ᏢᎡᎬᎠᏆᏟᎢ ᎻᎾᎳ ᎪᏆ ᎳᏆᏞᏞ ᎢᎡᎪᏁᏚᎱᎾᎡᎷ ᏚᎾᏟᏆᎬᎢᎩ

Original Content | 5/24/2024 | By Laz A. Mataz

[Lazamataz]

I'm deeply involved in AI in my current company. While it is not my described role, I feel it is stupid to wait to be assigned a task. I feel it is best to see an opportunity, and seize it. Therefore, I am now my division's AI Advocate.

I recently put together a use-case, ensured it worked, and made it available to the company. During a town hall, I continuously mentioned the use case (in the chat) and got well over 25 requests for more information.

The use-case is how to record a Zoom meeting, how to create a transcript for it, and how to have our in-house AI create summaries of the meeting. It works, and works well, so I produced an instructional video on how to accomplish it. I was noticed by the Associate VP in charge of AI Engineering. I suspect I will transition to his team sometime in 2025.

All this has got me thinking: How will AI transform society? Here are my current predictions.

• There will be, in the short term, MASSIVE layoffs in EVERY industry. Lots of people will be without work. Without being able to collect such things as Social Security from these workers, this Ponzi scam will collapse outright, and soon.
• Productivity (and thus GDP) will skyrocket from approximately 3.5% per year, to 300%, 3000%, or 30000% per year. This increased productivity will cause MASSIVE deflation. Your dollar will be worth 3$, 30$, or 300$ each in today's purchasing power. This will be offset by the massive job losses in every industry including manual labor (don't forget robotics!)
• There will be a requirement to establish a Universal Basic Income. This UBI will likely be funded by outrageously high taxes on companies employing AI... think 80% or more ... and the companies will still be outrageously successful and profitable.
• While products and services will plummet in price to almost negligible levels, non-manufactured hard assets such as real estate and precious metals will skyrocket.
• A few new jobs will be created, such as Prompt Engineer (now being called AI Whisperer), and even AI Monitor, which will be a human assigned to ensure a given AI does not go crazy. Software engineers will continue to be employed (at vastly reduced levels) to proof AI-generated code.
• At some point, government employs AI (and robotics) to perform policing and enforcement actions. Universal coverage of laws is possible: Your slightest violation will be detected and punished. You can count on tickets coming in your email for perceived violations. This can be abused, as laws are created requiring people to have a certain political viewpoint.

I also see a long-term extremely dangerous trend: Vast increases in human incompetence. As people are replaced by AI and robotics, how can they hope to retain their skillset in their chosen profession? If there are far fewer software engineers, who will be able to truly assess and proof AI-generated code? If robotic units take over such things as plumbing or welding, how can humans hope to retain skills in these practices? What happens if AI quits on us, and we have billions of people who no longer have the skill to perform their formerly-chosen profession?

I am not considering Superintelligent AI in these predictions. Upon the advent of ASI, all bets are off and we have zero idea how that will unfold.

[Reno89519]

That would be very much appreciated!!! Again, thanks.

[BipolarBob]

When am I getting my personal robots? I'm getting anxious.

[Codeflier]

A few thoughts....

1. I did thought exercises long ago based on a future with almost 100% automation - a UBI will be necessary - the problem is what do people do with their time that gives them long term life satisfaction? It’s a difficult question.

2. I don’t think we will ever see deflation again. Now that the government can just create money out of thin air and send it directly to the end user digitally bypassing bank, they can prime the pump of inflation any time they want.

3. I think your productivity gain predictions are really high in the near future. Perhaps in 50 years. There are still a lot of improvements to be made in the manual labor side of the equation, as well as the review for accuracy side of the equation.

4. The tools will allow the top 10% to really flourish, while those below will depend on the redistribution from the 10%.

5. Porn will become almost 100% fake.

[Lazamataz]

F-no. With UBI, they can reduce your income on the spot when you are insufficiently compliant to the state.

Well, I cannot conceive of a different economic model when 60, 70, 90% of the populace is unemployed. Willing to entertain alternatives.

[imabadboy99]

garbage in, garbage out. AI is a bunch of BS

[glorgau]

“Prompt engineering “ is already superseded. Good article in IEEE Spectrum

https://spectrum.ieee.org/prompt-engineering-is-dead

[sauropod]

I’m from Missouri.

[sauropod]

I am reained as an engineer. I know how to think.

[knarf]

Hoo boy . . . . .

old age is the curse of having survived.

I've had a computer since 1998 and I have advanced myself through three thoroughly crashed computers because I think I know what I'm doing.

In my humble opinion, Computers themselves are an alien universe with it's own language and lifestyle that we peons know nothing about, can't seem to grasp, and ultimately succumb to the latest lazy program developed just FOR us . . . . and we gladly say thank you, and type our way into electronic heaven, generating a whole new category of pains doctors treat with pills and counseling.

AI ?

AI in my opinion is ANOTHER life and language set, based on computerese (which we already can't seem to memorize and learn) that is just another section of memory bank.

All computerese is just electronic memorization WE didn't have to learn.

AI is the misnomer (I don't believe ANY computer (let's just use that word for it's simplicity) CAN develop anything resembling "intelligence" because it was all originally inputted by a human who tried a dozen times to finally get a "program" to do simple math. . . . . especially the times tables.

