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Lessons from the drone attack on Russia’s airbases - analysis
Jerusalem Post ^ | 6/2/2025 | SETH J. FRANTZMAN

Posted on 06/02/2025 1:11:52 PM PDT by marcusmaximus

The Ukrainian attack on the Russian airfields has been seen as a game-changer in warfare.

-snip-

Some commentators believe that the Ukrainian success lifts the curtain on what comes next in terms of threats to the West. Kyiv has shown what is possible, and now, countries like China or even terrorist groups might try to replicate this in attacks on the US military or on other countries. The fact is that this threat was already known, and Western countries have been investing heavily in new counter-UAS technologies. However, the challenge is that there are too many places to defend.

Because the counter-drone tech, whether it be jammers, lasers, or even rifles and missiles, has a limited range, means every place that needs to be defended requires multiple layers of anti-drone defenses. Even if they have some defenses, there are types of drones that may avoid them. This is not an easy threat to overcome, and it is growing exponentially.

(Excerpt) Read more at m.jpost.com ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: drones; droneswarm; droneswarms; russia; ukraine
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To: SpirituTuo

They nor we can keep our nuclear strategic bombers under cover it’s part of the SALT treaty Reagan administration signed.

So no they couldn’t keep those types of bombers under cover. Specifically the TU95 TU160 both have to be kept in then open where our satellites can count them. It is a big deal when you start hitting strategic air power. Russia will now tell anyone no on any new arms treaty.

They are moving strategic mobile rocket forces too their launch zones. I would expect a big response up too a tactical nuke just to prove a point at this point. Their doctrine is that tactical nukes are not a off limits weapon not in the least they have shown restraint in not using them already.


21 posted on 06/02/2025 2:02:51 PM PDT by GenXPolymath
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To: marcusmaximus

“countries like China or even terrorist groups might try to replicate this in attacks on the US military or on other countries”

Good point. I hope our government is paying attention.


22 posted on 06/02/2025 2:05:12 PM PDT by McGruff
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
Russia could crush Ukraine like a cockroach.

Its been over 3 years now...


23 posted on 06/02/2025 2:08:35 PM PDT by Magnum44 (...against all enemies, foreign and domestic... )
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To: pfflier

“ SALT and START treaty requirements are that the delivery vehicles must be visible at all times. So sealing them up in hangars isn’t a solution.”

No, they do not. Only vehicles scheduled for destruction. There is no provision regarding storage or visibility.

Moreover, Russia withdrew from SALT in 2023. It’s no longer binding in any way..


24 posted on 06/02/2025 2:09:01 PM PDT by TheThirdRuffian (Orange is the new brown)
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To: McGruff
“countries like China or even terrorist groups might try to replicate this in attacks on the US military or on other countries”

Good point. I hope our government is paying attention.

25 posted on 06/02/2025 2:09:22 PM PDT by marcusmaximus
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To: marcusmaximus

Can anyone here think of another weapon or method of warfare that has profoundly changed he way we think about defenses and offenses more than the drone now, besides nukes?
Maybe the horse and then the internal combustion engine? Gunpowder?
How come we don’t see germ warfare used much? I would think it would be a natural poor-mans weapon of somewhat mass destruction? Or HAS it been used modestly and we just didn’t realize it for what it was? Was science capable of creating and releasing the Spanish Flu in 1918?


26 posted on 06/02/2025 2:11:02 PM PDT by desertsolitaire (Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep?)
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To: Magnum44

You’re so cutes standing on the sidelines in your little cheerleader uniform waving pom-pons for WWIII.


27 posted on 06/02/2025 2:22:12 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Democrats are the Party of anger, hate and violence.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Russia could crush Ukraine like a cockroach.

Do not mistake restraint for weakness.


They have not been able to do so.

Do not mistake weakness for restraint.

We do not know for certain which it is.. or it may be neither but incompetence, instead.

I do not see evidence of restraint, other than the restraint not to use nuclear weapons.


28 posted on 06/02/2025 2:30:32 PM PDT by marktwain
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To: McGruff

Hardening storage of military planes is easy.

Airliners, not so much.

And you can avoid jamming by use of a trailing fibre optic cable than can be miles long. The Russians and Ukes are doing this already.


