Donald Trump’s chances of losing Texas are slimmer than the chances of me waking up with a full head of hair tomorrow morning on my bald head.
Donald Trump has a slim chance of losing Texas, but Ted Cruz has a very strong chance of losing his Senate seat to Colin Allred, which is why Harris is campaigning in Texas.
It’s to flip a Senate seat from Red to Blue.
But...
All is not well in Texas.
We have been FLOODED by immigrants South of the border and transplants from California, Illinois and New York.
Both of these groups have no excuse for voting Democrat.
The Latino's in all reality are screwing themselves in that the open border policies push down their wages and burden services their families depend on. The criminal element which does exist is not moving to neighborhoods with million dollar homes, but moves in right among them. Besides, almost all of these nations South of the border are ultra liberal, nearly socialist. These nations have failed or marginal economies. Why would someone vote for the same junk they fled from?
As to the transplants, they also for the most part fled states with horrible social policies, high crime and/or taxes. Why run away from a place but then go to some new place and support the same policies which made where you came from a “$hit hole?” The transplants especially have no damn excuse since this dichotomy is something they should be well aware of.
That said, Texas does have a lot of people that vote blue today and that is especially true in the cities where most of the Latino and Transplant population has migrated to, where you have the universities, etc.
When you look at a map, everything looks good: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_United_States_presidential_election_in_Texas#/media/File:Texas_Presidential_Election_Results_2020.svg
However, when you realize that the blue dots in that sea of red (much of Texas and many counties have small populations) are Austin, Dallas, and Houston (the big population centers), you suddenly realize that Trump took Texas in 2020 with 52%. It wasn't a landslide.
Harris has a better chance of losing NY than she does winning Texas.