The danger with AI is in electronic communications only (manufacturing is robotic, not intelligent)

I just saw last night a film clip of America's Got Talent and these two guys had found a a third guy that resembled, sort of, Simon Cowell and they pointed their fancy camera at this third guy and he sang a song AS Simon Cowell. They could take (but apparently the technology MUST have a near resemblance) someone not me, to appear me.

I have often looked at joe biden with that skeptical and suspicious eye, wondering if I was seeing a real human being or some hologram.

THAT is the danger with AI, in my opinion.

So what IS AI?

Just another program that has "memorized" a bunch of data that SEEMS amazing, but all you geeks out there know, it's just a different language YOU learned that WE don't know and like my Filipina wife, can swear at us and in SUCH a sweet way, we have no idea we're being called an asshole.

Yes dear, I DO love you.

[Lazamataz]

Fascinating article, but it seems to postulate better prompting, rather than elimination of the role.

[Big Red Badger]

It all gives me the Creeps.

[Lazamataz]

Give it time, and I will.

[Jonty30]

But not spelling.

I see AI as a low end job replacement. Higher end jobs, for the time being, are safe.

[Lazamataz]

I am reained as an engineer.

I always wanted to be reained, but I cannot seem to be ained for the first time.

[LittleBillyInfidel]

I wrote a prompt of your queries and concerns and here’s what my good buddy, AI, told me:

These are thoughtful questions reflecting broader societal concerns about the impact of AI and robotics on the workforce. Here are some detailed responses to each of these concerns:

### Retaining Skillsets in Professions with AI and Robotics Integration

1. **Continuous Learning and Adaptation:**
- **Upskilling and Reskilling:** As AI and robotics take over routine tasks, workers can focus on continuous learning to adapt to new technologies. Online courses, certifications, and vocational training can help workers stay current with evolving industry standards.
- **Human-AI Collaboration:** Understanding how to work alongside AI and robotics, rather than viewing them solely as replacements, is crucial. Skills in AI management, data interpretation, and system oversight will be valuable.

2. **Emphasizing Unique Human Abilities:**
- **Creative and Critical Thinking:** AI excels at repetitive tasks and data analysis but struggles with creativity, critical thinking, and complex problem-solving. These are areas where human skills remain essential.
- **Emotional Intelligence:** Roles requiring empathy, negotiation, and interpersonal skills are less likely to be fully automated. Professions in healthcare, counseling, and customer relations can leverage these uniquely human traits.

### Assessing and Proofing AI-Generated Code

1. **Hybrid Roles:**
- **AI-Enhanced Engineers:** Even if fewer software engineers are needed for routine coding, those who understand both software engineering and AI will be essential for validating and improving AI-generated code.
- **Quality Assurance (QA) Specialists:** QA roles will evolve to include checking AI output for biases, errors, and security vulnerabilities. Specialized training in AI ethics and safety will be crucial.

2. **AI Governance:**
- **Regulatory Bodies and Standards:** Establishing robust governance frameworks and industry standards for AI development can ensure rigorous testing and assessment protocols.
- **Auditing and Transparency:** Regular audits by independent experts and transparent reporting on AI performance and decision-making processes can maintain accountability.

### Retaining Skills in Trades with Robotic Integration

1. **Maintenance and Supervision:**
- **Technician Roles:** Skilled tradespeople can transition to roles that involve maintaining, programming, and supervising robotic systems. Understanding the underlying mechanics and software of these systems will be valuable.
- **Advanced Troubleshooting:** Robots might handle routine tasks, but complex troubleshooting and repairs will still require human expertise.

2. **Hands-on Training and Simulation:**
- **Vocational Education:** Incorporating robotics and AI into vocational training programs can prepare future tradespeople for a hybrid work environment.
- **Simulated Environments:** Using virtual reality (VR) and augmented reality (AR) for training can help tradespeople practice and retain their skills in a controlled setting, even if robots are doing much of the work in the field.

### Overall Strategy

1. **Policy and Social Support:**
- **Lifelong Learning Policies:** Governments and organizations can support lifelong learning initiatives to help workers continuously update their skills.
- **Social Safety Nets:** Providing safety nets and transitional support for workers displaced by automation can help mitigate the impacts of job loss and retraining.

2. **Industry Collaboration:**
- **Public-Private Partnerships:** Collaboration between governments, educational institutions, and industries can ensure that training programs align with future job market needs.
- **Innovation Ecosystems:** Encouraging innovation and entrepreneurship can create new job opportunities and industries that we cannot yet foresee.

By focusing on these strategies, workers can adapt to and thrive in an increasingly automated and AI-driven world.

[dfwgator]

A just machine to make big decisions
Programmed by fellas with compassion and vision

We’ll be clean, when their work is done
We’ll be eternally free, yes, and eternally young

What a beautiful world this will be
What a glorious time to be free

[knarf]

Here . . . . I just found a good illustration describing AI . . . .

[Lazamataz]

I’ve also heard Sam Altman say, if you are not creating a startup RIGHT NOW based on AI, you are behaving as a fool.

[Tench_Coxe]

As AI takes on handling more tasks, society will trend towards something resembling Mike Judge's Idiocracy.

Think of it as not that people can't think, but a long time of not having to use their brains makes the ability atrophy.

And then, when things start to break down, where AI can't make that 'leap', crops fail because they're being nourished with Brawndo instead of water-from-like-the-toilet.

[dfwgator]

Ok, but what jobs will there be for all the stupid people?