Posted on 12/24/2002 4:37:41 AM PST by Chairman_December_19th_Society
We will not tire, we will not falter, and we will not fail!
Good morning!! Do not let the victims of the attacks on New York and Washington, nor the brave members of our Nation's military who have given their lives to protect our freedom, die in vain!!
WINTER STORM #4 - UPDATE
Discussion--
Low pressure center is currently centered over extreme NE MS, near AL border, about 50 miles south of common border with TN. Movement is toward the NE.
Second LP center will develop off C. Lookout, NC, this afternoon, and strengthen rapidly. Conditions are favorable for this system to bomb out as there is a confluence of the southern and polar jets about 200 miles off Sandy Hook; however, warm air parked over too much of the eastern seaboard may mitigate this effect.
Nevertheless, much moisture is available to the system. QPF figures of 1.5 inches are showing up in extreme SW ME, extreme SE NH, the eastern half of MA, all of RI, and all but the NW corner of CT. In addition, a 1.5" QPF figure is also forecast for the southern Catskills of NY. Assuming melt ratio of 10:1 to 15:1 for this system. This means there are locations in the storm track that may see in excess of 20" of snow. Prepare accordingly.
Areas that have QPF figures of 1.0 inches that are north of the 850mb 0C line include NE PA, NY east of the Finger Lakes and south of the Adirondack shield, the southern halves of VT and NH, and SW ME (excepting those areas previously mentioned as bounded by a QPF isohyet of 1.5"). These areas may expect, on average, between 10 and 15" of snow.
The 850mb 0C line (the "rain/snow line") has been repositioned a little further to the north - Rockland and Westchester counties in NY will not see much snow.
Winter storm watches are in effect for virtually all of PA, NY, and New England, except the extreme north of ME. Winter storm watches are also in effect in NW NJ and eastern OH.
This system has the potential of becoming a dangerous winter storm, appropriation preparations should be made.
Forecast-December 24--
Rain moving into the Carolinas and Virginia (later). In Virginia, this precipitation may also be snow or sleet in higher elevations.
Forecast-December 25--
Rain changing to snow in northern Virginia as the system pulls out by early afternoon. Rain likely coastal areas DE/NJ, snow elsewhere in NJ as day moves on. Coastal areas of NY likely to see sleet or rain/snow mix. Interior areas of PA/NY and all of NE likely to see heavy snow Wednesday, tapering off in the small hours of Thursday. Accumulations well beyond 12" are possible - 20" are not out of the picture. Southern Catskills, and large portions of New England should prepare for the possibility of total storm drops exceeding two feet.
Advise monitoring local news and NOAA Weather Radio for updates in this serious weather event.
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In the news:
Secretary Rumsfeld warned North Korea yesterday that America has the forces to fight and win wars in two theaters at once.
United States experts still fear "catostrophic" attacks by Al Qa'eda, saying the groups ingenuity level is as high as ever.
For AMERICA - The Right Way, I remain yours in the Cause, the Chairman.
Least we never forget.
A heartily salute to you, my friend!
God Bless you, and the missus.
Merry Christmas!
Have safe traveling... and
MERRY CHRISTMAS!
Merry Christmas good friends......God Bless.
Grateful I am to all of you.......what interestesting lives we are privileged to have, by God's grace.
Grateful I am to srong men like George Bush, Dick Cheney and....of course, Don Rumsfeld!!!
Grateful I am to my dear family....and thankful I am that young Texas son is home for a visit.
And most grateful I am to our Lord & Savior, Jesus Christ.
God bless you all.
I'm away shortly to spend the eve with sisters-in-law and assorted liberal relatives...(every single one of them :)
But they have come to respect our faith....and now ask their baby brother (hubbybear) to always say grace before our dinner.
Then we spend literally hours and hours unwrapping gifts, because my brother-in-law only allows one gift at a time to be opened....(sigh...you'd think I would be use to this, but I AM getting older.....:)
Anyway, Happy Merry Christmas to all.....
Tomorrow, my parents come over for Christmas dinner.....
...Thursday, I finally get to see The Two Towers!!--YAY.....
MERRY CHRISTMAS EVERYBODY!!
Just got in...was it ever busy...
They say it is supposed to rain, but it is 37 degrees and dropping.
I'm still digesting the early afternoon model data (actually it is run in the late morning, but not available until a little while ago).
Storm center is supposed to be closer to coast, which will increase banding potential due to interaction with Gulf Stream.
Will also increase the "conveyor belt" around the north and west sides of the low.
Yes, it is possible you might see a changeover late and see 1-3" of global warming deposition.
Yes - we have WHITE "rain." Ugh!
Go Eagles!!!!!
The Eagles are the top seed based on a better NFC record than the Packers.
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