Posted on 10/26/2004 5:14:43 PM PDT by MrConfettiMan
It's time to discuss what every political pundit and newsperson around the country knows is going to happen on Election Day, or at least after the Electoral College meets, but refuses to discuss in public. John Kerry is going to lose the presidential election and it won't be nearly as close electorally as it was when Al Gore lost back in 2000. Why? Hillary. (Like Evita, Imelda, Monica, and other infamous First Ladies, you don’t need to use her last name.) To be candid, it’s my opinion that Hillary can’t and won’t risk Kerry winning this presidential election cycle as she must have a clear field to pave the way for her to be the Democratic Party nominee in 2008 or she'll miss her only viable window of opportunity.
Kerry Must Lose
For the sake of discussion, let us assume Kerry wins next month. By definition, he then becomes the Democratic Party nominee for president in 2008. Yes, there have been situations in the past where the incumbent has declined to run for reelection--see Lyndon Johnson--but I seriously doubt in today’s society that Kerry and his handlers would let a situation get so uncontrollable he would have no recourse but to announce his decision to not run for reelection. (Then again, Bill and Hill never did return those 900+ stolen FBI files.) Given this scenario, Hillary would not want to challenge an incumbent president in her own party for the nomination in 2008. After all, she must always give the appearance of a smiling team player even though she’s anything but. Thus, a Kerry win next month would mean Hillary would have to wait until 2012. (By the way, Hillary will be sixty-five years old on Election Day, 2012.) No, it’s got to be, and will be, 2008.
One Term Senator
Furthermore, I predict Hillary will not run to keep her Senate seat for the good state of New York when her term is up in 2006. While no one can know for sure who the Republican opponent will be, my guess is it will either be Governor George Pataki or former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani. I think she’s guessing the same thing and she knows in a head-to-head contest with either of these real New Yorkers there is no way Carpetbag Clinton--damn, I used her last name--can win. However, this is only part of the reason why I believe Hillary won’t be running for reelection to the Senate in 2006. Not only would a loss to Governor Pataki or Mayor Giuliani be devastating on the resume of a first term Junior Senator but remember that Hillary knows Kerry will lose on Election Day, 2004, and therefore she will have a clear shot at the Democratic Party nomination in 2008. In early 2006, Hillary will announce her decision to not run for reelection to the people of New York telling them instead she’ll be touring the country for the next year on a some fact finding mission for the children, which is Hillary-speak for starting a presidential exploratory committee. Then in 2007, she’ll announce to a fawning press that she’ll be seeking the Democratic Party nomination for president in 2008.
Kerry’s Trojan Horse
How does Hillary know Kerry will lose on Election Day? Have you seen Kerry’s inner circle lately? It looks like the White House during the Monica Mess (no pun intended). Is Kerry really so naïve as to believe Bill and Hill’s closest advisors are actually working to help him get elected? If I was inclined to give Kerry the benefit of the doubt, I would bring up the famous quote by Al Pacino’s Michael Corleone character in Godfather II, “[My father] taught me: keep your friends close, but your enemies closer." However, I think Kerry’s made a tragic mistake in bringing in these advisors. I think Paul Begala, James Carville, Joe Lockhart may turn out to be his Trojan Horse. They are no doubt paying lip service to Kerry while secretly taking orders from Hillary, through a buffer, of course. Hillary must always have a buffer. Her family has a lot of buffers.
60 Minutes Redux
If Kerry should begin to surge in the polls by the end of the week, I expect some explosive piece of dirt about him (most likely about his four month war record, did you know he was in Vietnam) to be leaked via the Vast Left-Wing Cover-Up--that's 60 Minutes and company for those who haven't been paying attention lately. The release of this dirt will be made to look like it came from the Bush Camp (for example, Karl Rove by way of Dick Cheney and Halliburton...). Think it's too far-fetched a scenario? Think the tin-foil hat is pulled down too tight over my ears. Remember, those FBI files. Hillary must have an open field in 2008.
Electronic Voting
It was mentioned earlier that the electoral vote wouldn’t be close but nothing was said about the popular vote. Unfortunately, I think the popular vote still might be close and once again there is a reason behind this madness. Since liberals recognize the tough time they would have in amending the U.S. Constitution to eliminate the Electoral College, they decided to start with a different approach back on Election Day 2000. Ever since, they have been using incremental steps to begin federalizing the presidential election process. The fiasco they created in Florida in 2000 has forced this year’s election to be performed electronically nationwide for the first time. (Yes, Al Gore created the 2000 Presidential Election fiasco. Liberals like to conveniently forget he initially called George Bush and conceded the election. Shortly thereafter, he called again and recanted. I wonder whom he spoke to in the interim.) As a result of electronic voting, there will not be a paper trail. No viable way to do a recount. Is it legal for me to take a camera into the voting booth so I create my own paper trail of the selection on my screen(s) before I click Vote?
