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The new face of the Republican Party
The New Statesman ^ | 15 July 2024 | Sohrab Ahmari

Posted on 07/16/2024 7:51:00 PM PDT by definitelynotaliberal

Donald Trump’s decision to pick JD Vance as his running mate is a clear sign that the former president is determined to re-harness the populist and working-class energy that propelled his first campaign in 2016. The immediate task is to present that agenda in a winsome way to the country. In crucial ways, Vance has already demonstrated that he’s up to it, and it helps that the other side is in disarray following Joe Biden’s precipitous decline.

Should the Trump-Vance 2024 ticket win – and polls indicate they will – the deeper challenge will be preserving that energy in office come January 2025. They will need to prevent the forces of the status quo from re-channelling that momentum into familiar Republican grooves, such as with mindless corporate tax cuts – as all too often happened during Trump’s first term.

Trump could have tapped a more conventional nominee to please the Republican party’s plutocratic and hawkish donor class – or even one of the plutocrats themselves, like the gazillionaire North Dakota governor Doug Burgum. Instead, he settled on Vance, a figure who has already won the disdain of the keepers of Reaganite orthodoxy with his forays into domestic populism and emphasis on foreign policy restraint.

The 39-year-old freshman senator from Ohio came to prominence with Hillbilly Elegy, his bestselling 2016 memoir about growing up amid the poverty and instability that have wracked working-class Americans over the past two generations. The book became a go-to guide for liberal media seeking to understand the sentiments that had driven a shocking proportion of working-class and union households to back Trump, often after having voted twice for Barack Obama.

Soon, liberals’ earnest curiosity about the disaffected white working class gave way to “defend-our-democracy” hysteria and four years of lawfare attempts to undo the outcome of 2016 that followed. Vance, who had initially positioned himself as a “Never Trumper”, set his eyes on high office and became more Trump-y into the bargain. No doubt, his anti-Trump statements will now supply grist for the Biden electoral mill, such as it is. But that would have happened with any number of other veep picks as well.

In the event, Vance’s populist shift took hold. The Vance of 2016 ended his memoir preaching a classic middle-class message of self-help for the people he’d left behind in Appalachia. By 2020, however, he had converted to Roman Catholicism, and would cite the Church’s social teaching in talking about the structural causes of poverty and dysfunction, not least the destruction of dignified industrial jobs under free-trade neoliberalism.

Aiming for a Senate seat from the Buckeye state, he ran both a Trump-y campaign and a Trump-y Twitter feed that jarred with the thoughtful persona familiar to those who know him. But on that count, too, he was far from alone. Adopting the Trumpian style is par for the course of most Republican politics post-2016, for good and ill. More notable, perhaps, is the bipartisanship that has characterised his tenure in the upper chamber since then.

Last year, for example, after a train derailment in East Palestine, Ohio, revealed the dangers associated with under-regulation of the train industry, Vance signed a letter with Senator Marco Rubio of Florida that blamed the neoliberal, just-in-time model of “hyper-efficiency”. Later, Vance drafted reform legislation alongside the Democratic senator from Ohio, Sherrod Brown, that was held up by Chamber of Commerce Republicans in the Senate. Likewise, in the wake of the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, Vance teamed up with arch-progressive Senator Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts to craft a bill that would claw back executive compensation at banks that end up being bailed out by taxpayers.

Left-wing critics of Vance-style pro-worker Republicans argue that such steps aren’t enough. Vance, they point out, has failed to support the labour movement’s signal legislative priority, known as the PRO ACT, which would make it easier to organise workplaces after mainly Republican national labour boards and judges spent decades gutting American labour law.

When I pressed him on this point for a New Statesman profile in March, Vance noted that he supports a regime of sectoral bargaining like the ones that prevail in continental Europe, rather than shop-by-shop organising bequeathed by the New Deal. He also noted that, as it is, the existing, mainstream labour movement is irreconcilably hostile to Republicans and that more trust-building is needed before a comprehensive rapprochement can take place.

