Climate Scientists Predict Exact Day When the Arctic Will Go Ice-Free and It’s Sooner Than We Think

Green Matters ^ | Jan 31, 2025 | Green Matters Staff

[where's_the_Outrage?]

The European Space Agency revealed that the earth is now 1.5 degrees Celsius warmer than before, and recent assessments have deduced that this change risks crossing delicate climate tipping points. Even minor fluctuations in the planet’s temperature are felt at Earth's extreme poles—the North and South poles. While the drastic implications of global warming in Greenland and the Arctic are not new information, a new study predicted that the latter will be ice-free in three years’ time.

By summer 2027, the Arctic Ocean will witness its first ice-free day at the current pace of greenhouse gas emissions. According to the study published in the journal Nature Communications in December 2024, this “ominous milestone for the planet” will inevitably occur between a period of nine to 20 years after 2023 even if humans decide to modulate greenhouse gas emissions to ideal concentrations. Co-author Alexandra Jahn said, "The first ice-free day in the Arctic won't change things dramatically.” She is a climatologist at the University of Colorado Boulder and an associate professor at the Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences at the institution.

Considering the worst-case scenario, the snow-clad Arctic Ocean will go ice-free within three years. Jahn indicated that while the ice-free Arctic may not be the end of the world, it is evidence that “we've fundamentally altered one of the defining characteristics of the natural environment in the Arctic Ocean, which is that it is covered by sea ice and snow year-round, through greenhouse gas emissions,” per Science Daily.

[MayflowerMadam]

Can we still have the semiquincentennial party? Because I really want to be here for that.

[Elsie]

...and It’s Sooner Than We Think until it's not.

[sergeantdave]

The Magic 8 Ball from Amazon has arrived. Place your bets, green weenie cultists.

[JessieHelmsJr]

total BS!!!! they cant tell one day from the next . Florida just had a hell of a snowstorm

[If You Want It Fixed - Fix It]

Another disservice to science. Satan is winning. Trust nothing and no one. Not the govt, yoyr Church leaders, not doctors, not scientists, not teachers, never the media.

Putin? Compared to Biden?

[laplata]

Good information. Thanks.

[californian by choice]

Have you heard news of coastal cities that are alarmed by higher sea levels?

[SunTzuWu]

Not scientists, activists.

[left that other site]

Yeah....it all came down to Massachusetts. I never saw so much ice.

[frank ballenger]

Ha. And to this day all of us have weather forecasts from a week ago or even 2-3 days ago that are laughably wrong.

Bu woke types reverently, seriously base climate change policy on their expertise.

[lurk]

They roll these lies out every 18 months to appeal to the new bus of gullibles.

[miniTAX]

“I hate to break this to these folks, but we are in an interglacial warming period.... The temperatures are going to warm, and ice is going to melt, no matter what we do’

Interglacials last about 10,000 years. Our current interglacial had begun more than 10,000 years ago. So we are heading toward colder temperatures, not hotter.

[Lurker]

It’s the end of the world as we know it.

And I feel fine.

L

[HamiltonJay]

Not sure where you got your data from, but it’s incorrect.

The last four interglacials lasted over ~20,000 years with the warmest portion being a relatively stable period of 10,000 to 15,000 years duration.

It will eventually cool again, but it’s likely going to continue to warm for a good while yet before that happens again.

[Elsie]

So we are heading toward colder temperatures, not hotter.

DANG!

Our PORT cities will be miles inland!

[miniTAX]

"The last four interglacials lasted over ~20,000 years with the warmest portion being a relatively stable period of 10,000 to 15,000 years duration"

there is no temperature proxies that support your claim of "~20,000 year interglacials".
Just look at any temperature proxy, eg Vostok icecores or foramiferes (two last graphs below) and you'll see that interglacials are quite short, at most 10,000 years, but certainly not stable over 10,000 years. So since our current interglacial has started 11,000 years ago and has peaked, the climate is heading towards COLDER temperatures, not warmer.