Winning By Decree
The only remaining question left to answer this year, a year with some districts reporting over 100% of their voters registered, is how the legal system will be used to decide the outcome. I hope if it’s clear to either side that the other has won they will make the decent and honorable decision and concede the election. I believe Bush will do so, but I’m not so sure about Kerry. After all, Al Gore set the precedent for the Democrats. Even if Kerry were to concede, I suspect there will be some districts where the vote will be very close and there is no doubt in my mind there are small groups in these hot-spots greasing up their lawyers to file lawsuits. I’m confident the legal briefs have already been written, probably on both sides. Should Kerry win, then the briefs will find their way into a shredder. On the other hand, the moment these groups hear of anything less than a win by Kerry the lawsuit gets filed, which is exactly how Hillary wants it. The muddier the process gets, the more cumbersome the election laws become in 2008 when Hillary will be running.
Smartest. Woman. Ever.
Reread the above heading using the voice of Comic Book Guy from The Simpsons and add a hint of sarcasm. If you’ve never seen The Simpsons, your loss. The media gave Hillary the title “Smartest Woman in the World”, yet she "misplaced" her college thesis, flunked the DC bar exam back in 1973 and she chaired the Task Force on National Health Care Reform back in 1993, which was considered by most across this country to be a total failure. She rode the coattails of her husband from the Arkansas Governor’s Mansion into the White House and from the White House into the U.S. Senate. Though she is only a Junior Senator, many consider her one of the most powerful people in Washington, DC. I wonder why? Must be those damn FBI files, again.
By the way, “Who hired Craig Livingstone?” Hillary? No, the buffer. Haven't you been paying attention?
MrConfettiMan is the Free Republic screen name of Joe Vitale.
Joe Vitale is one of the founding members of the DC Chapter of Free Republic.
© Copyright 2004, Joe Vitale
This article may not be reproduced in whole or part without the expressed written consent of the author.
Thank you (for your kind comment re: the women in my life).
LOL
>>Good article, but using "hillary" and "brief(s)" in the title clouds my perception with a foul odor.
*chuckle*
Sorry, I never considered a different connotation of the word brief. The title was meant to be a clever reference to The Pelican Brief by John Grisham. I was originally going to call it The Ostrich Brief, as in "one who tries to avoid disagreeable situations by refusing to face them" but The Hillary Brief just sounded better.
What If Skerry won and appointed shrillary to the SCOTUS?
Rush mentioned this Skerry Halloween thought today.
With Specter chairing the committee, and the kind of reception that senators give other senators (except of course for Ashcroft,) I am certain that she would get a vote of the whole senate. In a close senate like this one (51-49) you can count all the Rinos (Specter, Snowe, Collins, the Rino from R. I. that I can never remember his name, McCain, Hagel, Graham, etc. and who knows who else on the Republican side that owes her or is afraid of her) to vote with the Democrats and she is at least a shoo in by 55-60 votes. I don't think there is any way she would not be approved whether Republicans or Democrats are in charge.
>>If Kerry is elected, he'll replace McAuliffe...
Yup. The replacing of McAuliffe by Kerry if he wins is originally what led me to realize the Kerry nomination doesn't pass the smell test. This is SOP whenever an incumbent president is replaced. By default, the new president becomes the acting head of his party and soon thereafter replaces the his party's leadership chairman with his own guy. The very fact that the media isn't talking about this (in the hypothetical, of course) is strange to me. McAuliffe and Kerry do not like each other. If he were to win, Kerry would replace McAuliffe in a heartbeat. Hill and Bill do not want this to happen.
Expect a lie, a slanderous lie. One that can easily be disputed, with a few days honest work.
Kerry his advisors won't have the few days, nor the honest work.
The lie will start to stink, a week later, a week too late.
Then Hitlary gets to blame the VRWC for that lie and the dirty politics and stealing another election.
This will serve as another gallon of lighter fluid, to ignite her base in four years, and another smoke bomb, to cover up their vastly dirtier politics.
"I don't think there is any way she would not be approved whether Republicans or Democrats are in charge."
Gee, thanks. I'll sleep well tonight! :(
http://www.freedominion.ca/phpBB2/viewforum.php?f=14
Guest Room for Freepers
Called "our sister site in Canada," FD uses a similar format- you can enable html in the replies- so all the stuff you use here like saved links, can be used.
Our own conniew and EntropySquared run the site- they're good folks.
That's a good reminder, backhoe.
Bump!
Thank you backhoe for that fyi.
See #54...
Bump!
Smiling....
Hi, Jeff. Interested in hearing your thoughts on this piece I wrote over the weekend. Hope all is well with you and your family.
One particularly gruesome scenario is if Bill realizes his goal and becomes the Secretary General of the UN.
Either way, I believe Hillery will also lose in 2008.
Having said that, I believe that Kerry will lose on November 2nd in any case as well.
Thanks for the heads-up on the backup site!
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.