Every look at the summaries for all these hurricanes. It was amusing...for example...highest winds Cat 4 - lasted 3 minutes...reduced to 2 in 16 minutes.
…even when it doesn’t.
We have to travel to the East coast next week, so I hope it leaves us alone.
THIS PROVES GLOBAL WARMING!!!
QUICK! A NEW TAX IS NEEDED
TO SAVE DA ETF!!!
THIS PROVES GLOBAL WARMING!!!
QUICK! A NEW TAX IS NEEDED
TO SAVE DA ERF!!!
(darn fat finger 🤣🤣)
Only 2 possible reasons there are hurricanes during hurricane season: global warming and a Republican president.
Lets see when the turn more north happens.
Still moving west at 16
NOAA’s outlook for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, which goes from June 1 to November 30, predicts a 30% chance of a near-normal season, a 60% chance of an above-normal season, and a 10% chance of a below-normal season.
The agency is forecasting a range of 13 to 19 total named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher). Of those, 6-10 are forecast to become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including 3-5 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher). NOAA has a 70% confidence in these ranges.
"...above normal"??? Once again they're getting it wrong. This is mid August of a season that starts in June and this is the first hurricane.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/161731.shtml?cone#contents
The recent path of the storm is unsettling, however:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/161731.shtml?swath#contents
It’s going to miss us by a lot.
The GFS models have been consistently developing a system after erin, that develops in to a cat 4.
Because the possible system is so far out, the possible path and development is uncertain, however, early paths took it into s. georgia/n.e. florida.
Current forecast have it going through the keys as a cat 1 around the 26th, then becoming a cat 4 as it moves along the gulf coast of FL, before traveling to hit the FL panhandle area on the 28th.
Again, it's pretty far out, but if they start watching something that develops around the 20th, around 15 deg. lat, that's it
This thing is found 917 so speed may increase. The big one last year was 900 rate and wind speeds were dome of the highest ever.
Air and water temperature are a hurricane's best friend.
Every day since June 21, the Northern Hemisphere has less and less sun light.
Cat 5 - the strongest hurricane - is not common. Less than one every two years.
If this new storm really is Cat 5, that would make at least two Cat 5 storms in two years.
Color me skeptical - my first instinct says something has changed about the way we measure Cat 5 storms.