I think Vance should support the PRO ACT, both for policy and political reasons. But it is worth pausing for a moment to note the unprecedented terrain we find ourselves in: whether or not Vance has gone far enough in supporting organised labor, the fact is that we find ourselves dealing with a Republican vice-presidential nominee who says he welcomes sectoral bargaining — and who last year joined a picket line of striking auto workers in Ohio.

All this could be evidence that the United States is inexorably shifting to a post-neoliberal stage, regardless of which party is in charge. As Vance himself noted in his NS interview, Team Biden consolidated some of the post-neoliberal turns first taken by the first Trump administration, not least by retaining Trump’s tariffs against China. Yet for Vance, these concessions to populism weren’t enough, especially in light of the Bidenites’ commitment to the free movement of labour. “The anti-free-movement-of-labour argument,” Vance told me, “is not just a workers’ rights argument, though it is that. It’s not just that this decimates the bargaining power of workers, though I believe it does that. It’s also a tech-forward argument. If you can’t constantly do the same things with cheaper and cheaper labour, your economy is forced to innovate.”

The case against Vance from within the Republican party came from a different direction. The argument has been that Vance, The Populist will turn off suburban America, especially suburban women, due to his harsh public style, occasional indulgence for 2020 election deniers, opposition to Ukraine funding (anathema in upscale neighbourhoods dotted with Ukraine flags), and anti-abortion stance – though, on that last issue, Vance has recently taken a reconciliatory stance in line with Trump himself, opposing further national restrictions and supporting the abortion pill. Yet, overall, those concerns about appeal became less urgent as the Biden-Harris campaign spiralled into disaster territory, a dynamic that only intensified in the wake of the assassination attempt against Trump at a rally in Pennsylvania on 13 July.

The hard part will be governing on populist terms. The Republican Party, like the Democratic Party, is a coalition of different class interests. It includes a growing share of the multiracial working class, yes, but also important segments of Wall Street and the petty bourgeoisie – what I have described as small and regional capital. The Trump 2.0 agenda will inevitably be a compromise between these groups. This is where Vance will be tested. Would he promote a bill to replace the rickety National Labor Relations Act with a system of sectoral bargaining and regional wage boards fit for the 21st century? One can dream. More realistically, convening a meeting with the heads of the mainstream labour movement in his first week as vice-president would set the right tone – and help JD Vance prove his pro-worker mettle.


TOPICS: Business/Economy
KEYWORDS: labor; unions

1 posted on 07/16/2024 7:51:00 PM PDT by definitelynotaliberal
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To: definitelynotaliberal

Bookmark


2 posted on 07/16/2024 7:54:27 PM PDT by Southside_Chicago_Republican (God save the United States!)
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To: Southside_Chicago_Republican

“occasional indulgence for 2020 election deniers”

This is an indicator of where the author is really coming from. At this point only lefist fools use the term. Everyone knows there was a high degree of cheating took place in 20.


3 posted on 07/16/2024 8:01:58 PM PDT by gibsonguy
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To: definitelynotaliberal

Or, maybe God is on the move?


4 posted on 07/16/2024 8:02:10 PM PDT by Eli Kopter
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To: definitelynotaliberal

“he ran both a Trump-y campaign and a Trump-y Twitter feed...”
The author is boring. Trump will win thanks to patriots from Michigan.


5 posted on 07/16/2024 8:22:22 PM PDT by Falconspeed ("Keep your fears to yourself, but share your courage with others." Robert Louis Stevenson.)
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To: All

Vance is quite wealthy-—came out of the venture
capitalist game with about $93 million, so I hear.


6 posted on 07/16/2024 8:43:18 PM PDT by Liz (This then is how we should pray : Our Father who art in heaven, Hallowed be thy name . )
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To: Eli Kopter

The more people come to know about JD and how he has come to this point, the more they will believe what you said right there.


7 posted on 07/16/2024 8:43:23 PM PDT by bigbob
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To: definitelynotaliberal

Looks like the Landon-Dewey-Rockefeller-Bush wing of the GOP has finally been purged after nearly nine decades.


