Posted on 10/13/2024 9:53:55 AM PDT by simpson96
With just a month remaining until the election, polls in all seven battleground states show the race within the margin of error, leaving the door open for either candidate to potentially sweep all key swing states.
While Harris maintains a slim national lead of 2 to 3 points and holds an edge in four swing states, recent polling has shifted more favorably for Trump.
An ActiVote poll now puts Trump 1 point ahead nationally, and a Fabrizio/McLaughlin poll shows him leading in every swing state. Pollster Nate Silver's tracker shows that Trump has made gains in every swing state other than Georgia in the past week. This momentum raises the possibility of a landslide victory for Trump.
(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...
Harris “maintains a slim national lead”?
I’ll be happy if he wins by 1 vote.
Ms Kimber and Dirty Harry are ready.
A factor of significance.
The perpetual presumption that Trump overperforms polls is always at risk. The pollsters will be able to make adjustments to address it. One would think in the final days that they will do that, or already have done it.
Being MOE in every battleground is a bit positive. There is a tendency to add Georgia and NC to the list, but an examination of population growth in those states does NOT show black population surge. Georgia had black population surge which had led to Kemp’s concern about Stacey whatever her name was.
But it has stopped. There is no further proportional rise there since 2020. There had been pre 2020.
Excluding the hurricane, which there does seem to be enough time to address, NC and Georgia don’t look horrible — and let’s keep in mind that sampling is not showing Trump erosion and it would if pollsters could not reach hurricane affected population. It is VERY unlikely that they are trying to adjust for that.
So . . . 2020 40,000 votes spread among several states decided the election. That was all, whether they were cheated or not, the total was about 40K. There is a strong sense that number has been erased.
His odds look good.
Most of us have heard this in conversations with friends. Not openly talked about but I believe the RATs are capable of anything.
I’ve heard discussions of people making arrangements to leave the US. No idle comments but real people.
"Early voting is down — and the numbers hold bad news for Democrats"
After Democratic and Republican Trump supporters have hopefully elected Trump 47 by Election Day, please consider the following.
Let's not allow ourselves to be fooled by corrupt media about election results for a third time like probably many of us were in 2020 and 2022 imo.
More specifically, please brace yourselves for MAJOR anti-Trump media propaganda on Election Day evening, keeping an eye on compromised FN too, complete with misleading, predominantly blue electoral vote maps and AI video on your screens showing taxpayer-paid Harris "supporters" shouting that she won the election.
Here's FN projecting that Biden won in 2020.
Fox News projects Joe Biden will win 2020 presidential election
Also, suspected election interference ...
Foreign collusion? FCC moves with 'unprecedented' speed to approve Soros' capture of 200+ radio stations with foreign cash just before election (9.24.24)
In fact, it took Bush a month of court proceedings before he was declared official winner of 2000 election.
"A month-long series of legal battles [emphasis added] led to the highly controversial 5–4 Supreme Court decision Bush v. Gore, which ended the recount. Bush won Florida by 537 votes, a margin of 0.009%."2000 United States presidential election (non-FR)
I've been advised that 537 votes that Bush won with is probably sanitized from a larger number.
Also, this will probably be the 4th time that Democrats fight not to certify electoral votes which Congress has no 12th Amendment authority to do anyway, correction welcome.
Democrats Have Objected to Electoral Vote Certification For the Last 3 GOP Presidents (1.1.21)
Finally, let's not allow the anti-Trump media try to fade our memories of what we witnessed on July 13.
Down the Memory Hole: Google Hides Autocomplete Suggestions Related to Trump Assassination Attempt (7.28.24)
22 days till election
And that number is falling fast.
The push polling is now correcting to reality in order for the polling companies to remain relevant.
This will be no contest.
Kackala and her blowfish VP are going to get KO’d. A couple of leftist posers most everyone can see through...
If not, they may decide that Harris is a loser and regroup for 2028.
If I have to guess, it's likely that Trump will win 1 out of 3 states in the Midwest he'll need to win.
Plus a surprise state. (NH, NJ, NM, VA) If I had to guess, Trump will win VA too.
Forgot to add MN. It’s possible. But I doubt it.
I’ll be happy if he wins by 1 vote.
—
That’s the popular vote, but it does not count - only the Electoral College votes count.
It’s not going to be a landslide, it’ll be close.
To me, the biggest question is, will Trump repeat his 75 m votes of 2020? If he does , yes, it’s a blowout, because Kamala gets nowhere near 81 m , even with all the fraud they think they can get away with.
OH my. You mean we aren't even going to frog march them out and offer a cigarette? What kind of barbarians do they think we are?
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.