Posted on 04/02/2026 5:51:04 AM PDT by Miami Rebel
Oil surged 10% Thursday as U.S. President Donald Trump warned of further military aggression against Iran in the next two to three weeks, dampening hopes for an imminent de-escalation in the conflict.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures for May were up 10% at $110.21 a barrel as of 8:13 a.m. ET. June futures for international benchmark Brent crude rose 8% to $109.25 per barrel.
Trump in his speech attributed the increase in oil prices to the “Iranian regime launching deranged terror attacks against commercial oil tankers and neighboring countries that have nothing to do with the conflict.”
He said the U.S. will “hit” Iran “extremely hard” over the next two to three weeks during a national address on Wednesday, while adding that the war won’t last long and discussions with Tehran “are ongoing,” leaving a diplomatic resolution on the table.
“We are going to finish the job, and we’re going to finish it very fast,” he said.
George Efstathopoulos, portfolio manager at Fidelity International, told CNBC’s “Squawk Box Asia” that markets had braced for a “binary outcome,” expecting the president to either signal his plans for a war exit or further escalation and prolonged uncertainty — “clearly we seem to be on the latter path right now.”
Efstathopoulos expects the speech to further fuel the risk-off sentiment as investors wait for uncertainty to subside.
Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, which used to see a fifth of the world’s oil and gas flows through, has effectively ground to a halt since the U.S.-Israel war against Iran began on Feb. 28, sending energy prices soaring in one of the world’s most devastating energy crises.
Oil tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz was unlikely to resume anytime soon, said Giles Alston, political risk analyst at Oxford Analytica.
“It’s becoming increasingly clear that the U.S. position on what you do to get your oil out of and through the Straits of Hormuz is now something which Washington has largely washed its hands off. This is now something for those who take oil through the Strait to sort out for themselves,” he said on CNBC on Thursday.
Earlier on Wednesday, Trump said in a post on Truth Social that Iran had asked for a ceasefire, briefly raising hopes for more oil tanker movement through the waterway, sending oil prices lower.
Iran’s “New Regime President” has asked the U.S. for a ceasefire, a request that will only be considered if the Strait of Hormuz is “open, free, and clear,” Trump said. “Until then, we are blasting Iran into oblivion or, as they say, back to the Stone Ages!!!”
The Islamic Republic, however, has denied Trump’s claim, saying that the waterway won’t be reopened based on the U.S. leader’s “absurd displays” and that the key transit route remains “decisively and dominantly under the control of the IRGC Navy.”
The two sides have frequently contradicted each other’s claims about the existence and status of peace-deal talks since the war started. Trump has also sent conflicting signals, reportedly saying negotiations were close to producing a peace deal, but the U.S. was also prepared to escalate fighting by sending thousands of troops to the region.
Brent oil dipped below $100 per barrel for the first time in a week after Trump said Tuesday evening that he expected the U.S. military to wind down operations against Iran in “two or three weeks” and appeared to be declaring victory even without a negotiated deal with Iran. “We’ll be leaving very soon,” he said.
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How can this be? Trump said all is well and prices are going down....
Phony American slobs will be hitting Sam’s Club and Costco again to stock up on toilet paper, paper towels and Clorox. Let the panic begin!!!
The President’s speech last night added nothing new. That’s why I think markets were disappoinred.
…disappointed.
Stop hating - you’re confusing the brain dead Redhats who were all swooning over Trump’s speech last night.
It’s 5D chess... it’s just looks like a Charlie Foxtrot. Trust “the plan.”
And STILL not as high as they were under Biden, even after his 22% Bidenflation, AND a Middle East war.
Every time you open your mouth you confirm it
Another typical cnbc headline.
Markets go up and gone
I didn’t like it when the President said we have NO inflation.
It could have been an email....or another Truth Social rant.
Oil prices are trending up steadily since his speech.
In point of fact, the last two days were packed with glowing headlines, as Tuesday/Wednesday clawed back a hefty chunk of gains.
Indeed, the banner after the Tuesday close was “Best day in nearly a year”...
Alas, buy on the rumor, sell on the news... it’s an equal opportunity cliche.
The wise, longterm investor doesn’t change much in such daily churns but that doesn’t mean one has to like it.
If nothing else, the shortened week (markets closed on Good Friday) should probably mean we break a 5-week losing streak of loses. Not certain, but today would have to turn panic bad to erase Tuesday/Wednesday... I must now excuse myself to knock on all the wood I can find.
So full of hate. So Un- American. And stuff your rain man crap up your ass.
It's trading right now at nearly 113 right now
Okay, you see “brain dead Redhats”.
I see whinning spoiled brats, complaining about the temporary elevated price of oil, while the grown-ups are out cleaning up a 47 year-old f**king mess that was the terrorist regime in Iran that has slaughtered American citizens for 47 years.
Knock off the disgusting comments.
He called me retested multiple times , so no. Mingle your own business.
He didn’t post anything to you in this thread.
He has before. Like I said, mind your own business.
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