BRING OUT YER DEAD!
Posted on 11/01/2009 8:19:45 PM PST by Jet Jaguar
Chris Christie leads Jon Corzine 47-41 in PPP's final poll of the New Jersey Governor's race, with Chris Daggett at 11%.
Corzine had pulled to within a point of Christie on our poll three weeks ago after trailing by as many as 14 points over the summer, but his momentum has stalled since then and Christie's built his lead back up to 4 points last week and now 6.
Christie's advantage is due largely to his support from independents and because he has Republicans more unified around him than the Democrats are around Corzine. Christie leads Corzine 52-29 with indies, as Daggett's support with that group has declined to 16%. Christie is getting 82% of Republicans to Corzine's 72% of Democrats.
As the campaign concludes it seems like Daggett's presence in the race has actually ended up hurting Corzine more than Christie, contrary to the earlier conventional wisdom. 45% of Daggett voters say the incumbent is their second choice to 36% for the challenger. Daggett's backers report having voted for Barack Obama by a 67-23 margin last year.
As is the case around the country this year enthusiasm is on the Republicans' side in New Jersey. 47% of Christie's supporters say they're 'very excited' about voting this fall to just 34% of Corzine's. The electorate is also likely to be more Republican leaning this year with likely voters reporting that they voted for Obama by a 54-43 margin in 2008, a spread narrower than the actual 57-42 result in the state.
In a finding symbolic of how unenthralled New Jersey voters were with their choices this year Christie is polling at 47% despite the fact that only 40% of voters think he made a strong case for why he should be elected Governor. Fully 27% of Christie's supporters don't feel he made the case for himself but Corzine's approval rating with that group of voters is only 3%, and those folks seem to have picked Christie as the lesser of two evils.
Corzine could still win with an exceptional Democratic turnout on Tuesday but there aren't a lot of factors in the race pointing to that as a strong possibility.
Full results here
Keep pushing on that mop Ubama ....cause it ain’t working in NJ, NY or VA !!
Hey Bella Puglosi .....how about that ROBUST voting in NY, NJ and VA ???
Your Blue Dogs just might throw you and Ubama under that bus yet .......all 1,990 pages !!
Fingers crossed for tomorrow’s elections!
If there’s ever a time to pay attention to what the polls are saying, it’s the day before an election. Biased pollsters can always look for ways to manipulate numbers to their favored candidate’s advantage months and weeks prior to an election. However, on the day before an election the pollster’s reputation depends more on reporting accurate results than on skewed, biased numbers. So if Democrat-favoring pollsters are consistently showing Christie in the lead a day or two before the election, then you know Corzine must be in huge trouble!
Not close enough. Especailly with Zero rousting the ACORN troops. And you KNOW that THEY won’t be prosecuted for voter intimidation.
We need a few helpful conservatives to go out on the highways coming into New Jersey and have a “breakdown” in order to keep the SEIU and ACORN busloads from coming in to vote for Corzine!
The Jersey papers endorsed the rat as usual. I don’t buy this poll. Monmouth County will go red.
I suspect that all the SEIU and ACORN activists are already in NJ. Good luck to the Garden State. It will likely be the next state to go bankrupt.
If this is Accurate, its a clean sweep for R’s. Even in NJ they can’t make up 6% in fraud.
We’re fighting hard to win. ACORN will be watched and held accountable. Let’s not forget - the spotlight has been put on them by Breitbart, Beck and company. They will be called on voter fraud.
I sure hope so!
This is good news but I’m never comfortable with less than a double-digit lead in the polls. The Democrat machine has proven very successful at manipulating the “counting” process to overcome narrow defeats.
Maybe Obama should campaign some more for Corzine and Deeds. Everytime he opens his mouth, their poll numbers drop.
I think we’re looking at a sweep tomorrow (Hoffman, McDonnell, Christie).
Which IMHO means a big loss of momentum for the Dems, and perhaps a much-needed shot in the ass for the GOP...
Please help him any way you can.
BRING OUT YER DEAD!
Monmouth County will go red, count on it!
We need to keep it going by planning the next Tea Party at GOP headquarters to make sure they get the message.
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