GOP holds edge in Senate swing-state races: New York Times polls

The Hill ^ | 7/01/26 | Julia Mueller

[Libloather]

Democrats are competitive in six key Senate battlegrounds, but Republicans still hold the edge in the fight for the upper chamber, according to new polling from The New York Times and Siena.

The New York Times/Siena Polls found Democrats leading the Senate races in North Carolina, where Democrat Roy Cooper is battling Republican Michael Whatley to replace retiring Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.), and in Maine, where progressive Graham Platner hopes to oust Sen. Susan Collins (R).

Cooper boasts the biggest lead among the six battlegrounds surveyed, with 50 percent to Whatley’s 43 percent. Platner, at 49 percent, was up 2 points over Collins.

Democrat James Talarico and state Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) are tied at 47 percent each in Texas, where Democrats are relishing the fact that the controversial prosecutor got the GOP nod over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn (R).

Democrats were competitive in three more states, but trailed Republicans by slim margins.

In Iowa, Democratic state Rep. Josh Turek is 2 points behind President Trump-backed Rep. Ashley Hinson (R) for retiring Sen. Joni Ernst’s (R) seat, with 46 percent and 48 percent, respectively.

---

TOPICS: Business/Economy; History; Local News; Society
KEYWORDS: polls; senate; state; swing

[Libloather]

The Maine nazi leads? First I've heard of it.

[july4thfreedomfoundation]

There was another poll in Maine that had Collins up 3 points.

Six years ago, Collins was behind 9 or 10 points at this point in time. She won by 9 or 10 points in November 2020.

[thegagline]

The Maine nazi leads? First I've heard of it.

[CaptainK]

The Times/Siena poll always tilts like the Leading Tower Pisa for the Dems.

Their final 2024 poll had Harris winning 5 of the 7 swing states.

[enumerated]

So, assuming there’s no cheating… /S

[11th_VA]

What about Ohio ?

[Republican Wildcat]

Democrat James Talarico and state Attorney General Ken Paxton (R) are tied at 47 percent each in Texas, where Democrats are relishing the fact that the controversial prosecutor got the GOP nod

Okay - it may be accurate to say Ken Paxton is 'controversial'. However, how, exactly, is Talarico not radically more controversial? Someone who says there are "Six biological sexes" and attends a church that has pornographic materials in its library and is proud to have them isn't "controversial"?

I know it was cliche long ago to point this out, but it is still extraordinary how biased and dishonest the press is.

[Republican Wildcat]

The problem is not that the poll has Collins at 47% and that voters are lukewarm to giving her another term. Platner being at 49% and not being at 10% with everything that has been revealed about him is what is extraordinary - has the press done that good of a job of spinning him into the “flawed everyman” that he could have that much support, or are voters really that nuts up in Maine?

[Emcane]

Funny how this article left out Georgia, Michigan and New Hampshire that have competitive races in which the Dems may loose. Shocking I know

[Jim Noble]

GOP holds edge in Senate swing-state races: New York Times polls

They have four months to f*** it up.

[Jim Noble]

has the press done that good of a job of spinning him into the “flawed everyman” that he could have that much support, or are voters really that nuts up in Maine?

False dichotomy.

I live 13 miles from the Maine border, and Platner is as good of a lock as you can find.

In NH, Sununu could flip the seat because our Mayor Pete wannabe congressman (who is the Democrat nominee) isn't a good campaigner - but the "no RINOs" caucus may be enough to beat Sununu in November.

[Jim Noble]

So, assuming there’s no cheating… /S

NH and Maine both have photo ID and two-party vote counting.

[Jim Noble]

Why Platner will win:

1) He doesn't look like a corpse

2) He's a real man

3) The phony "Nazi" and "woman hater" shit is an example of the right trying to use leftist talking points in an unironic way, which always fails.

[enumerated]

Good to know!

[IndyTiger]

In Ohio, their poll is showing Husted (R) at 50 percent, Brown (D) 47 percent.

[enumerated]

So they don’t accept mailed-in ballots?
And the two party counting includes verifying signatures?

[KC_Conspirator]

A NY TImes polls. Right. The polymarket/kalshi/etc betting markets have revised their numbers to predict the GOP will hold the majority just this week.