Posted on 07/22/2005 4:46:53 AM PDT by Nicholas Conradin
In a recent TCS essay ("Darwin and Design: The Evolution of a Flawed Debate") I attacked what I regarded as the excesses of both sides of the evolution-creationism debate. There were angry responses in the mail and the blogosphere from both the creationist and the evolution sides, which pleased me, since there were clearly oxen on both sides that felt they had been gored, and caps in my piece that were felt to have, uncomfortably, fit. The angry evolutionists were especially interesting, as they often wound up admitting implicitly that their real agenda was atheism -- while denying that there was any social policy message in that agenda.
In the essay I did state flatly that the theory of evolution had been proved. I wanted it to be clear where I stood. Much of the mail I received protested about that statement. I hold to it, and hold to it not as my own opinion, but as a fact, like the existence of Australia, which is not my opinion but a fact. But I do know that there are many who sincerely, and given their range of knowledge, rationally, do not believe in the theory of evolution.
By the theory of evolution I mean the origination of new species from common ancestral forms by an iterated process of genetic mutation, natural selection, and hereditary transmission, whereby the frequencies of newly altered, repeated, and old genes and introns in a given lineage can cross ecological, structural, and behavioral thresholds that radically separate one species from another. In one sense, this can be summed up in a syllogism, which must be true if we make the basic and essential act of faith that logic itself is true: survivors survive. Given enough time, variation among the genes of individuals, variations in habitat in space and time, the process by which genes translate into proteins, tissues, and organs, and the thresholds that define biological species, all of which can be observationally verified, the principle of the "survivors survive" syllogism must bring about a huge branching of different kinds of life.
The above summary statement of the theory will not convince opponents, who will be able to pick philosophical holes in it (which holes have been sewn up by countless scientists and philosophers in the last 150 years). But what opponents of evolution do not perhaps realize is what they are up against in terms of sheer human and civilizational achievement based on the evolutionary paradigm. This is not a proof of evolution, any more than the four-thousand year history of the survival of the Jewish people is a proof of Judaism or the worldwide congregation of Christianity is a proof of that religion; but it is an indication of the kind of scholarship that would be needed to refute it.
There are at least 50 major journals in the academic field of biology. All accept without question the theory of evolution as I outlined it above. They are not attempting even to prove the theory, any more than math journals attempt to prove that the sum of the internal angles of a plane triangle is 180 degrees, or engineering journals revisit the existence of gravity. But they would be nonsense without the theory of evolution, just as engineering would be nonsense without gravity. Each of those journals is published about four times a year; several of them have been in existence for over a hundred years. Each journal contains at least ten articles of about 2-20 pages, and each of those articles represents several months' or years' work by a team of trained biologists whose most compelling material and moral interest would be to disprove the work of all their predecessors and to make an immortal name by doing so. The work of the biological teams is required to be backed up by exhaustive experiment and observation, together with exact statistical analysis of the results. There is a continuous process of search through all these articles by trained reviewers looking for discrepancies among them and demanding new experimental work to resolve them. Since every one of these articles relies on the consistency and truth of the theory of evolution, every one of them adds implicitly to the veracity of the theory. By my calculation, then, opponents of evolution must find a way of matching and disproving, experiment by experiment, observation by observation, and calculation by calculation, at least two million pages of closely reasoned scientific text, representing roughly two million man-years of expert research and perhaps trillions of dollars of training, salaries, equipment, and infrastructure.
But the task of the opponent does not end here. For biology is not the only field for which the theory of evolution is an essential foundation. Geology, physical anthropology, agricultural science, environmental science, much of chemistry, some areas of physics (e.g. protein folding) and even disciplines such as climatology and oceanography (which rely on the evolutionary history of the planet in its calculations about the composition of the atmosphere and oceans), are at least partially founded on evolution. Most important of all for our immediate welfare, medicine is almost impossible as a research discipline without evolutionary theory. So perhaps the opponent must also throw in another 4 million pages, four million man-years, and ten trillion dollars -- and be prepared to swallow the billions of human deaths that might follow the abandonment of the foundations of medical, mining, environmental, agricultural, and climatological knowledge.
If what is at stake is a proposition in the theology of biblical interpretation that is not shared by a large minority or possibly a majority of Christians and Jews, perhaps it might be more prudent to check the accuracy of the theology, which, after all, is a human creation even if scripture itself is conceded to be divinely inspired. Might not God's intentions be revealed better in the actual history and process of nature, his creative expression, than in the discrepancies we might hope to find in its self-consistency and coherent development?
Too shallow...perhaps it'd be better to say as "necessarily both necessary and sufficient" for proof.
No, I stated my reasoning. The above would be another discusion.
However I will give that creationests attempt to use science to disprove science.
