Posted on 05/22/2025 12:17:38 PM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
Confidence is growing that a more active than average Atlantic hurricane season is about to begin in just over a week. NOAA is now forecasting a 6-in-10 chance of an above-average hurricane season.
By The Numbers: NOAA expects 13 to 19 storms to form in 2025, six to 10 of which will become hurricanes and three to five of which will reach Category 3 status or stronger, according to the outlook released Thursday.
These ranges are on the high side of the 30-year average for both hurricanes and storms. The range for the number of hurricanes is slightly shy of 2024's total of 11.
NOAA's outlook is consistent, but on the low side of other outlooks issued recently by The Weather Company and by Colorado State University's tropical forecast team.
(Excerpt) Read more at weather.com ...
Do economists moonlight as weather guessers?
Eventually they will be right
Well, they were right last year, as far as I’m concerned.
Helene took out my roof, left a massive hole in my office ceiling, destroyed my driveway, brick sidewalk, tore off all my gutters, erased all the trees in my front yard, side yard, backyard, etc. etc.
On the upside, left my greenhouse untouched and, with the elimination of a lot of trees, I now have 2 more hours of sun to refine my gardening pursuits...
Statistically, they are bound to get it right eventually.
No. Not since the onset of the Global Warming hoax. Every year is the hottest in history. Every hurricane season is the worst of all time. The icecaps are melting! The sea-levels are rising! Utter nonsense.
Sadly, we cannot trust the weather establishment to be truthful about the weather.
In 1981 I got caught about seventy miles offshore of Murrells Inlet, SC in a 31’9” BHM that we outfitted to long line grouper. The NOAA weather report called for wind 15 to 20 knots out of the Northeast. We motored off from an overnight inshore anchorage in 120’ of water with the wind at our backs and the ocean building.
Within a couple of hours, that wind rose to 70+ knots, and the ocean in 700’ of water was over 12’ with an occasional 20-footer rolling over us. It took 24 hours to get that boat back to Murrells Inlet with the 70-knot headwind, all because of NOAA and their lack of accuracy.
WOW
Not while we’re in this weather cycle. How long do cycles last? This one has been brutal on all weather events. I’m hoping we’re almost out of this cycle.
And they were correct both years.
North Carolina and western Florida certainly believe it was last year.
Hopefully they leave Florida alone and concentrate on Texas for a change. That’s my hope.
Bottom line, expect 3-5 strong hurricanes every year.
They don’t care. Most here seem to know it all.
20 years since Katrina. Wonder if Lootie is still alive.
Said a different way, more gummit employees need firing.
Where do we get our hurricane vax?
;^)
I never thought I’d see global warming in central KS until a three-legged show up at the farm. The forecasters got that wrong too. Wasn’t supposed to happen until next year.
Yes some people had terrible damage and loss of life.
But statistically, one has to look at overall numbers and compare to a normal trend line .
I know that’s no comfort to those who lost a family member or their home.
My husband was born and raised in FL and when we were. marred, he taught me how to read a hurricane map. And when to leave, drive inland. After he died, a ‘cane was headed for me, so I jumped out of bed at unheard of 6:00 a.m., went to automatic teller, got $$$$$ and jumped on the already crowded freeway to go to my uncle’s house in Orlando.
Hurricanes are not entirely predictable. A woman I knew lived in Miami near the beach drove 30 miles inland to our mutual friends; house. Rotten hurricane skipped Miami and that funnel cloud came down exactly over friends’ house, wrecking everything including family photos. Friends were both MDs, didn’t take time to clean up because they raced to the hospital to help patients.
I’ve hunkered down through many hurricanes. When we lived in GITMO, there was no place to go. You just sat them out.
But when they hit the Appalachians like Helene did last year, that a whole other story. The mountains turn the rain into floods that are 60 feet high. In Spruce Pine, NC there was mud over 30 feet deep in downtown.
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