Posted on 08/19/2009 3:26:57 AM PDT by jay1949
Hearing from some very good national R sources that the NRCC was polling the 9th district in the last few weeks. Apparently the environment is so bad out there that Delegate Terry Kilgore is leading Congressman Rick Boucher by 6 points!
Background posts: "Boucher (D-VA9) Vacillates On Health Care Reform" - - http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/2306593/posts
"Boucher Responds To Carbon Tax Critics" - - http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/2290344/posts
(Excerpt) Read more at notlarrysabato.typepad.com ...
Bye, bye Ricky you and several of your Rat buddies here in the Commonwealth are going to get crushed. The revolution begins November 4, 2009 at the state level.
Hopefully Glenn Nye (Va Beach) will go with him.
I will pass out if Boucher is FINALLY sent home to the ‘private sector’...
Also say bye to Nye, Pereillo, Conolley and Senator Larry Flynt (Dim Webb)
Be prepared to pass out.
I didn’t even know that Kilgore was running and I am on FR. The GOP needs to start getting the word out now, that someone is running against Boucher again.
Rick Boucher.
I would love to see this bed-wetter retired once and for all.
He’s not formally running but there is a “Draft Kilgore” movement
I will keep the smelling salts handy as the returns roll in...
If these numbers are true and hold up (and Kilgore is successfully drafted), the Dems are going to have serious trouble even in districts with entrenched incumbents (though absent Boucher, this district would go GOP). This seat was held by Republican William Wampler, Sr. before Boucher defeated him in ‘82 (Wampler was in the Class of ‘52, lost after a single term and made a comeback in the anti-LBJ backlash of ‘66, holding it for the next 16 years). Wampler’s same-name son holds a State Senate seat within Boucher’s district (Bristol) for over 20 years (oddly, he’s never tried to run against him - as you’d think he’d like to beat the man who beat his dad).
Boucher has been exceptionally lucky, since after 1984, his closest race was in ‘94, but he still won 59-41%. He had no opponent in ‘08 (his last was in ‘06, when he annihilated State Del. Bill Carrico, 68-32%).
Surprised that a Dem has held the conservative 9th district for so long.
Power of incumbency, and mostly second-tier or desultory challengers. Had Wampler, Sr. won reelection in ‘82 (he only lost by less than 1%), the seat probably would’ve stayed in GOP hands for awhile longer. Of course, the district is sort of a Baja WV including some mining areas, so it’s not that difficult to see a Dem holding it (after all, Nick Joe Rahall sits in the district above Boucher’s in Southern WV, and he’s had that seat since 1976 (when he was the youngest member of Congress for 1977-79 - a distinction Wampler held, at 26, in the 83rd Congress), and that district now goes GOP for President - but still hasn’t voted for a GOP Congressman since 1956).
This is amazing. It’s like 1993 all over again. Perhaps some being polled are confusing Terry Kilgore with Jerry Kilgore.
They’re twin brothers (Terry wears a moustache to distinguish himself from Jerry). Terry is the State Delegate for the 1st district since 1994, the westernmost in the state (he’s actually closer to Nashville than to Richmond).
Okay let's get a couple of things straight. This is the blogger who first edited and posted the "macaca" video.
DO. NOT. TRUST. HIM.
That said, 1) no the people of the Fighting 9th would not confuse Jerry and Terry. And they don't think they talk funny.
And 2) I've not heard any rumblings about Terry running and would be quite surprised if he chose to do so. But I might add, quite pleasantly surprised.
Do you think Keith Fimian would take on Connolly again? I really liked him. Even my 20-something IDIOT son who voted for BHO voted for Fimian.
When that 11th CD was formed, Byrne won first time out, then Davis came in and held it thru last year. It has become more ‘blue’ but not totally and certainly not super liberal (’cept them thar furners who’ve moved in from New York/New England, etc). They put the most liberal areas of NOVA into Moron’s 8th district.
George Allen was on Hannity tonight!
I saw him there...sigh...
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