[central_va]

Lincoln aka Illinois Butcher, better not go to the play....

[BroJoeK]

central_va: "Lincoln aka Illinois Butcher, better not go to the play...."

According to John Wilkes Booth, it doesn't matter what Lincoln decides to do, or not do.
After hearing Lincoln's speech of April 11, 1865, supporting citizenship rights for freed slaves, Booth announced:

"That is the last speech he will ever make."

Lincoln can go or not, it doesn't matter.
According to Booth, Lincoln's support for freed slaves' citizenship rights signed Lincoln's own death sentence.
If not at Ford's Theater, then some other public event.