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New Jersey: latest.
Posted on 11/01/2009 8:19:45 PM PST by Jet Jaguar
Chris Christie leads Jon Corzine 47-41 in PPP's final poll of the New Jersey Governor's race, with Chris Daggett at 11%.
Corzine had pulled to within a point of Christie on our poll three weeks ago after trailing by as many as 14 points over the summer, but his momentum has stalled since then and Christie's built his lead back up to 4 points last week and now 6.
Christie's advantage is due largely to his support from independents and because he has Republicans more unified around him than the Democrats are around Corzine. Christie leads Corzine 52-29 with indies, as Daggett's support with that group has declined to 16%. Christie is getting 82% of Republicans to Corzine's 72% of Democrats.
As the campaign concludes it seems like Daggett's presence in the race has actually ended up hurting Corzine more than Christie, contrary to the earlier conventional wisdom. 45% of Daggett voters say the incumbent is their second choice to 36% for the challenger. Daggett's backers report having voted for Barack Obama by a 67-23 margin last year.
As is the case around the country this year enthusiasm is on the Republicans' side in New Jersey. 47% of Christie's supporters say they're 'very excited' about voting this fall to just 34% of Corzine's. The electorate is also likely to be more Republican leaning this year with likely voters reporting that they voted for Obama by a 54-43 margin in 2008, a spread narrower than the actual 57-42 result in the state.
In a finding symbolic of how unenthralled New Jersey voters were with their choices this year Christie is polling at 47% despite the fact that only 40% of voters think he made a strong case for why he should be elected Governor. Fully 27% of Christie's supporters don't feel he made the case for himself but Corzine's approval rating with that group of voters is only 3%, and those folks seem to have picked Christie as the lesser of two evils.
Corzine could still win with an exceptional Democratic turnout on Tuesday but there aren't a lot of factors in the race pointing to that as a strong possibility.
Full results here
I am unfamiliar with PPP, is this generally a dependably accurate polling outfit?
Suck on that, you immature Kommie Kenyan. Nov. 2010 cant come fast enough.
They’re a Dem outfit, but they have a good track record as far as I can tell.
It’s a dem outfit.
New to me as well. But, they are the only outfit doing polling down to the wire.
Thanks......hopefully a sign of good things to come!
ppppolls
Corzine could still pull it out but it would take exceptional turnout on Tuesday
2 minutes ago from web
From twitter.
Should we help Chris Christie with a late money bomb with GOTV or is he one of the moderate to liberal types, let me know New Jersey Freepers.
FReep mail me if you want on/off the list.
New Jersey: latest.
I expect VA and 23-NY to go our way. This would be GREAT!!
I’m going to be at the polls at 6:00am on TUES to vote for Christie..... supreme sacrifice - less sleep but I don’t want to miss my chance to VOTE AGAINST THE DIMS aka Corslime
Corzine and Daggett are both hard lefties so they should be more likely to split the vote of the slightly left leaning independents.
Christie is a couple of ticks to the right of them, but enough to distinguish himself as the lone option to the two true blue lefties.
Unlike so many other elections where the Republican gets screwed, there is nobody to the right of Christie in the race.
It seems like Christie is doing very well with Independents. I bet a lot of Indies and moderates are kicking themselves if they voted for Hussein the Islamo marxist.
From the article linked to
The Wall Street Journal ranked PPP as one of the top swing state pollsters in the country last year. (11-6-08 WSJ)
Great news. Thanks!
Hopefully Tuesday’s bloodbath for DimoRATS will send shivers down the spineless-backs of enough RAT members of Congress who might decide they are not willing to fight Nazi “Stretch” Pelousy’s idiotic war.
I am wondering the same. How accurate is this polling group? They have Hoffman running away with it in NY too.
I also noticed this question in the poll:
If the election for Congress was today, would you vote for Democrat or a Republican?
Results:
D: 41%
R: 46%
Not Sure: 11%
I haven't looked at past polling but it seems that even NJ is fed up with the democRATs and modeRATes.
I am not in Jersey, but I think your idea of a money bomb for Christie is a good idea (I have heard he is a Conservative-moderate) aka not really a conservative, but not a moderate either, in anycase NJ had a primary and chose him. Plus is would be a big black eye to the Obama admin. if Chrisie were to win..
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