Well, I’d guess he pulled those “odds” out of his butt.
Trump is waiting and watching. He can strike quickly if intel tells him it’s time to take action.
The US needs to stay out of the conflict.
The Israelis have already done most of the work.
The U-235 for at least one bomb and hundreds of centrifuges for enrichment to bomb grade have probably been hidden in places the US doesn’t know where to hit.
Trump has drawn a thick red red and is giving Iran a chance to volunteer to give up their enrichment capabilities. Make no mistake: Trump does not bluff... if he says “you’d better do ‘X’ or I will do ‘Y’”, then ‘Y’ will happen if you don’t do ‘X’.
So from the Iranian point of view, (by now) they have to KNOW they will lose their nuke program. Running out the clock is no longer an option (i.e., the clock has expired on negotiations). Their only play, then, is to ‘force’ Trump to go ahead and strike and hope that the world’s condemnation somehow shames Trump and makes for some other consequences.
My belief: Iran didn’t read the room (i.e., Trump’s resolve) well at all. Even most of their Muslim nation neighbors are ignoring them (and probably secretly hoping that Iran is dealt with, once and for all). So: Trump strikes sometime between now and Saturday... and no: this is NOT a Cotton/Graham thing — it’s a limited surgical strike. One and done.
I do not think this is necessary. Israel is taking out the mullahs and the scientists. Machines sit idle until there is person pushing a button. (unless you have the Womper) Just keep killing the people in power the machines can be decommissioned at will when Pahlavi or someone else takes over.
lots of RETIRED generals and admirals ... lots of predictions ... did i mention RETIRED? ...
A strike on Iran is the only way to defeat Maga by the deep state. It will derail the Trump agenda, just like Iraq derailed W. Bush’s agenda.
First, we were told that tariffs were necessary for America, but the bitter results at first would be worth it in the end. Same with Iran; pain and deaths at first, but everything will be beautiful in the end. Not buying it. Israel wanted us to eliminate Saddam; now they want us to eliminate the evil mullahs.
“All the forces are in place and operations like that tend to create a momentum of their own. “
Not with Trump, I don’t think He seems hyper wary of putting American lives on the line. He’s a president who’s gonna need a reason.
My dog could have predicted that.
Are there B-2 trained Israeli AF bomber pilots available?