8 posted on 07/16/2024 10:46:55 PM PDT by Fiji Hill
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To: definitelynotaliberal
To ChatGPT

Can you explain the following quote about JD Vance, who is the new VP running mate. Especially expound on the Roman Catholic teaching.
"In the event, Vance’s populist shift took hold. The Vance of 2016 ended his memoir preaching a classic middle-class message of self-help for the people he’d left behind in Appalachia. By 2020, however, he had converted to Roman Catholicism, and would cite the Church’s social teaching in talking about the structural causes of poverty and dysfunction, not least the destruction of dignified industrial jobs under free-trade neoliberalism."

From ChatGPT

This quote about JD Vance highlights his personal and ideological transformation from 2016 to 2020. Here's a breakdown of its key points:

Populist Shift: Initially, Vance had a more individualistic, middle-class approach, emphasizing self-help and personal responsibility in addressing poverty and social issues in his memoir "Hillbilly Elegy."

Conversion to Roman Catholicism: By 2020, Vance converted to Roman Catholicism, which influenced his worldview and rhetoric. This shift is significant because it often entails adopting certain moral and social teachings of the Church.

Roman Catholic Social Teaching: This refers to the body of doctrine developed by the Catholic Church on matters of social justice, poverty, wealth distribution, the dignity of labor, and the rights of workers. It emphasizes the importance of social structures and institutions in promoting the common good and protecting human dignity.

Structural Causes of Poverty and Dysfunction: After his conversion, Vance began to focus more on systemic and structural issues rather than solely on individual responsibility. He highlighted how broader economic policies, such as free-trade neoliberalism, contributed to the loss of dignified industrial jobs, which in turn led to poverty and social dysfunction.

Critique of Neoliberalism: Neoliberalism advocates for free-market policies, deregulation, and reduction in government spending. Vance's criticism, influenced by Catholic social teaching, points out that such policies can lead to economic inequalities and the erosion of stable, well-paying jobs.

In essence, Vance's journey from a self-help advocate to someone who considers the larger social and economic systems affecting individuals is rooted in his adoption of Catholic principles. These principles stress the significance of addressing the root causes of social issues and protecting the dignity of work, aligning more with a collective responsibility to foster a just society.

9 posted on 07/17/2024 1:53:11 AM PDT by DannyTN
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To: definitelynotaliberal
It helps that the left hates them both... It's the way a real MAGA party should be run. Drive them crazy with two candidates, instead of having one wishy-washy, holier than thou Pence type on the ticket.

Vance is wicked smart too, can you imagine him debating Kamala who's just a tick or two above moron level? Heck, he could mail it in and still clean her clock.

10 posted on 07/17/2024 2:03:10 AM PDT by Bullish (...And just like that, I was dropped from the ping-list)
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To: gibsonguy
“occasional indulgence for 2020 election deniers”

Anyone still using a term like that exposes themselves as a leftist fool.

11 posted on 07/17/2024 2:05:24 AM PDT by Bullish (...And just like that, I was dropped from the ping-list)
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To: Fiji Hill

So... Now some Goldwater?

lol


12 posted on 07/17/2024 2:08:55 AM PDT by Bullish (...And just like that, I was dropped from the ping-list)
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To: bigbob

God moves in mysterious ways, but he definitely moves. We can’t always see that, and even if we do see, many do not and might never see Him.


13 posted on 07/17/2024 5:16:53 AM PDT by Eli Kopter
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To: DannyTN

that doesn’t sound like an improvement to me ...


14 posted on 07/17/2024 5:43:02 AM PDT by bankwalker (Repeal the 19th ...)
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To: Bullish

This year, we're getting a clear choice.

15 posted on 07/17/2024 6:59:46 AM PDT by Fiji Hill
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To: bankwalker
"that doesn’t sound like an improvement to me ..."

It does to me, despite the fact that google answered using some trigger words for us like "collective".

Government creates the rules of the marketplace and enforces contracts. It has a very important role in setting the rules and tariffs in foreign trade. It should not let a communist country like China devastate our manufacturing.

That gives China the manufacturing base to build weapons of war while weakening our own ability to do so. It also allows China to weaken our own economy while strengthening their own.

Too many free traders don't see the strategic big picture. Trump does.

16 posted on 07/17/2024 7:43:03 AM PDT by DannyTN
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