29 posted on 06/02/2025 2:30:56 PM PDT by TheThirdRuffian (Orange is the new brown)
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To: McGruff
I hope our government is paying attention.

Most likely they’re not. Government and the military is notoriously slow to change in many cases preferring business as usual until there is a large event which shakes them both awake and makes them realize there is money to be made in this new kind of warfare.
30 posted on 06/02/2025 2:32:34 PM PDT by The Louiswu (USA FIRST...USA FOREVER)
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To: GenXPolymath; All

Their doctrine is that tactical nukes are not a off limits weapon not in the least they have shown restraint in not using them already.


They have to wonder if Ukraine has built any nukes. Ukraine built them for the Soviets.

Ukraine has had three plus years and the highest level of incentives to procure their own nukes.

Both France and the UK have their own nukes.


31 posted on 06/02/2025 2:33:43 PM PDT by marktwain
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To: TheThirdRuffian

The bombers were kept outside in compliance with the SALT treaty - if they put them inside it would be a violation (our are kept outside and visible also).


32 posted on 06/02/2025 2:39:07 PM PDT by impactplayer
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To: TheThirdRuffian
Russia withdrew from the SALT treaty, the START treaty is still in effect

This protocol clearly states the terms for display of nuclear capable bombers UPON REQUEST:

[Page 29, START Treaty Article XII – “TREATY BETWEEN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA AND THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION ON THE REDUCTION AND LIMITATION OF STRATEGIC OFFENSIVE ARMS]

Scroll to page 29 Article XII para 1c

The chopped up B-52s, for example, at DM are required to be visible for a number of months so that their destruction can be verified and that can be taken from the total count of nuclear capable B-52H models.

33 posted on 06/02/2025 2:49:49 PM PDT by pfflier
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To: marcusmaximus
[ Ukraine Frontline Changes ] TOTAL COLLAPSE AT NIU-YORK FRONT!!! Collapse at Sumy and Lyman too~!

18 months of planning for this?

Big Serge ☦️🇺🇸🇷🇺
@witte_sergei

Actual count is 3 big bears destroyed and a couple more damaged, which is actually a strong result for Ukraine. Unfortunately these types of accounts lack perspective on what constitutes a successful strike and have to pretend that half the fleet was wiped out.

11:30 AM · Jun 1, 2025

34 posted on 06/02/2025 3:11:19 PM PDT by Kazan
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To: Magnum44

Russia has held back.


35 posted on 06/02/2025 3:20:58 PM PDT by little jeremiah (https://qalerts.app/)
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To: pfflier

START does not explicitly mandate that bombers be stored in the open. Bombers can be stored in hangars or other facilities, provided they are accessible for inspection as per the treaty’s verification protocols.


36 posted on 06/02/2025 3:21:25 PM PDT by MeanWestTexan (Sometimes There Is No Lesser Of Two Evils)
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To: pfflier

Nothing in START requires active bombers be stored in the open.

Deactivated bombers must be openly stored.

Just for example, B2 and B21 bombers actually are all stored in hangers except when flying because their stealth capability degrades with exposure.

They just have to be available for inspection. That just means they get rolled out when needed.


37 posted on 06/02/2025 3:28:34 PM PDT by TheThirdRuffian (Orange is the new brown)
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To: MeanWestTexan

Correct.


38 posted on 06/02/2025 3:28:50 PM PDT by TheThirdRuffian (Orange is the new brown)
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To: marcusmaximus

Putin is closer to giving the order to crush Kiev like a grape.


39 posted on 06/02/2025 3:32:02 PM PDT by shanover (...To disarm the people is the best and most effectual way to enslave them.-S.Adams)
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To: MeanWestTexan
Bombers can be stored in hangars or other facilities, provided they are accessible for inspection as per the treaty’s verification protocols.

That is why I highlighted UPON REQUEST in bold in my response. Basically the inspectors can specify a count and a method for that count at any one base for verification.

OBTW, I escorted State Department and Russian inspectors on the initial START inspections. For the record, our guys were technical idiots. The Russians were more interested in going to Wal Mart.

40 posted on 06/02/2025 3:40:06 PM PDT by pfflier
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