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Bad News For Obama: Polls Show That 6 Million+ Pro-Hillary Supporters Are Going To Vote For McCain
10/28/2008
| Laissez-Faire Capitalist
Posted on 10/28/2008 4:46:09 PM PDT by Laissez-faire capitalist
A poll was conducted back In June 2008, and it found that the number of Hillary supporters that were going to vote for Obama was 58%, with 28% going to vote for McCain. The rest were undecided.
In September, another poll was conducted, and it found that things were unchanged for Obama. This poll found that the percentages were still 58% going to vote for Obama and 28% going to vote for for McCain, with the remainder still undecided.
If the remainder ends up splitting evenly, that will give McCain 35% of Hillary supporters that will vote for him and 65% for Obama.
18 million people voted for Hillary in the Democratic primaries. 35% of those 18 million voting for McCain on Nov. 4th, 2008, will translate into about 6.4 million votes for McCain - votes that Obama will not get - and would have gotten had he chosen Hillary as his veep.
This may account for why the MSM pollsters have skewed their polls and rampantly oversampled Dems, and undersampled Repubs - along with tainting their polls with extra blacks and college students being polled.
6 million plus axtra voters for McCain...
Wow.
Since early voting numbers show that few college students are turning out to vote early for Obama, even though he and his campaign have been pleading with them to do so, and with some polls showing that Obama's turnout of black voters won't be much better than John Kerry's were, the Obama campaign is worried.
This election is far from over. The polls are much, much closer than many realize.
TOPICS: Chit/Chat; Miscellaneous; Politics; Society
KEYWORDS: 2008; 2008polls; 300vanities; anothervanity; avanitytoofar; barackobama; bonfireofthevanity; buffythevanityslayer; democrats; ebonyandvanity; election; electionpresident; elections; friedgreenvanities; gonewiththevanity; icanhazvanity; lolwtfbffomgavanity; lordofthevanities; mccain; myfairvanity; obama; obamatruthfile; obamatruthsquad; ohthehugevanity; omgitsavanity; palin; savingprivatevanity; silenceofthevanity; talkradio
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To: All
2
posted on
10/28/2008 4:46:39 PM PDT
by
Laissez-faire capitalist
(Keep working! Welfare cases and their liberal enablers are counting on you!)
To: Laissez-faire capitalist
I think a lot, if not most, undecideds break for McCain..
3
posted on
10/28/2008 4:47:45 PM PDT
by
cardinal4
(Dont Tread on Me)
To: Laissez-faire capitalist
Go Pumas!!!!!
Join your fellow Americans, and defeat the Obama thugs!!!
4
posted on
10/28/2008 4:49:51 PM PDT
by
Prole
(Please pray for the families of Chris and Channon. May God always watch over them.)
To: Laissez-faire capitalist
Can we get ‘em to vote in VA, CO, and PA?
5
posted on
10/28/2008 4:50:09 PM PDT
by
Little Ray
(Joe the Plumber. He's our only hope... God help him.)
To: Laissez-faire capitalist
Source for those figures about the college students?
6
posted on
10/28/2008 4:50:14 PM PDT
by
Tears of a Clown
(The Obamessiah has risen. All hail the One.)
To: Laissez-faire capitalist
I think the Hillary voters (PUMA'S) are the silent vote in this election and they will be heard on Nov 4th. I think you are on to something...I take that back, I'm positive you are on to something...
7
posted on
10/28/2008 4:50:26 PM PDT
by
Bush Revolution
("All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing."...Let's win this thing)
To: cardinal4
Yep.
That’s how they have in the past.
Undecideds don’t break for newbies.
Obama is a newbie.
140+ days in the Senate and he starts running for pres.
8
posted on
10/28/2008 4:50:30 PM PDT
by
Laissez-faire capitalist
(Keep working! Welfare cases and their liberal enablers are counting on you!)
To: Tears of a Clown
Fox News, Rachel Maddow’s show on MSNBC and few others...
9
posted on
10/28/2008 4:52:31 PM PDT
by
Laissez-faire capitalist
(Keep working! Welfare cases and their liberal enablers are counting on you!)
To: Laissez-faire capitalist
Ties in with this
article on early voting in Nevada.
10
posted on
10/28/2008 4:52:31 PM PDT
by
6SJ7
(Welcome PUMAs!)
To: Laissez-faire capitalist
11
posted on
10/28/2008 4:54:45 PM PDT
by
longtermmemmory
(VOTE! http://www.senate.gov and http://www.house.gov)
To: Laissez-faire capitalist
My true blue RAT friend is not voting for Pres. She was big time Hillary supporter.
To: Laissez-faire capitalist
The article errs in attributing the polling differences to oversampling of Democrats and under sampling of Republicans.
Rather, it's the over assignment of those polled to the "independent/undecided" category.
As long as the pollster has a reasonable idea of what percentage of the electorate belongs to which party it really doesn't matter how many of each party get polled. All that will happen is the pollster will get a better number from one set of voters than another.
If, on the other hand, the pollster takes all his Democrat respondents who might vote for McCain and calls them independents, but does not also reduce the percentage of Democrats in the total sampling universe, he simply gives each Obama vote greater weight and thereby distorts the results.
These guys all know that 20% of white Democrats will not vote for Obama under any circumstances. That's about 12% of all Democrats!
By calling them independents they give Obama as much as a 15% lead over McCain.
13
posted on
10/28/2008 4:56:01 PM PDT
by
muawiyah
To: Laissez-faire capitalist
Hopefully McCain/Palin and Co. will his emphasize connections with shaky socialist leftists in his past and say
"now is not the time to take a experiment with America's future" Barack will be around in four or eight years and by then he can be fully vetted - right now he's way too big a risk"! I think an approach like that might sell with the "moderate independents" with their thumb still up their....well, in their ear.
14
posted on
10/28/2008 4:56:38 PM PDT
by
HardStarboard
("The urge to save humanity is almost always a false front for the urge to rule - Mencken knew Obama)
To: Laissez-faire capitalist
Obama has been around since the Fall.
15
posted on
10/28/2008 4:57:04 PM PDT
by
muawiyah
To: Laissez-faire capitalist
Death to vanities and searing pain to those who post them.
16
posted on
10/28/2008 4:57:10 PM PDT
by
Petronski
(Please pray for the success of McCain and Palin. Every day, whenever you pray.)
To: Laissez-faire capitalist
Do Hillary supporters really think this way?
No matter how much resentment I might feel toward McCain and his natural RINO supporters I would never vote for a Democrat. How could the PUMA’s vote for us?
To: lone star annie
If I was still a Democrat, I would vote for McCain. There are so many reasons, but the biggest is because of what he did to Hillary.
18
posted on
10/28/2008 4:58:34 PM PDT
by
YdontUleaveLibs
(Reason is out to lunch. How may I help you?)
To: Laissez-faire capitalist
19
posted on
10/28/2008 4:58:39 PM PDT
by
1035rep
To: Laissez-faire capitalist; Bush Revolution
I had a feeling something like this may happen. The Clintons are out there doing the bare minimum for 0bama. If the PUMA vote comes through, it will effectively cripple 0bama for future runs. After all....he had this election won and blew it at the end (if it goes down that way. Don't get me wrong, I'm glad they're doing this and hope they push McCain over the top. Two things concern me, however:
One: They'll immediately try to undermine McCain, and more importantly, Palin.
Two: McCain has a propensity for reaching across the aisle and passing bad bi-partisan legislation.
It will be a long 4 years to keep McCain in line, reminding him the Conservative base is his constituency; not the PUMAS and MSM.
20
posted on
10/28/2008 4:58:56 PM PDT
by
edpc
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