senators more often than not.

Smith lost last year because he sided with the left too much and abandoned the Republican base, and I'm not sure the goofball who replaced him will last. For some reason Wyden is popular but Huffman does have a solid following in Portland and that is going to help. But turnout is going to be very important.

17 posted on 07/17/2010 10:32:03 AM PDT by Clinging Bitterly (We need to limit political office holders to two terms. One in office, and one in prison.)
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To: Clinging Bitterly

Yes, a history of two Republican Senators, but often in the more liberal Republican tradition. Growing up, I recall Hatfield and Packwood regularly cancelling each other out. Admittedly, this is better than hardcore democrates, but Oregon never was Alabama. Mass. had a history of being represented by two Republicans as well up to JFK, but of the Rockefeller wing.


18 posted on 07/17/2010 11:54:27 AM PDT by Hieronymus (It is terrible to contemplate how few politicians are hanged. --G.K. Chesterton)
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To: dixiechick2000

When I see a poll that shows Huffman ahead by 7 points I’ll think Wyden is vulnerable. The Oregon vote by mail system is an ACORN’s dream come true.

SEIU will put out all the stops to get Wyden reelected and it looks like Wyden will have a huge advantage in campaign funds.

Are there any polls out for DeFazio’s seat? I’m curious if that is close. I’m thinking Schrader is toast, and last I saw it’s close on Wu. Blumenauer is a lock to win, he could execute cute little puppies on live TV and still win that seat. How’s Walden look?


19 posted on 07/17/2010 8:27:40 PM PDT by Tailback
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To: Tailback

The last poll I saw had Wyden below 50, which was a surprise for me. However, when he won the office, it was because of the Gray Panthers...and they are dying off. He will be tough to beat, but I think Huffman has a shot.

I don’t know about DeFazio...haven’t seen anything. I hope Schrader is toast. Did you know Biden was in Portland for a fundraiser for him...and it was not public? The only reason we knew ahead of time is that my husband was flying to Seattle that day, and when filing his flight plan found that air space was restricted during certain hours.

Walden should be fine, and I’m hopeful that Bruun will win Hooley’s seat. I hope Cornellis wipes the floor with Wu, but I know that won’t happen so I just hope he eeks out a win. LOL at what you said about Blumenauer...and you are right on the money.

Dudley is hanging there...even though some of the polling is within the MOE, he’s ahead in all of them.


20 posted on 07/17/2010 10:18:13 PM PDT by dixiechick2000 (Remember November...I can see it from my house!)
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