Posted on 06/15/2010 9:37:36 PM PDT by CWW
What BP and the Government Are Not Telling Us:
The Deepwater Horizon Well Is Going to Collapse Soon Resulting in an Uncontrollable Oilcano.
The recent failure of the Top Kill ("mud kill") attempt revealed that the well bore structure is compromised "Down hole", i.e., the well pipes below the sea floor are broken and leaking. That's why the Top Kill procedure did not work.
What does this mean?
It means they will never cap the gusher after the wellhead. They cannot. That sort of leak is one of the most dangerous and potentially damaging kinds of leak there could be. It is also inaccessible which compounds our problems. There is no way to stop that leak from above. All they can do is relieve the pressure on it by opening it up (like a opening up a garden hose nozzle to slow a leak in the line). This down hole leak will undermine the foundation of the seabed in and around the well area. It also weakens the only thing holding up the massive Blow Out Preventer's immense bulk of 450 ton.
What is likely to happen now?
Well...none of what is likely to happen is good. In fact, it's about as bad as it gets. I am convinced the erosion and compromising of the entire system is accelerating and attacking more key structural areas of the well, the blow out preventer and surrounding strata holding it all up and together. This is evidenced by the tilt of the blow out preventer and the erosion which has exposed the well head connection. What eventually will happen is that the blow out preventer will literally tip over if they do not run supports to it as the currents push on it. I suspect they will run those supports as cables tied to anchors very soon, if they don't, they are inviting disaster that much sooner.
Eventually, even that will be futile as the well casings cannot support the weight of the massive system above with out the cement bond to the earth and that bond is being eroded away. When enough is eroded away the casings will buckle and the blow out preventer will collapse the well. If and when you begin to see oil and gas coming up around the well area from under the blow out preventer, or the area around the well head connection and casing sinking more and more rapidly, it won't be too long after that the entire system fails. BP must be aware of this, they are mapping the sea floor sonically and that is not a mere exercise. Our Gov't must be well aware too, they just are not telling us.
All of these things lead to only one place, a fully wide open well bore directly to the oil deposit...after that, it goes into the realm of "the worst things you can think of" -- The well may come completely apart as the inner liners fail. The very least damaging outcome, as bad as it is, is that we are stuck with a wide open gusher blowing out a minimum of 150,000 barrels a day (about 6.75 million gallons) of raw oil or more.
All the collection efforts that have captured oil will be erased in short order. The magnitude of this disaster will increase exponentially by the time we can do anything to halt it and our odds of actually even being able to halt it will go down.
The magnitude and impact of this disaster will eclipse anything we have known in our life times if the worst or even near worst happens.
We are seeing the puny forces of man vs. the awesome forces of nature. We are going to need some luck and a lot of effort to win...and if nature decides we ought to lose, we will.
THX THX
Garde la Foi, mes amis! Nous nous sommes les sauveurs de la République! Maintenant et Toujours!
(Keep the Faith, my friends! We are the saviors of the Republic! Now and Forever!)
LonePalm, le Républicain du verre cassé (The Broken Glass Republican)
At least one commentator has said that the New Madrid fault ends about there and that nuking it would likely set off the New Madrid . . . resulting in the Great Lakes emptying into the Mississippi as so many diverse sources have predicted over the last 100 years would happen in the END TIMES.
It may also be the case that nuking it would pull enough of a lid off the huge lake of oil under the gulf, that more of it would surface into the water faster in an even greatly worse disaster.
THX for your pings.
No need to go whiny liberal.
Next you’ll want to use this as an example of why we should never drill anywhere at all ever again at any time for any reason.
It’s probably more like 80,000.
It’s personal to me too.
Thank you for posting that. I have seen that and I thought that I saved it and the links but have been unable to find it amongst all of the other research stuff I have in my oil spill files. So I searched for it. It seems to be MIA. Was it scrubbed? I had no problem finding several reputable links for it a couple of weeks ago.
Some oil naturally seeps from the sea floor. I’ve encountered small tar balls all of my life on FL beaches. Most of it is eaten by microbes. It’s natures balance. However the Corexit will kill the microbes. Not good!!
Even worse, we've run out of coffee.
AAAAAAAGHHHHHHH!!!!!!
I’ll take Biden over the Kenyan Marxist Barry Soetoro
I agree.
I don’t think that’s being a whiny liberal at all!!!! Protecting oil companies with blind adoration is what we make fun of when the libs do it with the Kenyan usurper. I refuse to become one of them. If they want to drill in the Gulf, fine. But I will NOT give them a free pass to take short cuts and f**k it up. They should have at least 2 BOP’s and at least one relief well on each one and I don’t give a crap how much it costs them.
Good related discussion going on here:
Maj Gen Paul Vallely: We need to demand resignations of Obama, his cabinet, and members of Congress
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2535993/posts?page=1
This speculation might be more worthy of consideration if your source weren’t “unknown”.
>>BP has proven abiotic oil
Can/would you please address this, Smokin’ Joe?
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