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Trump’s 2024 ‘mandate’ isn’t as robust as Biden’s was in 2020
Washington Post via MSN ^ | 11/18/24 | Phillip Bump

Posted on 11/18/2024 12:52:45 PM PST by DallasBiff

A lot of early analysis of the 2024 presidential election has suffered from three overlapping problems.

First, that vote margins can be influenced by changes in turnout as well as changes in vote preference. If voters stay home, the candidate they would have supported receives fewer votes. And it looks like a lot of 2020 voters stayed home in 2024.

But — second — not as many as one might have thought in the first few days after the election. Many immediate analyses of what happened exaggerated the decrease in Democratic votes or suggested that Donald Trump won an outright majority of votes cast, both errors that were a function of failing to consider (particularly) California’s sizable, slow-to-count vote total.

The third problem is that the shift to Trump in the voting — real and widespread — is being conflated with broad support for Trump, which is far less dramatic. It’s the difference between noting that exit polls show Trump fared much better with voters under 30 than he did in 2020, and acknowledging that he lost that age group to Vice President Kamala Harris. He didn’t lose them by as much, but he still lost them.

(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat; Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: 00001absurdlies; fakenews; fraud; gaslighting; mandate; media; msm; philipbump; tds; trump; washingtoncompost
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To: DallasBiff

Nobody stayed home.

11 million fake mail-in ballots didn’t show up this time.


41 posted on 11/18/2024 2:32:58 PM PST by oldbill
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To: BigEdLB

AND, without the 2024 Big Steal, we’d have 2 or 3 more Republican Senators and 4 or 5 more [or more!] Republican Representatives!


42 posted on 11/18/2024 2:35:11 PM PST by Taxman (MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN! SUPPORT THE FAIRTAX!)
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To: Taxman

And I wonder frankly if the Rats even thought of bothering with stealing it for Kamala.


43 posted on 11/18/2024 2:37:04 PM PST by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: The Unknown Republican

Oh yeah, Biden’s fictitious 81.000,000 votes, right....

Biden didn’t get 70,000,000 votes, much less beat Barack Obama’s numbers.

Biden did NOT win the 2020 election, period!


44 posted on 11/18/2024 3:13:09 PM PST by Bshaw (A nefarious deceit is upon us all!)
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To: DallasBiff

Bump has the political analysis skills of a doorknob.


45 posted on 11/18/2024 3:16:49 PM PST by jimfree (My 21 y/o granddaughter continues to have more quality exec experience than Joe Biden.)
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To: DallasBiff

Joe Burden was installed, not elected.


46 posted on 11/18/2024 3:25:34 PM PST by yldstrk
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To: DallasBiff

Trump has done more for America in the last two weeks than Biden did in four years.


47 posted on 11/18/2024 3:25:51 PM PST by EQAndyBuzz (Drill Baby Drill!)
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To: DallasBiff
A stolen election padded with 15,000,000 fake ballots is not a mandate.

Election-Fraud

48 posted on 11/18/2024 3:52:40 PM PST by AlaskaErik (There are three kinds of rats: Rats, Damned Rats, and DemocRats.)
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To: DallasBiff
"Oh my, nothing about the 10 million fraud votes for Biden in 2020."

I would assume at least the same amount for harris in 2024.
49 posted on 11/18/2024 4:33:38 PM PST by clearcarbon (Fraudulent elections have consequences.)
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To: DallasBiff

It is more so. Trump’s consisted of real voters.


50 posted on 11/18/2024 5:28:11 PM PST by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." Jimi Hendrix)
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To: DallasBiff

Well, you know, all votes must be counted!!!!


51 posted on 11/18/2024 5:30:32 PM PST by arthurus (covfefe )
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To: DallasBiff

Well, you know, all votes must be counted!!!!


52 posted on 11/18/2024 5:30:43 PM PST by arthurus (covfefe )
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To: Williams
We all know there was cheating in this election and it is still going on in the states that delay their counts.

One day voting
ID required
paper ballots
no absentee or mailin votes
and votes only accepted if turned in within 12 hours of the polls closing
and No exceptions for real or false excuses.

53 posted on 11/18/2024 5:39:05 PM PST by arthurus (covfefe )
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Remove the steal and Trump’s is far better.


54 posted on 11/18/2024 6:03:13 PM PST by Gene Eric
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To: arthurus

I would be open to in person voting on two days if it’s argued some people won’t be able to get there on the same day.

But this voting for weeks or months before the election, is ridiculous.


55 posted on 11/18/2024 9:10:55 PM PST by Williams (Thank God for the election of President Trump!)
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To: Williams

One day. So soon as allowances are made for any ‘special circumstances, the camel’s nose is under the edge of the tent and the rest of the camel will inexorably follow.


56 posted on 11/19/2024 5:37:08 AM PST by arthurus (covfefe m)
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