If you have a flawed theory of how to build an airplane, and you insist on the theory, the airplane will correct it by crashing to the ground."
I would ask how many airplanes were built on faith?
Nope, just trying to get to the other side of the road.
and
and
and
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I'm still looking for an mpeg of the movie of the guy with the tail strapped to his back attempting to "flap" wooden wings and get off the ground. (He didn't make it).
Too shallow...perhaps it'd be better to say as "necessarily both necessary and sufficient" for proof.
No, I stated my reasoning. The above would be another discusion.
Leave it for now; I interpreted your remarks as saying that *most* or *all* religious people of a certain bent reject experimental evidence; in my experience it is not that they always reject experiment on principle, but that they do not consider experimental evidence to be *absolutely* and *always* the last word...they reserve the right of skepticism towards scientific findings.
Sometimes it is due to the suspicion a given experiment was flawed, or was executed poorly, or they have philosophical reservations.
You can find similar attitudes towards mainstream *medicine* by those who advocate non-traditional, or holistic, or nutritional treatment of diseases. It is not exclusively religious in origin.
I would ask how many airplanes were built on faith?
That wasn't my point--my point is that I was able to quote a well known anti-evolutionary author who nonetheless endorsed empiricism and logical thought. It was a counterexample to the claim you had made in an earlier post.
If you wish to say "many such people" reject empiricism, or even "most anti-evo people on the crevo threads" I'd agree.
Cheers!
The left or right? Or are you a middle-of-the roader?
This information attack againt evolution is pretty silly. You need to read up on Caltech's Digital Life Lab where they demonstrate that the process of evolution can indeed collect new information.
The theory of evolution, like the theory of capitalisim, applies in many different environments. Including Caltech's Avida environment where information is generated by controlling the survival of digital life exactly the way that natural selection controls the evolution natural life.
I'm sure you will dispute me because the icons of ID have said otherwise. But you'd be wrong.
missed my invisible sarcasm tags huh? :D
I gotta get a program. Can't tell the players without a program.
because of the ID/Evolution debate.
A bit of an overstatement. It depends on how much you *expect* supernatural forces to interact with your system, or the experiment, vs. how much they actually DO interfere in practice.
And finding out how much they DO interfere is just the problem!
One of the essential difficulties is some of the philisophical underpinnings of secular theory--
the ever-popular "uniformity of causes in a closed system" assumption.
God and/or the supernatural introduce two problems into the framework:
1) With the supernatural, there is no longer a closed system
2) With God, there is no "uniformity of causes" and so the tests which work so well via Occam's razor to simplify models doesn't work.
But since Occam's razor in general works so well within the material world, it is tempting to throw out all accounts of God and/or the miraculous as though they are merely manifestations of regular, material phenomena...and all attempts by religious devotees to correct this impression come off as mere "special pleading". Hence accounts of God actually acting in a discernible way within the universe are dismissed in two ways:
1) explained away (regular phenomena are due to "laws of nature"--so God is a superfluous construct best pared away)
OR
2) denied by ECREE (irregular phenomena, a.k.a. "miracles", don't happen, due to the "laws of nature") --they are fallacious, rumors, myths, or chicanery
In other words, materialism insists on explaining/judging EVERYTHING by naturalistic means alone. When God comes up, materialism tries to measure or account for God by materialistic means alone; and, not surprisingly, fails. It then uses the failure as proof that God doesn't exist, never suspecting that the failure in this case is due to an incongruence between its means and its object. And the problem is that materialism alone does such a good job within the material world, or those parts of it God usually leaves alone, that it is easy to assume God is not out there at all.
Much as any other approximation, e.g. reduction of relativistic mechanics to Newtonian at the speeds of ordinary automobiles, the accuracy of your model depends upon how pronounced the effect is that you are neglecting at the moment...
Even though drivers claim "their life flashed before there eyes" this is not necessarily the same thing as time slowing down as velocity --> c. :-)
Actually, Universal Common Ancestry is predicated on certain ideas about abiogenesis. There is no fossil link between Cambrian and pre-Cambrian species. To say that they all share a common ancestor is not based on physical evidence, but instead upon the assumptions that abiogenesis happened at one point in time to make a certain kind of organism.
If you didn't have a certain assumption of abiogenesis, there would be no reason to assume the common ancestry of the Cambrian phyla (or many other phyla for that matter).
So yes, the theory of evolution is heavily tied into abiogenesis, even if it tries to deny it.
"Evolutionists *have* "checked the accuracy of their belief" in a mind-boggling number of independent methods, countless times over the past 100+ years. It has passed these tests with flying colors, and has survived all potential tests of falsification."
This is untrue. However, when it doesn't pass, it is simply classified as "an unsolved problem in theoretical biology" or similar language.
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