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2.8% = ALL TIED UP. 6 days to go. It's about to get really fun kids, so stay tuned!
Self Published Opinion on IBD/TIPP Poll Implications ^ | Oct. 28, 2008 | Rob Cunningham

Posted on 10/28/2008 10:09:21 AM PDT by RobaWho

After seesawing between 3.2 and 3.9 points over the weekend, Obama's lead slipped to 2.8 Monday. Battleground also has Obama up 3, and other polls have tightened, including Rasmussen, Zogby and Gallup to 5. Some polls show swings in independents, but IBD/TIPP has them in a stable, 5-point range.

(Excerpt) Read more at ibdeditorials.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; History; Politics; Society
KEYWORDS: election; ibdtipp; mccain; polls
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The most accurate Presidential polling company in America in 2004 has the 2008 race at just 2.8%, within their margin of error of 3.5%. 8.8% of voters still undecided. McCain is well within the margin of error.

Catholic voters have correctly voted for the eventual U.S. Presidential winner in every election and currently the Catholic vote is evenly split at 44% to 44%, with approx. 13% undecided.

Consider that Obama will have raised a staggering $850 million in campaign cash and conservatively holds a 5 to 1 advantage (documented) in favorable (biased) press coverage, easily worth an additional $850 million in free "publicity".

Overall, the Obama campaign holds a 10 to 1 Cash+Media advantage over the McCain campaign......and this race is essentially tied.

Maybe it's true what they say: Let's hope the White House isn't up for sale. You know that if the McCain campaign had raised $850 million to Obama's $67 million in public financing (which is the total amount McCain has actually received), the main stream press would be screaming about Republicans buying the election and corrupting the political process, blah, blah, blah.

Don't beleive the main stream media polls. If Obama believed the polls that show him ahead by 11% in the state of Pennsylvania, a state that has never voted for a Republican president, why is he furiously campaigning across the state with only 6 days remaining in this race. Shouldn't he be in Florida or North Carolina or Indiana or Ohio, the "really close" battleground states? Maybe Obama himself knows the main stream media polls don't actually reflect reality?

Adding intrique to this proven, respected poll are these three key elements: 1) A main stream media "voter backlash" (Media Effect) over the perception of unfair media bias towards McCain & the first ever female Vice Presidential candidate, 2) The "Bradley Effect" that occurs when white voters lie to pollsters about their true voting preference for fear of being labled a "racist" for not supporting the minority candidate, and 3) the historical fact that undecided voters normally favor the more proven, experienced, "traditional", "mainstream", "center-right", candidate over lesser known, less experienced, more liberal

2.8% = ALL TIED UP. 6 days to go. Might it already be over for The Chosen One?

1 posted on 10/28/2008 10:09:22 AM PDT by RobaWho
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To: RobaWho

Yesterdays poll.


2 posted on 10/28/2008 10:11:14 AM PDT by icwhatudo (PALIN VID=========>>>>>http://www.overstream.net/view.php?oid=n1ronxelmtin<++++++++)
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To: RobaWho
If Obama believed the polls that show him ahead by 11% in the state of Pennsylvania, a state that has never voted for a Republican president

PA voted for Reagan in 1980, 1984 and G H.W. Bush in 1988.
3 posted on 10/28/2008 10:13:38 AM PDT by Signalman
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To: icwhatudo

And your point is? Are you suggesting that polling is “pure science”, and Monday polls have less credibility than Tuesday polls? I didn’t get the memo.


4 posted on 10/28/2008 10:13:44 AM PDT by RobaWho
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To: Bobkk47

Thanks so much for the clarification - sorry about that!


5 posted on 10/28/2008 10:15:11 AM PDT by RobaWho
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To: RobaWho

“And your point is?”

I am not sure. I keep seeing people like him say stuff like that. Yet polls are generally a day old. Maybe a troll? Don’t know.


6 posted on 10/28/2008 10:17:08 AM PDT by dotnetfellow
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To: RobaWho

My point is...its yesterdays poll. Nothing more, nothing less.


7 posted on 10/28/2008 10:17:51 AM PDT by icwhatudo (PALIN VID=========>>>>>http://www.overstream.net/view.php?oid=n1ronxelmtin<++++++++)
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To: icwhatudo

“My point is...its yesterdays poll.”

It is the latest poll that IBD TIPP has, so until they release another poll, it is today’s news.


8 posted on 10/28/2008 10:20:13 AM PDT by dotnetfellow
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To: dotnetfellow

Thank you for the assist!


9 posted on 10/28/2008 10:21:57 AM PDT by RobaWho
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To: dotnetfellow

Thank you for the assist!


10 posted on 10/28/2008 10:22:06 AM PDT by RobaWho
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To: dotnetfellow

More evidence to support my thesis!

PRINCETON, NJ — The gap between Barack Obama and John McCain in Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Saturday through Monday has narrowed slightly, and Obama is now at 49% of the vote to 47% for McCain among likely voters using Gallup’s traditional model.......


11 posted on 10/28/2008 10:25:53 AM PDT by RobaWho
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To: RobaWho
Robawho, since Oct 21, 2008

*snif*snif* do I smell ozone...

12 posted on 10/28/2008 10:27:03 AM PDT by pabianice (Inexplicable and infuriating.)
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To: dotnetfellow

According to their pollster (appearing on FNC earlier), it’s up to 4% today.


13 posted on 10/28/2008 10:35:06 AM PDT by pookie18 (Palin-Jindal '12)
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To: RobaWho

What do you think he’s going to say in his 1/2 hour informercial? It seems to me he can only screw things up..why, if he were so convinced he’s going to win? Do this now? Also, does he really think most Americans want o hear from any more platitudes from either of these guys. We’ve been hearing it for over two years. It’s totally perplexing to me. Or does he have so much money, he just wants to spend it?


14 posted on 10/28/2008 11:27:19 AM PDT by Hildy
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To: RobaWho

I can’t fathom that the Catholic vote is evenly split. Obama is the antithesis of some of the most fundamental Catholic tenets, most of all abortion. It’s obviously is not a poll of practicing Catholics, at least I hope so.


15 posted on 10/28/2008 11:40:54 AM PDT by Dionysius (Jingoism is no vice.)
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To: pookie18

“According to their pollster (appearing on FNC earlier), it’s up to 4% today.”

I don’t watch it on television. I go to front page their website:

http://www.tipponline.com/


16 posted on 10/28/2008 12:36:49 PM PDT by dotnetfellow
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To: dotnetfellow

Yes, it’s 4% on your site...so I gave you the preview earlier...


17 posted on 10/28/2008 1:32:08 PM PDT by pookie18 (Palin-Jindal '12)
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To: RobaWho

bmflr


18 posted on 10/28/2008 2:05:10 PM PDT by Kevmo (I love that sound and please let that baby keep on crying. ~Sarah Palin)
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To: pookie18

“Yes, it’s 4% on your site...so I gave you the preview earlier...”

Yes it is now but wasn’t earlier (when this thread was started). I checked it first.


19 posted on 10/28/2008 3:39:33 PM PDT by dotnetfellow
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To: dotnetfellow

I know that...was just giving you a heads up...unless you don’t trust what their pollster said on TV...


20 posted on 10/28/2008 4:03:32 PM PDT by pookie18 (Palin-Jindal '12)
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